Abstract P281 – Table 1. Potential scenarios based on 2L DTG adoption and DTG durability
| Patients needing PIs (000s) | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario 1: 2L DTG adoption in 2020; 6 yr median DTG durability | 990 | 1150 | 990 | 580 | 460 | 970 | 2390 | 4300 |
| Scenario 2: 2L DTG adoption in 2019; 6 yr median DTG durability | 990 | 920 | 520 | 250 | 410 | 980 | 2460 | 4460 |
| Scenario 3: 2L DTG adoption in 2020; 7 yr median DTG durability | 990 | 1150 | 990 | 530 | 240 | 360 | 890 | 2260 |
| Scenario 4: 2L DTG adoption in 2019; 7 yr median DTG durability | 990 | 920 | 520 | 200 | 180 | 360 | 910 | 2330 |
| Scenario 5: 2L DTG adoption in 2020; 8 yr median DTG durability | 990 | 1150 | 990 | 530 | 190 | 160 | 310 | 840 |
| Scenario 6: 2L DTG adoption in 2019; 8 yr median DTG durability | 990 | 920 | 520 | 200 | 130 | 140 | 310 | 860 |