Fig 4. Pooled predictions of the timelines to reach 1% mf from three LF models.

The shaded regions show the weighted 95% percentile interval from the composite predictions of all three models of the timelines required to cross the WHO 1% elimination threshold for all five scenarios. The black dots indicate upper and lower bounds (weighted 2.5^th and 97.5^th percentiles) of the composite predictions from all three models for each scenario. The range of predictions is tightest when the models were constrained with data from scenarios 3 and 4.