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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Popul Dev Rev. 2018 Jul 18;44(3):455–488. doi: 10.1111/padr.12158

Table 3.

Standardized regression coefficients predicting likelihood that a household sends an international migrant in 5 year window prior to Census.

A. Climate ·Marginalization B. Climate Migration intensity
Pooled Pooled
A.I A.II A.III B.I B.II Bill
βstd (S.E.) Sig. βstd (S.E.) Sig. βstd (S.E.) Sig. βstd (S.E.) Sig. βstd (S.E.) Sig. βstd (S.E.) Sig.
Temp. 1–1.99 SDs above mean 0.033 (0.002) −0.018 (0.002) −0.027 (0.002) 0.205 (0.002) *** 0.141 (0.002) * 0.160 (0.002) **
 x marginalization index 0.257 (0.002) *** 0.243 (0.002) *** 0.202 (0.002) ***
 x migration intensity index −0.111 (0.001) ** −0.103 (0.001) * −0.107 (0.001) **
Precip. 1–1.99 SDs below mean −0.044 (0.002) −0.084 (0.002) −0.086 (0.002) −0.266 (0.002) *** −0.289 (0.002) *** −0.289 (0.002) ***
 x marginalization index −0.284 (0.002) *** −0.281 (0.002) *** −0.299 (0.002) ***
 x migration intensity index 0.277 (0.002) *** 0.255 (0.002) *** 0.307 (0.002) ***
 Temp, × Precip 1 – 1.99 SDs −0.244 (0.000) *** −0.233 (0.000) *** −0.219 (0.000) *** −0.308 (0.000) ***
 Temp, × Precip 1 – 1.99 SDs × marginalizatior −0.139 (0.000) ***
 Temp, × Precip 1 – 1.99 SDs × migration intensity 0.214 (0.000) ***
Temp. 2+ SDs above mean −0.009 (0.003) 0.023 (0.003) 0.028 (0.003) −0.042 (0.003) 0.004 (0.003) 0.005 (0.003)
 x marginalization index −0.070 (0.003) −0.053 (0.003) −0.039 (0.003)
 x migration intensity index −0.018 (0.002) −0.016 (0.002) −0.003 (0.002)
Precip. 2+ SDs below mean −0.172 (0.012) *** −0.166 (0.012) ** −0.184 (0.012) *** −0.219 (0.013) *** −0.217 (0.013) *** −0.248 (0.013) ***
 x marginalization index −0.270 (0.012) *** −0.299 (0.012) *** −0.318 (0.013) ***
 x migration intensity index 0.140 (0.009) *** 0.175 (0.009) *** 0.192 (0.009) ***
 Temp, × Precip 2+ SDs 0.149 (0.002) ** 0.168 (0.002) ** 0.180 (0.002) *** 0.185 (0.002) **
 Temp, × Precip 2+ SDs × marginalization 0.022 (0.003)
 Temp, × Precip 2+ SDs × migration intensity 0.058 (0.002)
Migration intensity (z-score) 2.625 (0.012) *** 2.598 (0.012) *** 2.594 (0.012) *** 2.674 (0.013) *** 2.653 (0.013) *** 2.680 (0.013) ***
Marginalization index (z-score) 0.205 (0.021) * 0.210 (0.021) * 0.205 (0.021) * 0.254 (0.021) ** 0.254 (0.021) ** 0.254 (0.021) **
State fixed effects? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

N (households) 305,290 305,290 305,290 305,290 305,290 305,290
***

p < 0.001

**

p < 0.01

*

p < 0.05

0.10

Source: pooled 2000 & 2010 Mexican Census long form sample data from IPUMS. see Appendix I for specific variable sources