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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Sep 23.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Surg. 2019 Jun;269(6):1154–1162. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000002734

Table 2.

Evaluated Cut-off Thresholds for Defining Early and Late Recurrence Based on the Prognosis After Recurrence

Evaluated Cut-off P Value Potential Early Recurrence Cohort
Potential Late Recurrence Cohort
N RFS (mo) PRS (mo) OS (mo) n RFS (mo) PRS (mo) OS (mo)

3 mo 3.43×10–1 85 1.6 7.9 9.1 604 13.7 7.5 23.7
4 mo 1.10×10–2 123 2.1 6.9 9.8 630 14.6 7.7 24.4
5 mo 6.79×10–4 157 2.6 6.5 9.2 596 15.1 7.9 25.1
6 mo 8.70×10–5 182 3.3 6.5 9.9 571 15.6 8.0 25.9
7 mo 1.70×10–5 222 3.8 6.5 10.1 531 16.6 8.0 26.6
8 mo 3.73×10–7 244 4.0 6.4 10.2 509 17.1 8.3 28.1
9 mo 1.29×10–9 277 4.4 6.1 10.7 476 18.1 8.9 29.6
10 mo 1.68×10–11 319 5.3 6.0 11.2 434 19.4 9.7 31.5
11 mo 2.56×10–11 353 5.9 6.2 12.3 400 20.2 10.3 32.5
12 mo 3.31×10–13 388 6.5 6.1 13.0 365 20.9 10.8 34.6
13 mo 4.21×10–13 410 6.8 6.2 13.6 343 23.0 10.8 35.6
14 mo 6.9810–13 437 7.1 6.2 13.9 316 24.5 10.9 38.5
15 mo 3.47×10–12 462 7.5 6.4 14.4 291 25.7 10.6 40.2
16 mo 1.49×10–12 489 8.4 6.6 14.9 264 26.9 10.9 43.3
17 mo 4.75×10–11 508 8.6 6.7 15.2 204 27.6 11.7 44.9
18 mo 3.58×10–12 526 8.9 6.7 15.7 227 29.0 11.8 47.8
19 mo 1.21×10–11 543 9.1 6.9 16.0 210 30.6 12.1 48.4
20 mo 4.21×10–11 564 9.3 6.9 16.6 189 31.9 13.4 51.3

Shown in bold is the optimal cut-off threshold with the lowest P value. RFS indicates recurrence-free survival; PRS, post-recurrence survival; OS, overall survival.