Table 4.
Results of base-case, best-case, and worst-case scenario analyses
| Scenario | IRS + ITN (combined intervention) | ITN-only | Expected incremental cost per case averted by combined intervention* | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cost per person in population* | Expected cases per person in population | Expected cost per person in population* | Expected cases per person in population | ||
| Base case | $7.49 | 0.050 | $3.41 | 0.076 | $152.36 per case averted |
| Best case | $4.55 | 0.172 | $3.07 | 0.281 | $13.58 per case averted |
| Worst case | $17.42 | 0.004 | $13.18 | 0.005 | $2,516.41 per case averted |
| Increased pyrethroid resistance | $7.94 | 0.059 | $3.45 | 0.083 | $192.12 per case averted |
| Targeted spraying | $6.55 | 0.211 | $4.68 | 0.256 | $41.70 per case averted |
IRS = indoor residual spraying of households with insecticide; ITN = insecticide-treated bed net.
*
2011 U.S. dollars.