Table 3. Algorithm performance in predicting the presence of high myopia at 18 years of age.
| Measure | Year | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| AUC | 0.985 | 0.976 | 0.940 | 0.901 | 0.856 | 0.837 | 0.822 | 0.801 | 0.761 | 0.741 |
| n | 2,262 | 2,961 | 3,356 | 3,308 | 3,474 | 3,332 | 2,827 | 2,381 | 1,923 | 1,438 |
| Nn | 1,439 | 1,944 | 2,417 | 2,514 | 2,787 | 2,756 | 2,372 | 2,049 | 1,672 | 1,278 |
| Pn | 823 | 1,017 | 939 | 794 | 687 | 576 | 455 | 332 | 251 | 160 |
In the setting of predicting the presence of high myopia at 18 years old, our algorithm provided clinically acceptable prediction 3 years (the AUC ranged from 0.940 to 0.985), 5 years (the AUC ranged from 0.856 to 0.902), and even 8 years into the future (the AUC ranged from 0.801 to 0.837). AUC values more than 0.950 are shaded dark green, AUC values from 0.900 to 0.950 are shaded medium green, AUC values from 0.800 to 0.899 are shaded light green, and AUC values less than 0.800 are shaded yellow.
AUC, area under the curve; Nn, negative sample; Pn, positive sample (high myopia).