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. 2018 Sep 21;2(11):1331–1343. doi: 10.1002/hep4.1233

Table 4.

Comparison Between AUROC Curve of MELD and Other Cox Regression Models for Differentiation Between TFS Versus T/D

Parameters AUROC 95% CI Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV Accuracy P P *,†,‡,§ P ||
Lower Upper (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
MELD* 0.77 0.63 0.87 92 55 57 92 70 0.0009
4COL7S 0.73 0.59 0.84 77 63 57 81 68 0.0012 0.6553
MELD + 4COL7S*, 0.83 0.71 0.90 69 85 75 81 79 <0.0001 0.3419* 0.2419
MELD + Age†, 0.84 0.73 0.91 58 95 88 78 80 <0.0001 0.1576
MELD + Age + 4COL7S†, 0.89 0.76 0.95 88 83 77 92 85 <0.0001 0.0497 0.0135
MELD + ln[NH3]‡, 0.83 0.73 0.90 92 73 69 95 80 <0.0001 0.1537
MELD + ln[NH3] + 4COL7S‡, 0.90 0.79 0.95 92 73 69 95 80 <0.0001 0.0118 0.0083
MELD + Age + ln[NH3]§, 0.90 0.79 0.95 96 70 68 97 80 <0.0001 0.0032
MELD + Age + ln[NH3] + 4COL7S§, 0.93 0.82 0.97 88 90 85 92 89 <0.0001 0.0855§ 0.0008

Statistics were evaluated in 66 non‐acetaminophen‐associated ALF cases with available 4COL7S levels. *,†,‡,§Significance with comparison between corresponding Cox regression models inclusive or exclusive of 4COL7S (by DeLong method); ||significance with comparison to MELD (by DeLong method); details of each Cox regression model in Supporting Table S3. P < 0.05 was significant.

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; T‐Bil, total bilirubin.