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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Oct 8.
Published in final edited form as: Hematol Oncol. 2015 Jun 5;35(1):34–50. doi: 10.1002/hon.2235

Candidate gene association studies and risk of Hodgkin Lymphoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Amit Sud 1,*, Kari Hemminki 2, Richard S Houlston 1
PMCID: PMC6175040  EMSID: EMS79614  PMID: 26053036

Abstract

To evaluate the contribution of association studies of candidate polymorphisms to inherited predisposition to Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published case-control studies. Of the variants examined more than once in candidate gene association studies, we identified 21 studies that reported on 12 polymorphic variants in 10 genes. Data were also extracted from a published genome wide-association study to allow analysis of an additional 47 variants in a further 30 genes. Promising associations were seen in nine of the variants (p < 0.05). Given that the estimated false positive report probabilities (FPRPs) for all associations are high (i.e. FPRP > 0.2), these findings should be interpreted with caution. While studies of candidate polymorphisms may be an attractive means of identifying risk factors for HL, future studies should employs ample sizes adequately powered to identify variants having only modest effects on HL risk. Furthermore, because of aetiological heterogeneity within HL, stratification of genotyping according to age, tumour Epstein-Barr virus status and histology is essential.

Keywords: Hodgkin Lymphoma, Genetic susceptibility, Meta-analysis, Systematic review, Candidate gene, Polymorphism

Introduction

Hodgkin Lymphoma (HL) is a B-cell malignancy affecting ~3 per 100,000 of the population each year in most Western countries(1). HL is typically classified based on histopathological appearances into classical HL (cHL) which accounts for 95% of cases and nodular lymphocyte predominant HL (NLPHL). The presence of EBV latent membrane protein and/or EBV-encoded small RNAs (EBERs) in Hodgkin Reed-Sternberg cells (HRS) defines EBV-positive disease(2).

Hodgkin lymphoma shows a bimodal age distribution in incidence, with geographic specific differences. In economically developed countries, the first peak of incidence typically occurs around 20 years of age with a second peak around 65 years of age(1). Evidence for the existence of inherited genetic predisposition to HL is derived from the high concordance rates in identical twins(3) and from case-control studies and cohort studies which have shown a 3-fold increased risk of HL in relatives of HL patients(4).

The failure to identify a major disease-causing locus has led to the proposal that a significant component of the inherited susceptibility is enshrined in the co-inheritance of multiple risk alleles, some of which are likely to be common. The most frequent method for identifying prevalent low risk variants is through association studies based on comparing the frequency of polymorphic genotypes in cases and controls. Alleles positively associated with the disease are analogous to risk factors in epidemiology and may be causally related to disease risk or be in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with disease-causing variants. There are a number of different methods of analysing the risk associated with a specific variant. For simple bi-allelic polymorphisms, the odds ratio (OR) of disease can be derived by comparing allele frequencies in cases and controls. Alternatively, a comparison of frequencies of the three genotypes among cases and controls can be made, using homozygosity of the “wild-type allele” as the reference group. Where homozygotes are rare, heterozygotes and homozygotes are grouped together, but this is only appropriate if a dominant model of disease susceptibility can be assumed. Similarly, combining heterozygotes with wild-type homozygotes is only appropriate if alleles act recessively.

The genetic candidates that have been evaluated as susceptibility genes for HL to date can be divided into the following groups: immune function/response, carcinogen metabolism enzymes, folate metabolism enzymes, DNA repair proteins, and others (table 1). We elected to exclude candidate gene association studies exploring the human leucocyte antigen (HLA) region and HL given the already established predisposition at the HLA region(5) and the complex LD structure making identification of the disease-causing variant problematic.

Table 1. Polymorphisms studied as risk factors for Hodgkin Lymphoma.

Class/Gene Polymorphism Type AA change Effect Methods of detection

Immune response
TNFα rs1800629 A>G Upstream None Reduced expression Taqman
rs1800750 G>A Upstream None Reduced expression Taqman
FCGR2 rs1801274 C>T Missense A519C, R131H Altered activity Pyrosequencing
IL1A rs1800587 C>T Upstream None Increased expression Taqman
IL1B rs16944 G>A Upstream None Altered expression Taqman
IL4 rs2243248 T>G Upstream None Altered expression Cycling temperature denaturing electrophoresis
rs2243250C>T Upstream None Altered expression Sequenom MassARRAY iPLEX
IL4A rs1801275 A>G Missense Q551R Altered activity Sequenom MassARRAY iPLEX
IL6 rs1800795 G>C Upstream None Reduced expression Taqman
IL10 rs1800890: T>A Upstream None Lower expression? Cycling temperature denaturing electrophoresis, PCR
rs1800896 G>A Upstream None Lower expression> RFLP Taqman, SSCP
IL10RA rs2229113: A>G Missense G330R Altered activity PCR-RFLP
rs3135932 A>G Missense S159G Altered activity PCR-RFLP
IRF4A rs872071 A>G Upstream None Altered expression Allele-Specific PCR
LTC4S rs730012 A>C Upstream None Altered expression Taqman
CXCL12 rs1801157 G>A Upstream None Altered expression PCR-RFLP
TLR1 rs5743551 A>G Upstream None Increased expression PCR-RFLP
TLR2 rs4696480 T>A Upstream None Altered expression PCR-RFLP
TLR9 rs187084 T>C Upstream None Altered expression PCR-RFLP
rs5743836 T>C Upstream None Altered expression PCR-RFLP

Carcinogen metabolism
GSTM1 Deletion NA NA Abolishes activity PCR-RFLP
GSTT1 Deletion NA NA Abolishes activity PCR-RFLP
GSTP1 rs1695 A>G Missense I105V Decreased activity Cycling temperature denaturing electrophoresis, PCR-RFLP
GSTA1 rs3957357 C>T Upstream None Altered expression Cycling temperature denaturing electrophoresis
EPHX rs1051740 T>C Missense T113C Altered activity PCR-RFLP
rs2234922 A>G Missense H139G Altered activity PCR-RFLP
CYP2C9 rs1057910 A>C Missense I359L Altered activity Taqman
rs1799853 C>T Missense R144C Altered activity Taqman

DNA repair
XPA rs1800975 G>A Missense A23G Altered activity Taqman
XPC rs2228000 A>G Missense A499V Altered activity Sequenom MassARRAY IPLEX
rs2228001 A>G Missense K940Q Altered activity Taqman
XPF/ERCC1 rs3212986 C>A Missense Q504K Altered activity Taqman
XPG/ERCC5 rs17655 G>C Missense D1104H Altered activity Taqman
XRCC1 rs1799782 C>T Missense R194W Altered activity Sequenom MassARRAY iPLEX
XRCC3 rs861539 C>T Missense T241M Altered activity Taqman

Folate Metabolism
MTHFR rs1801133 C>T Missense A222V Decreased activity Taqman, Melting curve analysis, PCR-RFLP
MTR rs1805087 A>G Missense D919G Reduced activity Taqman

Others
COX2 rs5277 C>G Missense G102C Altered activity Taqman
rs20417 G>C Upstream None Decreased activity Sequenom MassARRAY iPLEX, Taqman, Pyrosequencing
rs689466 G>A Upstream None Decreased activity
ABCC2 rs17222723 T>A Missense V1188E Altered activity Cycling temperature denaturing electrophoresis
NBN rs1801282 C>A Missense P12A Altered activity Sequenom MassARRAY iPLEX
TP53 rs1042522
NFKB1 rs3774937
NFKB1A rs696
rs8904
rs1050851
rs19571006
CHUK rs2230804
PTGES rs10448290
rs2241270
rs4837404
HPSE rs4693608
rs11099592
rs436425
UGT1A1 NA Tandem Repeats None Reduced promoter activity PCR-RFLP, Sanger sequencing

AA, amino acid; NA, not applicable; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; RFLP, restriction fragment length polymorphism;

Although some polymorphic variants have only been examined once, most have been evaluated as risk factors in several studies but often with discordant findings. Furthermore, many of the studies have been based on small sample sizes with limited power to robustly demonstrate a relationship with HL risk. To gain better insight into the impact of polymorphic variants on risk of HL, we have undertaken a systematic review of published studies and used standard meta-analysis techniques according to Cochrane(6) In addition, we have used genotype data from a published Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) to perform a meta-analysis on variants that have only been examined once in the literature (7, 8).

Methods

Study identification

A literature search for studies reporting on the association between polymorphic variants and HL was conducted using the electronic database PubMed from May 1991 - December 2014. The search strategy included using the keywords ‘Hodgkin Lymphoma’, ‘case’, ‘control’, ‘polymorphism’, ‘risk’, ‘genetic, association’. We searched for additional studies in the bibliographies of identified publications, including previous review articles and meta-analyses(9, 10).

Selection criteria

Studies were eligible if they were based on unrelated individuals and examined the association between HL and variants in candidate genes chosen based on a priori knowledge of HL/cancer biology. Variants were only carried forward for meta-analysis if full genotype data for both cases and controls were extractable from the article. Only studies published as full-length articles or letters in peer-reviewed journals in English were included in the analysis.

Data extraction

Data for analyses, including study design, sample size and ethnicity as well as allele and genotype frequencies, were extracted from the published articles and summarised in a consistent manner to aid comparison.

Data extraction from Genome Wide Association Studies

Where possible, genotype data from 1,465 cases and 6,417 controls were extracted from published GWAS to allow the inclusion of variants examined once in the literature (7, 8).

Statistical analysis

Raw data for genotype frequencies, without adjustment, were used for calculation of the study-specific estimates of odds ratio and 95% confidence limits (CIs). Cochran’s Q-statistic was used to test for heterogeneity, and the percentage variability of the pooled OR attributable to heterogeneity between studies was quantified using the I2 statistic (large heterogeneity typically defined by I2>75%). A p-value>0.05 for the Q test was considered to indicate a lack of heterogeneity across studies, so the pooled estimation of the OR of each study was calculated by the fixed-effects model (11). Otherwise, the random effects model was employed(12). The significance of the pooled OR was determined by the Z-test and p<0.05 was considered as statistically significant. An estimate of the potential publication bias was conducted by the examination of funnel plots, in which the standard error (SE) of log(OR) of each study was plotted against its log(OR). An asymmetric plot is reflective of publication bias. The funnel plot symmetry was assessed by Egger’s test based on inverse-variance weighted regression of the effect sizes on their precision (the inverse of standard error), to test whether the intercept deviated significantly from zero; a p<0.05 was considered indicative of statistically significant publication bias(13). To test for population stratification (i.e. deviation from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE), the distribution of genotypes in control subjects of each individual population was tested for departure by means of the χ2 test(14). For each statistically significant association identified, we estimated the false positive reporting probability (FPRP) (15). The FPRP value is determined by the p-value, the prior probability for the association, and statistical power. We calculated FPRP assuming a prior probability of 0.001 proposed for candidate gene analyses(16). Statistical power was based on the ability to detect an OR of 1.2 and 1.5 (or reciprocal), with α equal to the observed p-value. To evaluate whether the association was noteworthy, we imposed a FPRP cut-off value of 0.2, advocated for summary analyses. Hence, FPRP values < 0.2 were considered to indicate robust associations (15).

Statistical analyses were undertaken using Stata version 10.0 (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX).

Results

Characteristics of published studies

Meta-analysis of variants studies more than once in the literature

We retrieved 84 published studies using our search criteria (Figure 1). Of variants examined more than once in the literature we identified a total of 21 publications detailing 12 variants in 10 genes (Table 1). Six of the variants were genotyped in the published GWAS. All of the published the studies were essentially of similar design, although different types of controls have been analysed (Table 2). In the final group, six studies included data on ethnicity of cases and controls (1721), three studies included data on EBV-status (17, 22, 23), and eight studies included data on histopathological subtype of HL (17, 19, 20, 22, 2427). Two studies stratified genotype by histology (23, 25), and two studies stratified genotypes by EBV-status (22, 23). ORs of HL associated with each polymorphism in individual studies are detailed in the Table 3.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Inclusion and exclusion criteria for studies

Table 2. Studies of polymorphisms and risk of Hodgkin lymphoma.
Reference Place of study Gene studied Ethnicity N Cases N Controls
Ruiz-Cosano J et al, 2013 Spain XPG.ERCC5
MTR
Caucasian 20 HL a subset of lymphoma cases: no other information 214 Healthy blood donors matched for age, gender, ethnicity and geographical location
Yri O et al, 2012 Norway IL10
GSTP1
GSTT1
GSTM1
UGT1A1
Unspecified 224 HL patients: 135 males, 89 males: mean age 38 (18-84). 1056 Healthy blood donors (age and gender unknown)
Ruiz-Cosano J et al, 2012 Spain GSTT1
GSTM1
Caucasian 20 HL a subset of lymphoma: no other information 214 Healthy blood donors matched for age, gender, ethnicity and geographical location
Monroy C et al, 2011 USA COX2 Mixed 200 HL patients: mean age 47.2 years (SD 13.37 years). 107 males and 93 females. 80% NSHL. 220 Frequency matched to the age (within 5 years), sex, and race/ethnicity of the cases. Controls randomly selected random digit dialling. Mean age 49.27 years (SD 15.19 years). 123 males and 97 females.
Kasperzyk J et al, 2010 USA MTHFR
MTR
Mixed (predominantly Caucasian) 497 HL patients: mean age 38 years (SD 15 years). EBV positive 16.3% and EBV negative 57.6%. NLPHL excluded from the study. 638 Frequency matched to the age (within 5 year age groups), sex, and state of residency distribution of the cases.
Controls randomly selected through “town books” in Boston or random digit dialling in Connecticut.
Ribrag V et al, 2009 France GSTT1
GSTM1
GSTP1
UGT1A1
Unspecified 313 HL patients: 180 males, 133 females. Median age 32 years (range 15-93 years). 226 Controls obtained from the French Blood Service.
Lourenco G et al, 2009 Brazil GSTP1
GSTT1
GSTM1
Mixed 110 HL patients: median age 27 years (range 14-82 years), 57 males 53 females. Genotype data stratified by age, gender, ethnic origin and stage of disease. 226 Blood donors: median age 52 years (range 25-60 years), 151 males, 75 females.
El-Zein R et al, 2009 USA XPG/ERCC5 Mixed 200 HL patients: mean age 47.2 years (SD 13.37 years). 107 males and 93 females. 220 Frequency matched to the age (within 5 years), sex, and race/ethnicity of the cases. Controls randomly selected random digit dialling. Mean age 49.27 years (SD 15.19 years). 123 males and 97 females.
Chang E et al, 2009 USA COX2 Mixed 473 HL patients: 242 males, 231 females. NLPHL excluded from the study. 373 Frequency matched to the age (within 5 year age groups), sex, and state of residency distribution of the cases. Controls in Boston randomly selected through “town books”. Controls in Connecticut randomly selected through digit dialling (18-65 years of age) or Medicare files (66-79 years of age). 211 males and 162 females.
Hoeft K et al, 2008 Germany COX2 Unspecified 116 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. 710 Randomly selected from the population registers of the study region. Matched for gender, age (1 year) and study region. 390 males and 320 females.
Timuragaoglu A et al, 2006 Turkey MTHFR Unspecified 30 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. 82 Frequency matched to cases by age and gender.
Deligezer A et al, 2006 Turkey MTHFR Unspecified 51 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. 22 cases MCHL, 20 NSHL, 9 LRHL. Median age 35 years (range 19-70), 35 males, 31 females. 154 Frequency matched to cases by age and gender of similar ethnic background. Randomly selected.
Nieters A et al, 2006 Germany IL10 Unspecified 115 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. 710 1:1 matched for gender, age (within 1 year) and study region.
Cordano et al, 1999 UK IL6 Unspecified 584 HL patients: 61.3% NSHL and 21.4% cHL. 33% EBV positive. 513 Frequency matched to cases by age and gender, region of residence.
Cozen W et al, 2004 USA IL6 Mixed (predominantly Caucasian) 27 HL patients: an affected twin of a monozygotic or dizygotic pair. Geneotype data stratified by zygosity and histology. 201 Spouses within 5 years of the twins’ ages, non-blood relative/friend or a age (within 5 years) or ethnicity-matched control subject was chosen from employees within the institution.
Munro L et al, 2003 UK IL10 Unspecified 125 HL patients: mean age 44.04 years, 52.7% NSHL, 17.7 MCHL, 6.8% NLPHL, 2% LRCHL, 19. UC. 69 males, 88 females. Geneotype data stratified by histopathology. 125 Mean age 58.3 years, 51 males, 60 females.
Hohaus S et al, 2003 Italy GSTT1
GSTM1
Unspecified 90 HL patients: median age 33 years, 54 males, 36 females. 67 NSHL, 7 MCHL, 6 NLPHL, 1 LDHL, 9 UC. Geneotype data stratified by age and gender. 176 Matched for sex and age (69 females, 107 males; median age 38 years, range 19–71 years)
Cunningham L et al, 2003 Australia IL10 Mixed 44 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. 164 Geographically and ethnically similar metropolitan population.
Sarmanova J et al, 2001 Norway GSTP1
GSTT1
GSTM1
Caucasian 143 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. Genotype data stratified by gender. 455 Similar gender and age distribution as overall lymphoma cohort. Staff from institute and nearby inhabitants of houses for elderly citizens.
Gonzalez Ordonez A et al, 2000 Spain MTHFR Unspecified 29 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. Mean age 24 years (SD 15 years). 200 Healthy Spanish volunteers.
Lemos M et al, 1999 Portugal GSTM1 Portuguese 25 HL a subset of lymphoma cases. 128 Unrelated Portuguese Caucasian volunteers; 56 males, 72 females; no history of cancer or other chronic disease; no age-matching.

HL, Hodgkin Lymphoma; SD, standard deviation; EBV, Epstein-Barr Virus; cHL, Classical Hodgkin Lymphoma; NSHL, nodular sclerosis Hodgkin Lymphoma; MCHL, mixed cellularity Hodgkin Lymphoma; LRHL, lymphocyte-rich Hodgkin-Lymphoma; LDHL, lymphocyte-depleted Hodgkin-Lymphoma; NLPHL, nodular lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin-Lymphoma; UC, unclassified

Table 3. Summary of odds ratios of individual studies along with their confidence intervals.
Heterozygous model
Homozygous model
Carrier status
95% CIs
95% CIs
95% CIs
Study Polymorphism OR Upper Lower P OR Upper Lower P OR Upper Lower P



Yri IL-10, rs1800890 0.95 1.30 0.69 0.74 1.41 2.17 0.94 0.12 1.04 1.40 0.77 0.80
Nieters IL-10, rs1800890 1.07 1.63 0.7 0.77 0.63 1.29 0.19 0.20 0.96 1.45 0.64 0.86

Nieters IL10, rs1800896 0.96 1.51 0.61 0.86 0.62 1.14 0.15 0.12 0.85 1.30 0.55 0.45
Munro IL10, rs1800896 0.84 1.48 0.47 0.54 0.83 1.68 0.44 0.61 0.84 1.43 0.49 0.51
Cunningham IL10, rs1800896 0.92 2.00 0.43 0.84 0.54 1.49 0.18 0.23 0.79 1.66 0.38 0.54

Cordano IL6, rs1800795 0.85 1.17 0.61 0.32 1.03 1.58 0.19 0.88 0.89 1.21 0.66 0.47
Cozen IL6, rs1800795 0.58 1.13 0.30 0.11 0.35 0.95 0.14 0.04 0.52 0.98 0.27 0.04

Yri GSTP1, rs1695 0.85 1.17 0.62 0.32 1.33 2.03 0.24 0.19 0.96 1.28 0.71 0.76
Lourenco GSTP1, rs1695 0.34 0.57 0.20 0.00 0.58 1.13 0.04 0.11 0.39 0.63 0.25 0.00
Ribrag GSTP1, rs1695 1.01 1.49 0.68 0.97 1.06 1.90 0.66 0.85 1.02 1.47 0.71 0.92
Sarmanova GSTP1, rs1695 0.77 1.33 0.44 0.35 1.88 3.70 0.38 0.06 1.00 1.61 0.61 0.98

Yri GSTT1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 3.17 5.09 1.97 0.00
Ruiz-Cosano GSTT1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2.95 7.96 1.10 0.03
Ribrag GSTT1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.90 1.47 0.55 0.67
Lourenco GSTT1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.92 1.65 0.51 0.78
Hohaus GSTT1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.90 3.46 1.04 0.03
Sarmanova GSTT1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.88 1.79 0.43 0.72

Yri GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.18 1.57 0.88 0.27
Ruiz-Cosano GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.53 1.34 0.21 0.18
Ribrag GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.83 1.2 0.58 0.33
Lourenco GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.35 2.14 0.86 0.19
Hohaus GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.75 1.25 0.45 0.26
Sarmanova GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.90 1.45 0.55 0.66
Lemos GSTM1, deletion NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.93 2.20 0.39 0.87

Ruiz-Cosano XPG/ERCC5, rs17655 1.89 5.28 0.68 0.22 4.86 18.69 3.81 0.01 2.33 6.06 0.89 0.08
El-Zein XPG/ERCC5, rs17655 1.19 1.79 0.79 0.40 1.63 3.60 0.58 0.22 1.25 1.84 0.85 0.26

Kasperzyk MTHFR, rs1801133 0.76 1.03 0.56 0.08 0.96 1.52 0.16 0.87 0.80 1.06 0.60 0.13
Timuragaoglu MTHFR, rs1801133 1.15 2.77 0.48 0.75 0.55 2.87 0.42 0.48 1.02 2.38 0.44 0.96
Deligezer MTHFR, rs1801133 0.49 0.96 0.25 0.04 0.26 1.19 0.07 0.06 0.45 0.85 0.23 0.01
Gonzales Ordonez MTHFR, rs1801133 0.77 1.76 0.33 0.53 0.92 3.48 0.34 0.9 0.8 1.73 0.36 0.56

Ruiz-Cosano MTR, rs1805087 0.84 2.70 0.26 0.78 5.81 21.90 2.06 0.00 1.47 3.73 0.58 0.41
Kasperzyk MTR, rs1805087 0.93 1.26 0.68 0.65 0.60 1.22 0.16 0.16 0.88 1.18 0.66 0.41

Monroy COX2, rs20417 1.39 0.74 2.6 0.31 6.94 2.68 59.16 0.04 1.6 2.93 0.87 0.13
Chang COX2, rs20417 1.11 1.49 0.82 0.51 1.99 4.24 0.65 0.07 1.18 1.57 0.88 0.27
Hoeft COX2, rs20417 1.05 1.65 0.67 0.83 NA NA NA NA 0.99 1.55 0.63 0.97

Chang COX2, rs689466 0.99 1.36 0.73 0.97 1.16 2.39 0.33 0.69 1.01 1.36 0.75 0.93
Hoeft COX2, rs689466 0.99 1.53 0.63 0.95 0.31 2.35 0.31 0.23 0.93 1.43 0.60 0.73

Yri UGT1A1, tandem repeat 0.90 1.22 0.66 0.49 0.79 1.32 0.16 0.37 0.88 1.17 0.66 0.37
Ribrag UGT1A1, tandem repeat 0.70 1.04 0.47 0.07 0.71 1.32 0.12 0.28 0.70 1.02 0.48 0.06

CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio

Immune response genes

One of the two studies which examined the association between IL-10 rs1800890 and HL demonstrated a lower risk of HL for those >40 years with homozygosity or carrier status of the T allele (24). The departure of genotype frequencies from HWE (pHWE = 0.02) in the control group however suggests population stratification in this study. Pooling data from the both studies failed to demonstrate a significant association between the variant and HL risk (Table 4) (24, 28). In addition, there was no evidence of an association when pooling together three studies IL10, rs1800896 nor with the inclusion of data from the GWAS (Table 4) (7, 8, 24, 25, 29).

Table 4. Pooled odds ratios of all polymorphisms examined more than once in the literature including data from GWAS together with the false positive report probabilities (FPRP).
Power FPRP at prior probability of 0.001
Gene, variant Studies Cases Controls OR P Phet I2 OR=1.2 OR=1.5 OR=1.2 OR=1.5

IL-10 rs1800890 2 334 1709
AT vs TT 0.99 (0.77 - 1.28) 0.93 0.67 0 0.91 1.00
AA vs TT  0.99 (0.45 - 2.18) 0.98 0.06 72% 0.67 0.84
Carrier 1.01 (0.79 - 1.29) 0.93 0.77 0 0.92 1.00

IL10, rs1800896 5 1573 7026
AG vs AA 1.01 (0.84 – 1.20) 0.95 0.89 0 0.98 1.00
GG vs AA 0.88 (0.50 – 1.54) 0.65 0.01 73% 0.58 0.84
Carrier 1.06 (0.89 – 1.25) 0.53 0.34 10% 1.00 1.00

IL-6 rs1800795 2 435 374
GC vs GG 0.79 (0.59 - 1.06) 0.11 0.316 1% 0.53 0.93
CC vs GG 0.86 (0.59 - 1.29) 0.50 0.05 74% 0.78 0.97
Carrier 0.92 (0.32 – 2.63) 0.17 <0.01 88.5% 0.63 0.96

GSTP1, rs1695 6 2185 8287
AG vs GG 0.82 (0.63 – 1.07) 0.15 <0.001 79% 0.45 0.94
AA vs GG 1.08 (0.92 – 1.27) 0.35 0.06 52% 0.90 1.00
Carrier 0.88 (0.69 – 1.13) 0.32 <0.001 78% 0.67 0.99

GSTT1 deletion 6 796 2058
Carrier 1.50 (0.90 - 2.50) 0.12 0 76% 0.20 0.50

GSTM1 deletion 7 835 2205
Carrier 0.99 (0.84-1.17) 0.90 0.32 15% 0.98 1

XPG/ERCC5, rs17655 3 1094 1651
GC vs GG 0.94 (0.80 – 1.12) 0.50 0.17 44% 0.91 1.00
CC vs GG 1.68 (1.18 – 2.37) 0.01 0.27 23% 0.03 0.26 0.99 0.99
Carrier 1.01 (0.86 – 1.19) 0.88 0.10 57% 0.65 0.82

MTHFR rs1801133 4 2025 7202
CT vs CC 0.96 (0.85 – 1.07) 0.47 0.19 33% 0.99 1.00
TT vs CC 0.98 (0.82 – 1.17) 0.80 0.62 0 0.97 1.00
Carrier 0.96 (0.86 – 1.07) 0.45 0.15 38% 1.00 1.00

MTR rs1805087 4 1936 6991
AG vs AA 0.97 (0.86 – 1.10) 0.63 0.99 0 0.99 1.00
GG vs AA 1.18 (0.88 – 1.57) 0.27 0.05 67% 0.55 0.95
Carrier 0.99 (0.88 – 1.11) 0.86 0.72 0 0.99 1.00

COX2 rs20417 4 1538 2333
GC vs GG 1.01 (0.92 – 1.24) 0.41 0.83 0 0.95 1.00
CC vs GG 1.37 (0.88 – 2.13) 0.17 0.16 43% 0.28 0.67
Carrier 1.01 (0.94 – 1.26) 0.27 0.50 0 0.94 1.00

COX2 rs689466 2 567 1024
AG vs AA 0.991 (0.77 - 1.28) 0.94 0.98 0 0.91 1
GG vs AA 0.92 (0.48 - 1.76) 0.81 0.22 33% 0.62 0.84
Carrier 0.98 (0.77 - 1.26) 0.90 0.74 0 0.91 1

UGT1A1 TR 2 532 1208
6/7 vs 6/6 0.82 (0.64 - 1.040) 0.10 0.33 0 0.44 0.95
7/7 vs 6/6 0.76 (0.51 - 1.13) 0.17 0.79 0 0.32 0.74
Carrier 0.81 (0.64 - 1.01) 0.06 0.36 0 0.38 0.95

CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio

Two studies have evaluated rs1800795, a SNP located upstream of IL-6 (21, 23). One study utilised monozygotic and dizygotic twins with at least one affected twin. When all cases were analysed, homozygosity of the C allele appeared to be protective for HL and this was identified in the NS subgroup (21). These findings were not however, supported by a larger analysis of unrelated patients with HL nor in the pooled analysis (23) (Table 4).

Carcinogen metabolism genes

Four studies have investigated the SNP rs1696 in GSTP1 and risk of developing HL (18, 24, 30, 31). One study found a protective effect of the heterozygous (AG) genotype (24); while another study found the wild type genotype (AA) was associated with an increased risk of HL (18) and a third study found the less prevalent genotype (GG) to be associated with an increased risk of HL (30) (Table 3). Two studies demonstrated evidence of population stratification with departure from HWE in the controls (pHWE = 0.01). No evidence of association was found when these studies were pooled nor with the inclusion of data from the GWAS (Table 4).

Six studies have investigated deletion of the GSTT1 gene and predisposition to HL. GSTT1 deletion conferred an increased risk of HL in three studies (24, 27, 32) and no effect in three studies (18, 30, 31) (Table 3). Pooling data from the six studies revealed no evidence of association of GSTT1 deletion with HL risk (Table 4).

Seven studies have examined GSTM1 deletion and risk of developing HL (18, 24, 26, 3033). Neither the studies nor a pooled analysis provides evidence for an association between GSTM1 deletion and HL risk (Table 3, Table 4).

DNA repair genes

Two studies have examined the risk of HL and the SNP rs17655 in XPG/ERCC5 (19, 34), neither demonstrating an association between genotype and HL risk (Table 3). However, in a pooled analysis, a significant association between XPG/ERCC5, rs17655 CC homozygosity and an increased risk of developing HL with an OR=2.03 (95% CI:1.01 - 4.06, p=0.046) (Figure 2). Furthermore with the addition of data from GWAS the association appeared promising 1.68 (95% CI:1.18 – 2.37, p=0.01) (Figure 2 and Table 4). There was no evidence of small study effect (Figure 3).

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Forest plot of odds ratios (ORs) of Hodgkin lymphoma associated with polymorphic variant XPG/ERCC5 rs17655 CC versus GG. Boxes denote allelic OR point estimates, their areas being proportional to the inverse variance weight of the estimate. Horizontal lines represent 95% confidence intervals (CI). The diamond (and broken line) represents the summary OR computed under a fixed effects model, with 95% CI given by its width. The unbroken vertical line is at the null value (OR = 1.0)

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Begg’s funnel plot (using odds ratio (OR) of Hodgkin lymphoma risk associated with variant genotype rs17655 CC versus GG). The horizontal line represents the meta-analysis summary estimate, and the diagonal lines pseudo-95% CI limits about the effect estimate. In the absence of publication bias, studies will be distributed symmetrically above and below the horizontal line. Asymmetry on the top of the graph indicates evidence of publication bias towards studies reporting a positive logOR. LogOR, natural logarithm of the OR; s.e. of logOR, standard error of the logOR

Folate metabolism genes

Four studies have evaluated the risk of HL with rs1801133, in MTHFR (17, 3537). In isolation, none of the studies provided evidence for an association between the genotype and risk (Table 3). However, in a pooled analysis, heterozygosity conferred an OR of 0.74 (95% CI:0.578 - 0.95, p=0.018) and carrier status an OR of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.60 - 0.96, p=0.019). However, with the addition of GWAS data no association was demonstrated (Table 4).

Two studies have evaluated the risk of HL with rs1805087 in MTR (17, 34). Neither demonstrated an association (Table 3). Similarly no association was shown in a meta-analysis which included GWAS data (Table 4).

Other Genes

Three studies have investigated the role of rs20417 in COX2 and HL risk (20, 22, 38). One study demonstrated an association with both carrier and homozygous minor genotype (20) (Table 3). However in a pooled analysis with the inclusion of data from GWAS no association was seen (Table 4). Two studies have also examined the risk of HL rs689466 in COX2, but no association is seen (Table 4) (22, 38).

Finally, two studies have investigated the tandem repeat in UGT1A1 and HL risk. No significant association was seen in either study (Table 3). A pooled analysis did not provide evidence for a relationship between UGT1A1 genotype and HL (Table 4) (24, 31).

Variants examined once in published studies

Using directly typed SNPs from the GWAS, we were able to include an additional 47 variants published in eight papers (3946). There was evidence for association in eight of these variants (p<0.05).

False Positive Report Probability

To evaluate the robustness of the three significant findings from the pooled analyses, we calculated FPRP conditional on a prior probability of 0.001. None of the above results are not considered noteworthy on the basis of the pre-defined assumptions (Table 4 and Table 5). For example, although the summary OR from the pooled analysis of rs17655 indicated a statistically significant positive association with risk, the FPRP was 0.99 which is much higher than the conventionally accepted threshold cut off for noteworthiness of <0.2.

Table 5. Pooled odds ratios of all the polymorphisms examined once in the literature and GWAS data with the false positive report probabilities (FPRP).
Power FPRP at prior probability of 0.001
Gene, variant Studies Cases Controls OR   P Phet  I2 OR=1.2 OR=1.5 OR=1.2 OR=1.5

TNFα, rs1800750 2 928 1345
GA vs GG 1.78 (0.34 – 9.19)   0.50 0.01 84% 0.32 0.42
AA vs GG
Carrier 1.78 (0.34 – 9.19)   0.50 0.01 84% 0.32 0.42

TNFα, rs1800629 2 987 1893
GA vs GG 1.14 (0.94 – 1.37)   0.19 0.66 0 0.71 1.00
AA vs GG 1.17 (0.74 – 1.87)   0.50 0.43 0 0.54 0.85
Carrier 1.14 (0.95 – 1.37)   0.15 0.81 0 0.71 1.00

FCGR2, rs1801274 3 1704 7938
CT vs CC 1.15 (1.00 - 1.31)   0.05 0.93 0 0.74 1.00
TT vs CC 1.07 (0.91 - 1.26)   0.40 0.37 0 0.92 1.00
Carrier 1.12 (0.99 - 1.27)   0.08 0.96 0 0.86 1.00

IL1A, rs1800587 2 977 1877
CT vs CC 0.85 (0.72 – 1.00)   0.05 0.87 0 0.59 1.00
TT vs CC 0.72 (0.54 – 0.96)   0.02 0.10 63% 0.70 0.99 1.00 1.00
Carrier 1.00 (0.60 – 1.67)   0.99 0.03 80% 0.94 1.00

IL1B, rs16944 2 981 1876
GA cs GG 1.03 (0.87 – 1.22)   0.73 0.17 47% 0.96 1.00
AA vs GG 1.36 (1.05 – 1.77)   0.02 0.329 9% 0.18 0.77 0.99 0.97
Carrier 1.09 (0.93 – 1.28)   0.30 0.41 0 0.88 1.00

IL-4 rs2243248 3 1685 7465
TG vs GG 0.97 (0.70 - 1.33)   0.83 0.04 70% 0.83 0.99
GG vs TT 0.88 (0.42 - 1.86)   0.50 0.44 0 1.00 1.00
Carrier 1.02 (0.86 – 1.20)   0.84 0.08 61% 0.98 1.00

IL-4 rs2243250 2 976 1318
CT vs CC 1.06 (0.87 - 1.28)   0.58 0.91 0 0.90 1.00
TT vs CC  1.17 (0.69 – 2.00)   0.57 0.08 68% 0.54 0.82
Carrier 1.29 (0.77 – 2.16)   0.33 0.05 75% 0.39 0.72

IL4A rs1801275 3 1565 6517
AG vs AA 0.87 (0.76 – 0.99)   0.03 0.0 0 0.74 1.00 0.98 0.97
GG vs AA 1.07 (0.80 -1.43)   0.65 0.29 18% 0.78 0.99
carrier 0.89 (0.79 – 1.01)   0.07 0.70 0 0.85 1.00

IL10, rs1800872 2 987 1893
CA vs CC 0.98 (0.82 – 1.16)   0.79 0.09 64% 0.97 1.00
AA vs CC 1.26 (0.82 – 1.93)   0.30 0.65 0 0.41 0.79
Carrier 1.00 (0.85 – 1.20)   0.96 0.16 49% 0.98 1..00

IL10RA, rs2229113 3 986 1890
CT vs CC 0.85 (0.72 – 1.01)   0.06 0.97 0 0.59 1.00
TT vs CC 0.81 (0.62 – 1.06)   0.12 0.88 0 0.40 0.96
Carrier 0.84 (0.72 – 0.99)   0.04 0.93 0 0.54 1.00 0.97 0.97

IL10RA, rs3135932 3 987 1893
AG vs AA 0.98 (0.82 – 1.16)   0.76 0.09 64% 0.97 1.00
GG vs AA 1.26 (0.82 – 1.93)   0.30 0.65 0 0.41 0.79
Carrier 1.26 (0.46 – 3.48)   0.65 <0.001 94% 0.46 0.63

IRF4, rs872071 3 1592 7442
AG vs GG 0.92 (0.81 – 1.04)   0.19 0.41 0 0.94 1.00
AA vs GG 0.88 (0.76 – 1.02)   0.09 0.39 0 0.77 1.00
Carrier 0.90 (0.80 – 1.02)   0.09 0.52 0 0.89 1.00

LTC4S, rs730012 3 1915 6778
CA vs AA 0.94 (0.84 – 1.06)   0.34 0.41 0 0.98 1.00
CC vs AA 0.97 (0.79 – 1.19)   0.75 0.44 0 0.93 1.00
CArrier 0.95 (0.85 – 1.06)   0.35 0.44 0 0.99 1.00

CXCL12, rs1801157 2 912 1308
GA vs GG 1.05 (0.87 – 1.23)   0.60 0.97 0 0.95 1.00
AA vs GG 1.26 (0.78 – 2.02)   0.34 0.43 0 0.42 0.77
Carrier 1.07 (0.89 – 1.28)   0.46 0.75 0 0.90 1.00

TLR1, rs5743551 2 985 1881
AG vs AA 0.90 (0.76 – 1.06)   0.21 0.12 59% 0.82 1.00
GG vs AA 1.02 (0.72 – 1.45)   0.91 0.95 0 0.82 0.98
Carrier 0.91 (0.77 – 1.07)   0.27 0.16 50% 0.57 0.74

TLR2, rs4696480 2 986 1982
TA vs TT 1.47 (0.89 – 2.45)   0.13 0.05 75% 0.22 0.53
AA vs TT 1.09 (0.86 – 1.37)   0.48 0.20 40% 0.80 1.00
Carrier 1.42 (0.85 – 2.37)   0.18 0.04 76% 0.26 0.59

TLR9, rs187084 2 986 1982
TC vs TT 0.97 (0.81 – 1.16)   0.71 0.63 0 0.95 1.00
CC vs TT 0.83 (0.65 – 1.04)   0.11 0.99 0 0.49 0.97
Carrier 0.93 (0.78 – 1.10)   0.72 0.34 0 0.90 1.00

TLR9, rs5743836 2 986 1982
TC vs TT 1.11 (0.91 – 1.34)   0.31 0.08 68% 0.79 1.00
CC vs TT 1.02 (0.80 – 1.30)   0.89 0.99 0% 0.91 0.99
Carrier 1.07 (0.89 – 1.23)   0.50 0.12 59% 0.95 1.00

GSTA1, rs3957357 3 1688 7403
CT vs CC 1.07 (0.91 – 1.25)   0.41 0.19 40% 0.93 1.00
TT vsCC 0.81 (0.55 – 1.19)   0.28 0.67 0 0.44 0.84
Carrier 1.04 (0.89 – 1.21)   0.62 0.23 33% 0.97 1.00

EPHX, rs1051740 2 953 1665
TC vs TT 0.98 (0.83 – 1.17)   0.83 0.28 14% 0.96 1.00
CC vs TT 2.76 (0.20 – 38.40)   0.45 <0.001 97% 0.27 0.33
Carrier 1.14 (0.97 – 1.35)   0.11 0.06 72% 0.72 1.00

EPHX, rs2234922 2 666 5652
AG vs AA 0.87 (0.73 – 1.03)   0.11 0.78 0 0.70 1.00
GG vs AA 0.93 (0.61 – 1.42)   0.73 0.34 0 0.70 0.94
Carrier 0.87 (0.73 – 1.03)   0.11 0.58 0

CYP2C9, rs1057910 2 1054 5570
AC vs AA 1.26 (1.02 – 1.54)   0.03 0.97 0 0.70 1.00 0.99 0.96
CC vs AA 1.33 (0.49 – 3.67)   0.58 0.31 4% 0.42 0.59
Carrier 1.30 (1.03 – 1.54)   0.03 0.87 0 0.18 0.95 0.93 0.72

CYP2C9, rs1799853 2 1059 5569
CT vs CC 1.28 (1.07 – 1.51)   0.01 0.21 38% 0.22 0.97 0.94 0.78
TT vs CC 0.34 (0.02 – 6.89)   0.48 0.04 75% 0.28 0.33
Carrier 1.24 (1.05 – 1.46)   0.01 0.41 0 0.35 0.99 1.00 0.99

XPA, rs1800975 2 896 1432
GA vs GG 0.92 (0.76 – 1.10)   0.37 0.13 57% 0.86 1.00
AA vs GG 3.60 (0.49 – 26.70)   0.21 0.01 86% 0.14 0.20
Carrier 1.02 (0.86 – 1.22)   0.25 0.06 72% 0.96 1.00

XPC, rs2228000 2 984 1878
GA vs GG 0.84 (0.71 – 1.00)   0.05 0.53 0 0.52 0.89
AA vs GG 0.89 (0.70 – 1.50)   0.47 0.14 46% 0.60 0.86
Carrier 0.85 (0.71 – 1.00)   0.05 0.99 0 0.59 1.00

XPC, rs2228001 2 1663 6637
GT vs TT 0.98 (0.86 – 1.12)   0.78 0.97 0 0.99 1.2
GG vs TT 1.01 (0.85 – 1.20)   0.93 0.33 10% 0.98 1.00
Carrier 0.99 (0.86 – 1.12)   0.84 0.88 0 0.91 1.00

ERCC1, rs3212986 3 1633 6715
CA vs CC 0.80 (0.69 – 0.91) 0.001 0.85 0 0.27 1.00 0.72 0.41
AA vs CC 0.87 (0.68 – 1.22)   0.28 0.22 35% 0.60 0.94
Carrier 0.81 (0.72 – 0.91) 0.001 0.98 0 0.32 1.00 0.56 0.28

XRCC1, rs1799782 2 1072 1436
CT vs CC 0.69 (0.28 – 1.71)   0.42 0.01 84% 0.35 0.53
TT vs CC 0.73 (0.26 – 2.10)   0.56 0.38 0 0.40 0.57
Carrier 0.66 (0.25 – 1.74)   0.42 0.01 86% 0.32 0.50

XRCC3, rs861539 3 912 1308
GA vs GG 0.97 (0.86 – 1.10)   0.68 0.30 17% 0.99 1.00
AA vs GG 1.05 (0.88 – 1.26)   0.57 0.74 0 0.92 1.00
Carrier 0.99 (0.88 – 1.12)   0.89 0.34 7% 1.00 1.00

COX2 rs5277 2 1334 1577
CG vs CC 1.07 (0.90 – 1.27)   0.45 0.36 0 0.91 1.00
GG vs CC 0.79 (0.50 – 1.25)   0.31 0.73 0 0.41 0.77
Carrier 1.01 (0.86 – 1.19)   0.92 0.69 0 0.98 1.00

ABCC2, rs17222723 3 1688 6517
AT vs TT 0.97 (0.79 – 1.20)   0.80 0.74 0 0.92 1.00
AA vs TT 2.02 (0.85 – 4.77)   0.11 0.19 40% 0.12 0.25
Carrier 1.01 (0.83 – 1.23)   0.94 0.95 0 0.96 1.00

NBN, rs1801282 2 1044 1435
CA vs CC 1.07 (0.89 – 1.29)   0.45 0.06 70% 0.95 1.00
AA cs CC 0.99 (0.61 – 1.60)   0.95 0.21 37% 0.76 0.75
Carrier 1.07 (0.89 – 1.27)   0.50 0.19 42% 0.71 0.95

TP53, rs104522 2 1174 1967
GC vs CC 1.12 (0.96 – 1.30)   0.16 0.65 0 0.81 1.00
GG vs CC 0.96 (0.71 – 1.29)   0.76 0.54 0 0.83 0.99
Carrier 1.09 (0.94 – 1.26)   0.25 0.57 0

NFKB1, rs3774937 2 1041 5565
TC vs TT 1.02 (0.86 – 1.18)   0.92 0.65 0 0.90 1.00
CC vs TT 1.13 (0.90 – 1.44)   0.29 0.46 0 0.69 0.99
Carrier 0.85 (0.56 – 1.30)   0.45 0.01 86% 0.54 0.87

NFKB1A, rs696 2 1052 5563
AG vs GG 1.24 (1.06 – 1.45)   0.01 0.56 0 0.34 0.99 0.95 0.88
AA vs GG 1.40 (1.12 – 1.74) 0.003 0.25 23% 0.08 0.733 0.97 0.77
Carrier 1.27 (1.10 – 1.48) 0.002 0.35 0 0.23 0.98 0.90 0.70

NFKB1A, rs8904 2 1046 5566
CT cs CC 1.13 (0.96 – 1.32)   0.14 0.20 40% 0.78 1.00
TT vs CC 1.11 (0.89 – 1.39)   0.36 0.05 75% 0.77 1.00
Carrier 1.12 (0.97 – 1.31)   0.13 0.08 67% 0.81 1.00

NFKB1A, rs1050851 2 1331 1579
CT vs CC 0.87 (0.50 – 1.48)   0.60 0.002 90% 0.56 0.84
TT vs CC 0.88 (0.61 – 1.28)   0.51 0.52 0 0.61 0.93
Carrier 0.87 (0.52 – 1.44)   0.58 0.002 89% 0.57 0.85

NFKB1A, rs19571006
AT vs AA 1.09 (0.93 – 1.27)   0.30 0.90 0 0.89 1.00
TT vs AA 1.29 (0.67 – 2.48)   0.45 0.04 75% 0.41 0.67
Carrier 1.09 (0.94 – 1.27)   0.24 0.61 0 0.89 1.00

CHUK, rs2230804 2 1339 1577
AG vs AA 0.81 (0.54 – 1.24)   0.33 0.03 78% 0.45 0.82
GG vs AA 0.75 (0.48 – 1.17)   0.21 0.04 75% 0.32 0.70
Carrier 0.80 (0.52 – 1.22)   0.29 0.02 82% 0.43 0.80

PTGES, rs10448290 2 986 1884
AC vs AA 0.99 (0.80 – 1.23)   0.93 0.79 0 0.94 1.00
CC vs AA 1.42 (0.61 – 3.31)   0.41 0.06 71% 0.35 0.55
Carrier 1.01 (0.81 – 1.24)   0.96 0.48 0 0.95 1.00

PTGES, rs2241270 2 700 5866
AC vs AA 0.99 (0.82 – 1.20)   0.93 0.84 0 0.97 1.00
CC vs AA 0.90 (0.48 – 1.68)   0.73 0.77 0 0.60 0.83
Carrier 0.94 (0.82 – 1.18)   0.87 0.79 0 0.85 1.00

PTGES, rs4837404 2 1326 1579
AG vs AA 1.10 (0.94 – 1.29)   0.25 0.87 0 0.78 0.99
GG vs AA 1.08 (0.85 – 1.34)   0.51 0.41 0 0.83 1.00
Carrier 1.09 (0.94 – 1.27)   0.24 0.92 0 0.89 1.00

HPSE, rs4693608 3 1481 6520
GA vs GG 0.98 (0.84 – 1.14)   0.77 0.91 0 0.98 1.00
AA vs GG 0.98 (0.82 – 1.15)   0.70 0.88 0 0.98 1.00
Carrier  0.98 (0.85 – 1.13)   0.76 0.86 0 0.99 1.00

HPSE, rs11099592 3 1483 6520
GA vs GG 1.09 (0.96 – 1.24)   0.17 0.51 0 0.93 1.00
AA vs GG 0.87 (0.66 – 1.16)   0.35 0.30 16% 0.62 0.97
Carrier 1.06 (0.94 – 1.20)   0.34 0.39 0 0.98 1.00

HPSE, rs436425 2 607 5302
TC vs TT 1.00 (0.82 – 1.20)   0.97 0.60 0 0.98 1.00
CC vs TT 0.90 (0.66 – 1.23)   0.51 0.26 21% 0.69 0.97
Carrier 0.98 (0.83 – 1.16)   0.81 0.94 0 0.97 1.00

UGT1A6, rs1105879 3 1929 6774
TC vs CC 0.96 (0.85 – 1.08)   0.46 0.40 0 0.99 1.00
CC vs TT 1.02 (0.85 – 1.21)   0.87 0.74 0 0.97 1.00
Carrier 0.97 (0.87 – 1.09)   0.58 0.60 0 1.00 1.00

UGT1A6, rs2070959 3 1923 6785
AG vs AA 0.97 (0.86 – 1.09)   0.61 0.54 0 1.00 1.00
GG vs AA 1.07 (0.89 – 1.28)   0.49 0.66 0 0.86 1.00
Carrier 1.77 (0.56 – 5.52)   0.33 <0.001 99% 0.25 0.39

CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio

Discussion

It is clear that substantial research has been carried out examining polymorphic variants in a number of putative candidate genes as risk factors for HL. While our meta-analysis provides some support for a variation in XPG/ERCC5 as a risk factors for HL, as well as 8 other variants, these data should be interpreted with caution as the identified associations are not robust on the basis of multiple testing correction and FPRP.

Even excluding this, a number of general conclusions can be constructed from the published studies. Few of the studies variants have been reported as statistically significant in more than one study. It is generally acknowledged that independent replication of study findings is a prerequisite to assess the robustness of findings. In some studies, the failure to demonstrate a relationship may simply be a consequence of poor power because of sample size. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of cancer have revealed that the relative risk associated with common variants is, typically between 1.1 and 1.3(47). Fewer than 40% of the studies we reviewed had 80% power to demonstrate even a 2-fold difference in risk at the 0.05 significance level. To overcome this lack of power, we have undertaken a meta-analysis pooling the data from the published studies. There are, however, caveats to this statistical procedure.

In any systematic review, publication bias is clearly of great concern. The most common scenario is that negative findings may go unreported. Furthermore, many studies excluded do not describe the ethnicity of cases or controls, and it is assumed that each polymorphism is functional with respect to risk in each study population. If, however, the polymorphism is a neutral marker for another variant, the assumption may well not apply, since LD is often population-dependent. Here we have relied on data extractable from published reports. Ideally, access to primary data is desirable; in the absence of this it would be advisable that in the future at least summary data be published to allow meta-analysis to be conducted.

An important lesson from the published studies is that greater attention should be paid to study design. Data from GWAS have demonstrated a differing allelic architecture of genetic susceptibility to HL with respect to histology and EBV status. Few studies have stratified genotype data according to histology and EBV status. This may explain the lack of consistency in candidate gene association studies and in our meta-analysis. Due to the lack of stratification in the majority of studies we were unable to include this in our meta-analysis. The issue of population stratification in case-control studies and resulting false positive results is also of concern. Such associations occur because of population subdivision and non-random mating, leading to variation in the marker frequency within the population as a result of founder effects and/or genetic drift. The severity of spurious association becomes an increasing problem with increasing study size. To avoid this problem, potential confounding effect of population stratification should be allowed for in the design and analysis of the study. This requires the identification of sub-populations in terms of factors that can influence both disease and marker allele frequencies. Provided cases and controls are well matched, differences in the frequency of genotypes will only be seen at predisposition loci. Hence, stratification can be detected by typing a series of unlinked markers chosen from a panel known to exhibit differences in allele frequency between populations.

We have attempted to review published analyses of the relationship between polymorphic variation and risk of HL through several iterations of search criteria; it is possible, however, that we have missed some published studies. As the number of articles on genetic variation on risk of HL published in the past decade has increased considerably and continues to grow, we accept that this review provides a snapshot of progress to date in the field.

All of the studies we have reviewed have been based on a candidate gene approach. It is clear from studies of cancer that without a clear understanding of tumour causalities the definition of what constitutes a candidate gene is inherently problematic, making an unbiased approach through GWAS highly desirable. Moreover, the possibility of missing the identification of important variants in hitherto unstudied genes is avoided. Thus far GWAS of HL have provided evidence that variation in a number of genes including REL, EOMES, ERAP1, IL13, PVT1, GATA3 and TCF3 (7, 8, 48, 49) influence the risk of developing HL. In contrast to the candidate gene studies, the substantial evidence supporting these variants, including sizeable power and replication in large samples, indicate that the associations are highly robust. These data thus provide the first unambiguous evidence that common low penetrance susceptibility alleles contribute to the risk of HL.

Conclusions

The search for polymorphic variants influencing the risk of HL is a worthy enterprise. However, the studies that have been conducted to date have important lessons for the design and execution of future studies. Candidate gene analyses should be viewed as complementary to GWAS, as they theoretically offer advantages both in terms of statistical power and an ability to identify low frequency risk variants. Furthermore, many functional variants, such as the small scale insertion and deletions in carcinogen metabolism genes, are poorly captured by tagging SNPs used in GWAS. It is however, clear that in addition to conducting studies using adequate sample, attention should be paid to study design to avoid problems of aetiological heterogeneity, population stratification and other sources of potential bias in order to maximise the output of any future candidate gene study.

Acknowledgements

AS is in receipt of a Cancer Research UK Clinical Training Fellowship through The Institute of Cancer Research.

Footnotes

Ethical consideration: No experiments on human subjects were carried out as part of this research article. This article conforms with the host Institution ethical guidelines and the Declaration of Helsinki

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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