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. 2018 Oct 12;5(11):ofy261. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofy261

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© The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial reproduction and distribution of the work, in any medium, provided the original work is not altered or transformed in any way, and that the work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com

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Figure 1. — Probabilities of Zika virus (ZIKV) incubation period (IP) calculated by interval-censored survival analyses using declared traveling periods of symptomatic patients returning from areas with ZIKV transmission. Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimates (A) and Bayesian accelerated failure-time regression models (AFT) estimates (B) of ZIKV IP are represented. The table displaying number of individuals at risk to develop symptoms after ZIKV exposure via an infectious mosquito bite is provided in A. An AFT with a log-logistic error distribution was fit with a Bayesian regression model to provide Bayesian estimates. Non-parametric estimates are represented on B below the Bayesian regression curve. Medians are indicated for both analyses (A and B), and the 95th percentile is provided for the Bayesian analysis only (B). Light gray shading denotes 95% confidence intervals (CI).