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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet HIV. 2018 Feb 25;5(4):e181–e189. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(18)30009-2

Table 3:

HIV incidence and crude and adjusted HIV incidence rate ratios by migrant and resident status among women and men

Resident Status No of events/
py* at risk
Incidence rate per
100 py (95%CI)
Crude IRR
(95% CI)
Demographics
only adjIRR (95%)
Demographics+sexual
behaviors adjIRR (95% CI)
Women (N=8,326)
Permanent residents 315/33730 0.93 (0.84, 1.04) Ref. Ref. Ref.
In-migrants (time since arrival)
0–2 years 70/3646 1.92 (1.52, 2.43) 2.04 (1.58, 2.63) 1.75 (1.33, 2.33) 2.35 (1.61, 3.42)
> 2 years 102/11703 0.87 (0.72, 1.06) 0.93 (0.75, 1.16) 0.94 (0.74, 1.19) 0.99 (0.69, 1.42)
Men (N= 6,861)
Permanent residents 283/33849 0.84 (0.74, 0.94) Ref. Ref. Ref.
In-migrants (time since arrival)
0–2 years 21/1384 1.52 (0.99, 2.33) 1.81 (1.17, 2.81) 1.74 (1.12, 2.71) 1.89 (1.12, 3.19)
> 2 years 50/4980 1.00 (0.76, 1.32) 1.20 (0.89, 1.62) 1.28 (0.94, 1.74) 1.25 (0.84, 1.87)
Women and Men (N=15,187)
Permanent residents 598/67579 0.88 (0.82, 0.96) Ref. Ref. Ref.
In-migrants (time since arrival)
0–2 years 91/5031 1.81 (1.47, 2.22) 2.03 (1.64, 2.53) 1.76 (1.40, 2.23) 2.10 (1.56, 2.83)
> 2 years 152/16682 0.91 (0.78, 1.07) 1.02 (0.86, 1.23) 1.00 (0.83, 1.21) 1.03 (0.79, 1.35)

IRR=incidence rate ratio; adjIRR=adjusted incidence rate ratio.

*

person-years;

**

no migration history. Model adjusted for demographics included the following variables in addition to migration history: age in years, marital status, education, religion, time period, occupation and ma le circumcision; Models adjusted for sexual behaviors included sex with partners residing outside community in the past year, number of different sexual partners in the past year, number of lifetime sexual partner, number of non-marital partners, consistent condom use with a non-marital partner and alcohol use with sex; Bolded estimates are statistically significant at p < 0.05