Table 2.
Risk management strategy | Impacts | Level of internal (national) resources required | Level of external (GPEI or post-GPE international donors) resources required |
---|---|---|---|
Maintain high OPV coverage prior to OPV cessation | ++++ serotype-specific population immunity to transmission prior to OPV cessation significantly impacts cVDPV risks and probability of OPV restart | + for countries that currently conduct OPV SIAs | ++ for countries that currently conduct OPV SIAs with external support |
Coordinate OPV cessation globally | +++ critical to minimize post-OPV cessation cVDPV risks | + for countries that currently use OPV | + for coordination and monitoring |
Perform aggressive outbreak response using mOPV in near-term after OPV cessation | +++ essential to stop transmission of live polioviruses post-OPV cessation to prevent OPV restart | ++ for countries with post-OPV cessation outbreaks | + for countries that currently conduct OPV SIAs with external support |
Perform aggressive outbreak response using available resources in long-term after OPV cessation | +++ essential to stop transmission of live polioviruses post-OPV cessation to prevent OPV restart | ++ for countries with post-OPV cessation outbreaks | + for countries that currently conduct OPV SIAs with external support |
Outbreak response poliovirus vaccine global stockpiles | +++ essential to support outbreak response activities | + for OPV +++ for IPV long-term |
|
Continue AFP surveillance | +++ essential through OPV-cessation | + for countries that use AFP | ++ for supporting the Global Polio Laboratory Network |
Continue or add environmental surveillance (ES) | + may help with confidence about no live poliovirus transmission, impact depends on design of the system | ++ for countries that choose to include ES | ++ for coordination and support of countries that require external resources |
IPV use after cessation of last OPV serotype | +++ essential in countries that continue to produce poliovirus vaccines, store live polioviruses, and/or sustain potential iVDPVs + provides limited insurance that protects vaccinated individuals |
++++ for 2-dose schedule | ++++ for countries that require external support |
Ensure containment | +++ essential to prevent the reintroduction of live polioviruses after OPV-cessation | + for most countries +++ for countries that choose to maintain stocks of live polioviruses |
++ for global coordination |
Development of polio antiviral drugs | ? depends on characteristics of products actually developed (e.g. efficacy, cost, ease of delivery, etc.) | ++ to finish development | |
Prevention of iVDPV outbreaks by screening for PIDs | ? depends on ability to detect iVDPVs and efficacy of polio antiviral drugs | ++ for countries with potential iVDPV excretors | ++ for countries that require external support |
Develop new OPV and or IPV seed strains | ? depends on characteristics of products actually developed | +++ for development |