Table 6.
Estimated number of excess deaths from smoking that would have been averted in 2010, net of confounders, by sex, U.S. adults ages 35+ years
| Female | Male | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Current Smoker Rates Were Replaced by Never Smoker Rates | |||
| Established causes | |||
| 35−44 | 1,902 | 3,896 | 5,798 |
| 45−54 | 9,495 | 19,450 | 28,945 |
| 55−64 | 22,738 | 44,609 | 67,347 |
| 65−74 | 27,905 | 49,489 | 77,394 |
| 75−84 | 22,979 | 24,713 | 47,692 |
| 85+ | 4,796 | 4,169 | 8,965 |
| Total | 89,815 | 146,326 | 236,141 |
| Additional causes | |||
| 35−44 | 1,206 | 1,538 | 2,744 |
| 45−54 | 2,580 | 5,664 | 8,244 |
| 55−64 | 4,808 | 11,140 | 15,948 |
| 65−74 | 4,720 | 7,509 | 12,229 |
| 75−84 | 3,328 | 3,764 | 7,092 |
| 85+ | 893 | 497 | 1,390 |
| Total | 17,535 | 30,112 | 47,647 |
| If Former Smoker Rates Were Replaced by Never Smoker Rates | |||
| Established causes | |||
| 35−44 | 333 | 289 | 622 |
| 45−54 | 1,473 | 3,385 | 4,858 |
| 55−64 | 7,255 | 13,015 | 20,270 |
| 65−74 | 18,080 | 37,390 | 55,470 |
| 75−84 | 20,497 | 47,616 | 68,113 |
| 85+ | 10,069 | 21,981 | 32,050 |
| Total | 57,707 | 123,676 | 181,383 |
| Additional causes | |||
| 35−44 | 289 | 268 | 557 |
| 45−54 | 279 | 718 | 997 |
| 55−64 | 987 | 1,574 | 2,561 |
| 65−74 | 1,568 | 1,224 | 2,792 |
| 75−84 | 2,899 | 5,301 | 8,200 |
| 85+ | 1,779 | –170 | 1,609 |
| Total | 7,801 | 8,915 | 16,716 |
| Total | 172,858 | 309,029 | 481,887 |
Note: Estimated number of excess deaths are based on 2010 U.S. population size and age composition, drawn from 2010 U.S. Census Summary File 1 (Howden and Meyer 2011). Models adjust for age, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, marital status, region, BMI, and health insurance status. Diseases established as caused by smoking are those recognized by the surgeon general (U.S. DHHS 2014). Additional diseases associated with smoking are those compiled by Carter et al. (2015).
Source: 1990–2011 NHIS-LMF