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. 2018 Oct 2;35(11):225. doi: 10.1007/s11095-018-2501-7

Table VI.

Probabilities Predicted from PK/Efficacy Models and PK/Safety Models

Probabilities of occurrence of spontaneous bowel movement (SBM) respondera
Study No. Placebo Dose: 0.1 mg Dose: 0.2 mg Dose: 0.4 mg
AUCss Probability AUCss Probability AUCss Probability AUCss Probability
1107 V9221 (Phase 2b) 0.00 0.422 11.06 0.474 22.11 0.527 44.22 0.630
1314 V9231 and 1315 V9232 (Phase 3) 0.00 0.369 13.75 0.433 27.50 0.499 55.00 0.630
Probabilities of occurrence of gastrointestinal disordersb
Study No. Severity of Gastrointestinal Disorders Placebo Dose: 0.1 mg Dose: 0.2 mg Dose: 0.4 mg
AUCss Probability AUCss Probability AUCss Probability AUCss Probability
1107 V9221 (Phase 2b) Mild, Moderate, Severe 0.00 0.146 11.06 0.195 22.11 0.254 44.22 0.403
Moderate, Severe 0.00 0.060 11.06 0.078 22.11 0.101 44.22 0.165
1314 V9231 and 1315 V9232 (Phase 3) Mild, Moderate, Severe 0.00 0.151 13.75 0.172 27.50 0.193 55.00 0.242
Moderate, Severe 0.00 0.060 13.75 0.071 27.50 0.083 55.00 0.113
Severe 0.00 0.012 13.75 0.015 27.50 0.018 55.00 0.027

aProbability (SBM Responder) = 1 / [1 + exp. (− a - b × AUCss)]

bProbability (Gastrointestinal Disorders) = 1 / [1 + exp. (− a - b × AUCss)]

AUCss in the placebo group was treated as zero. AUCss in 0.1 mg group was assumed to be half the AUCss in 0.2 mg group

AUCss in 0.4 mg group was assumed to be double the AUCss in 0.2 mg group

Unit of AUCss: ng*hr/ml

AUC in the placebo group was treated as zero. AUC in 0.1 mg group was assumed to be half the AUC in 0.2 mg group

AUC in 0.4 mg group was assumed to be double the AUC in 0.2 mg group

Unit of AUC: ng*hr/ml