Table 5.
Statistical models of success
| 1. OLS model of log(Releases) | 2. NB model of Releases | 3. OLS model of log(Releases) with fixed effects | 4. NB model of Releases with fixed effects | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forbidden triads | .0445*** (.0100) | .2648*** (.0511) | .0316*** (.0112) | .2253*** (.0528) |
| Forbidden triads (squared) | −.0383*** (.0114) | −.2282*** (.0585) | −.0291** (.0127) | −.2672*** (.0606) |
| Closed triads | −.0052 (.0086) | −.0252 (.0449) | .0147 (.0099) | .0730 (.0471) |
| Closed triads (squared) | .0044 (.0078) | .0114 (.0409) | −.0173 (.0090) | −.0843* (.0429) |
| Median tie strength | −.0007*** (.0002) | .0071*** (.0012) | −.0006* (.0003) | −.0071*** (.0013) |
| Median tie strength (squared) | .0000* (.0000) | −.0001*** (.0000) | −.0000 (.0000) | −.0000 (.0000) |
| Distinctiveness | −.0723*** (.0067) | −.5120*** (.0354) | −.0425*** (.0094) | .1248*** (.0428) |
| Musicians (n) | .0002*** (.0001) | −.0024*** (.0005) | .0011*** (.0001) | .0078*** (.0006) |
| Newbies proportion | −.0779*** (.0033) | −.5364*** (.0185) | −.0783*** (.0047) | −.2066*** (.0224) |
| Median past releases | .0358*** (.0002) | .1162*** (.0010) | .0261*** (.0002) | .0239*** (.0003) |
| Past sessions (n) | −.0000*** (.0000) | .0001*** (.0000) | −.0000*** (.0000) | −.0005*** (.0000) |
| Year | −.0040*** (.0000) | −.0200*** (.0001) | −.0055*** (.0001) | −.0027*** (.0004) |
| Constant | .7215*** (.0049) | 2.3051*** (.0261) | −.8403*** (.0088) | 1.5289*** (.0392) |
| Fixed effects for band leader | No | No | Yes | Yes |
| N of observations | 81,527 | 81,527 | 72,042 | 72,042 |
| F | 7866.36*** | 1886.44*** | ||
| Chi-square | 65,153.39*** | 8088.77*** | ||
| R-square (adjusted) | .536 | .189a | .514 | .339a |
| Log likelihood | −139,558.13 | −104,666.63 |
Notes: aMcFadden’s adjusted pseudo R-squared is used. Standard errors are in parentheses. *: P < .05; **: p < .01; ***: p < .001