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. 2018 Jun 2;53(11):1161–1171. doi: 10.1007/s00127-018-1536-8

Table 4.

Risk assessment total scores (number of risk factors present) and diagnostic accuracy statistics with 95% confidence intervals

Risk assessment (Total score) Suicides Non-suicides Sensitivity, % (95% CI) Specificity, % (95% CI) Positive predictive value, % (95% CI) Negative predictive value, % (95% CI) Likelihood ratio, + (95% CI) Likelihood ratio, − (95% CI) Diagnostic OR (95% CI)
0 2 1113 98 (91–100) 8 (8–9) 1 (0–1) 100 (99–100) 1.1 (1.0–1.1) 0.3 (0.1–1.2) 3.5 (0.9–14.3)
1 3 1748 94 (86–98) 21 (20–22) 1 (1–1) 100 (100–100) 1.2 (1.1–1.3) 0.3 (0.1–0.7) 4.0 (1.6–9.9)
2 7 2042 85 (76–92) 36 (35–37) 1 (1–1) 100 (100–100) 1.3 (1.2–1.5) 0.4 (0.2–0.7) 3.2 (1.7–5.9)
3 8 1909 75 (64–84) 50 (49–51) 1 (1–1) 100 (100–100) 1.5 (1.3–1.7) 0.5 (0.3–0.7) 3.02 (1.8–5.0)
4 8 1727 65 (54–76) 62 (62–63) 1 (1–1) 100 (99–100) 1.7 (1.5–2.0) 0.5 (0.4–0.7) 3.1 (2.0–5.0)
5 12 1443 51 (39–62) 73 (72–74) 1 (1–1) 100 (99–100) 1.9 (1.5–2.3) 0.7 (0.5–0.8) 2.8 (1.8–4.3)
6 10 1161 38 (28–50) 81 (81–82) 1 (1–2) 100 (99–100) 2.1 (1.6–2.7) 0.8 (0.6–0.9) 2.7 (1.73–4.3)
7 10 836 26 (17–37) 88 (87–88) 1 (1–2) 100 (99–100) 2.1 (1.4–3.0) 0.8 (0.7–1.0) 2.5 (1.5–4.1)
8 9 712 15 (8–24) 93 (92–93) 1 (1–2) 100 (99–100) 2.0 (1.2–3.5) 0.9 (0.8–1.0) 2.23 (1.2–4.1)
9 4 427 10 (4–19) 96 (96–96) 1 (1–3) 100 (99–100) 2.4 (1.2–4.7) 0.9 (0.8–1.0) 2.6 (1.2–5.3)
10 4 291 5 (1–12) 98 (98–98) 1 (1–4) 100 (99–100) 2.5 (0.9–6.6) 1.0 (0.9–1.0) 2.6 (0.9–7.1)
11 3 167 1 (0–7) 99 (99–99) 1 (0–5) 100 (99–100) 1.7 (0.2–11.7) 1.0 (1.0–1.0) 1.6 (0.2–12.1)
12 1 64 0 (0–4) 1 (1–1) 0 (0–9) 99 (99–100) 0 (0–0) 1.0 (1.0–1.0) NA
13 0 28 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
14 0 10 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA