Table 3. Calibration ratios for observed versus predicted 10-year major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) probability percent or hip fracture (HF) probability percent using unadjusted FRAX (referent) and four adjustments applied to those with diabetes.
No diabetes | Diabetes, any duration | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N = 40,407 | N = 4136 | |||||
Predicted | Observed | Calibration ratio | Predicted | Observed | Calibration ratio | |
MOF prediction | ||||||
FRAX MOF unadjusted | 9.5 | 9.5 | 1.00 (0.97-1.04) | 10.3 | 11.9 | 1.15 (1.03-1.28) |
With RA adjustment | 13.1 | 11.9 | 0.91 (0.81-1.01) | |||
With TBS adjustment | 11.7 | 11.9 | 1.02 (0.91-1.12) | |||
With T-score lowered 0.5 SD | 12.4 | 11.9 | 0.96 (0.86-1.06) | |||
With age raised 10 years | 12.9 | 11.9 | 0.93 (0.83-1.03) | |||
HF prediction | ||||||
FRAX HF unadjusted | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.17 (1.08-1.25) | 2.5 | 4.5 | 1.85 (1.51-2.20) |
With RA adjustment | 3.4 | 4.5 | 1.35 (1.10-1.60) | |||
With TBS adjustment | 2.8 | 4.5 | 1.63 (1.33-1.93) | |||
With T-score lowered 0.5 SD | 3.7 | 4.5 | 1.22 (0.99-1.44) | |||
With age raised 10 years | 3.7 | 4.5 | 1.22 (0.99-1.44) |
Boldface indicates p-value <0.05. RA, rheumatoid arthritis. TBS, trabecular bone score. 10-year fracture probability includes competing mortality.