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. 2018 Nov 10;392(10159):1923–1994. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32225-6

Table 2.

Global age-standardised summary exposure values for all risk factors, 1990, 2007, and 2017, with mean percentage change for 1990–2007, 2007–17, and 1990–2017

Risk
Both sexes
Males
Females
Percentage change, 1990–2017 1990 2007 2017 Percentage change, 1990–2007 Percentage change, 2007–17 Percentage change, 1990–2017 1990 2007 2017 Percentage change, 1990–2007 Percentage change, 2007–17 Percentage change, 1990–2017
1 Environmental and occupational risks
2 Unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing
3 Unsafe water source −21·24% (−25·26 to −17·26)* 43·22 (41·16 to 44·81) 36·07 (33·72 to 37·87) 33·57 (30·81 to 35·60) −16·53% (−19·34 to −13·99)* −6·93% (−9·73 to −3·91)* −22·32% (−26·29 to −18·32)* 42·46 (40·42 to 44·03) 35·94 (33·62 to 37·70) 33·87 (31·09 to 35·88) −15·35% (−18·19 to −12·85)* −5·76% (−8·53 to −2·77)* −20·23% (−24·28 to −16·19)*
3 Unsafe sanitation −47·80% (−52·10 to −43·25)* 58·10 (53·42 to 64·54) 40·88 (36·53 to 46·98) 29·88 (25·66 to 35·37) −29·64% (−33·19 to −26·07)* −26·92% (−31·82 to −21·86)* −48·58% (−52·90 to −44·00)* 57·19 (52·49 to 63·65) 40·82 (36·45 to 46·95) 30·28 (26·02 to 35·86) −28·62% (−32·16 to −25·19)* −25·81% (−30·56 to −20·97)* −47·04% (−51·30 to −42·56)*
3 No access to handwashing facility −12·72% (−16·05 to −9·07)* 37·81 (36·77 to 38·82) 34·52 (33·41 to 35·60) 32·51 (31·36 to 33·63) −8·72% (−11·64 to −5·64)* −5·82% (−8·35 to −3·11)* −14·04% (−17·38 to −10·35)* 37·33 (36·35 to 38·30) 34·58 (33·52 to 35·62) 33·05 (31·93 to 34·14) −7·37% (−10·17 to −4·35)* −4·43% (−6·89 to −1·78)* −11·47% (−14·82 to −7·86)*
2 Air pollution
3 Particulate matter pollution
4 Ambient particulate matter pollution 41·21% (32·15 to 51·99)* 30·08 (23·45 to 38·60) 39·91 (31·90 to 50·67) 41·90 (33·87 to 52·75) 32·71% (25·60 to 40·41)* 4·97% (−0·59 to 10·91) 39·30% (29·87 to 50·14)* 26·83 (21·00 to 34·70) 36·13 (28·60 to 46·32) 38·48 (30·87 to 49·05) 34·66% (27·56 to 42·79)* 6·50% (0·68 to 13·17)* 43·41% (33·87 to 55·06)*
4 Household air pollution from solid fuels −45·83% (−49·75 to −41·46)* 45·57 (39·19 to 54·22) 31·57 (26·36 to 39·05) 23·90 (19·50 to 30·22) −30·73% (−34·45 to −26·65)* −24·30% (−28·40 to −19·95)* −47·56% (−51·58 to −42·78)* 46·00 (39·75 to 54·60) 33·13 (27·85 to 40·66) 25·67 (21·04 to 32·02) −27·98% (−31·53 to −24·27)* −22·50% (−26·61 to −18·30)* −44·19% (−48·30 to −39·43)*
3 Ambient ozone pollution 3·02% (2·30 to 4·82)* 41·72 (18·06 to 51·11) 41·88 (18·13 to 51·37) 42·89 (18·89 to 52·32) 0·38% (0·16 to 0·61)* 2·42% (1·77 to 4·14)* 2·81% (2·22 to 4·43)* 41·25 (17·72 to 50·99) 41·50 (17·88 to 51·27) 42·58 (18·65 to 52·26) 0·62% (0·41 to 0·91)* 2·60% (1·88 to 4·36)* 3·24% (2·40 to 5·22)*
2 Other environmental risks
3 Residential radon −0·23% (−5·56 to 5·43) 23·73 (14·82 to 33·91) 23·64 (14·79 to 33·99) 23·68 (14·72 to 34·19) −0·40% (−3·44 to 2·75) 0·18% (−1·97 to 2·32) −0·22% (−5·27 to 5·15) 23·72 (14·85 to 33·65) 23·64 (14·80 to 33·92) 23·66 (14·75 to 34·15) −0·33% (−3·57 to 3·21) 0·10% (−2·29 to 2·38) −0·23 (−5·72 to 5·66)
3 Lead exposure −27·66% (−33·58 to −22·08)* 15·65 (11·46 to 19·44) 13·94 (9·97 to 17·65) 11·14 (7·54 to 14·68) −10·93% (−13·35 to −8·81)* −20·12% (−24·35 to −16·16)* −28·85% (−34·39 to −23·60)* 9·56 (5·94 to 13·25) 8·79 (5·34 to 12·41) 7·15 (4·10 to 10·63) −8·11% (−10·42 to −6·13)* −18·67% (−23·43 to −14·24)* −25·26 (−31·19 to −19·60)*
2 Occupational risks
3 Occupational carcinogens
4 Occupational exposure to asbestos −13·76% (−26·71 to 2·19) 2·67 (2·33 to 3·05) 2·47 (2·38 to 2·60) 2·36 (2·28 to 2·45) −7·69% (−15·84 to 3·65) −4·24% (−8·89 to −0·25)* −11·61% (−22·98 to 2·54) 0·98 (0·76 to 1·25) 0·79 (0·73 to 0·88) 0·74 (0·70 to 0·79) −18·62% (−30·99 to −2·32)* −6·58% (−13·55 to −0·85)* −23·97% (−40·00 to −3·78)*
4 Occupational exposure to arsenic 5·12% (−0·36 to 25·19) 0·32 (0·09 to 0·61) 0·33 (0·10 to 0·60) 0·34 (0·10 to 0·61) 2·14% (−1·61 to 13·84) 2·96% (0·27 to 8·66)* 5·16% (−0·22 to 22·82) 0·29 (0·08 to 0·57) 0·30 (0·09 to 0·57) 0·31 (0·10 to 0·57) 3·10% (−1·78 to 18·37) 2·08% (−1·89 to 9·22) 5·25% (−1·93 to 27·75)
4 Occupational exposure to benzene 26·04% (18·96 to 41·92)* 0·54 (0·26 to 1·11) 0·60 (0·31 to 1·20) 0·65 (0·35 to 1·27) 11·09% (7·19 to 19·40)* 7·85% (5·67 to 11·95)* 19·81% (13·79 to 33·14)* 0·51 (0·22 to 1·10) 0·60 (0·28 to 1·26) 0·68 (0·34 to 1·37) 18·18% (13·55 to 28·19)* 12·38% (8·91 to 18·81)* 32·80% (24·14 to 51·85)*
4 Occupational exposure to beryllium 16·89% (14·86 to 18·95)* 0·06 (0·06 to 0·06) 0·07 (0·07 to 0·07) 0·07 (0·07 to 0·07) 8·52% (6·79 to 10·34)* 4·84% (3·52 to 6·14)* 13·77% (11·32 to 16·13)* 0·05 (0·05 to 0·06) 0·06 (0·06 to 0·06) 0·07 (0·06 to 0·07) 13·36% (10·83 to 16·02)* 6·40% (4·63 to 8·17)* 20·61% (17·00 to 23·99)*
4 Occupational exposure to cadmium 19·99% (16·30 to 23·69)* 0·13 (0·12 to 0·13) 0·14 (0·14 to 0·14) 0·15 (0·14 to 0·15) 10·87% (7·77 to 14·21)* 6·98% (4·25 to 9·51)* 18·60% (14·62 to 23·00)* 0·11 (0·11 to 0·11) 0·13 (0·12 to 0·13) 0·14 (0·13 to 0·14) 13·74% (8·91 to 18·80)* 6·97% (2·93 to 11·70)* 21·67% (15·26 to 28·32)*
4 Occupational exposure to chromium 27·30% (23·48 to 31·27)* 0·27 (0·26 to 0·27) 0·31 (0·30 to 0·32) 0·34 (0·33 to 0·35) 14·76% (11·61 to 18·16)* 9·57% (6·88 to 12·06)* 25·75% (21·56 to 30·31)* 0·23 (0·23 to 0·24) 0·28 (0·26 to 0·29) 0·30 (0·29 to 0·32) 17·53% (12·32 to 22·84)* 9·97% (5·72 to 14·97)* 29·25% (22·17 to 36·37)*
4 Occupational exposure to diesel engine exhaust 35·56% (32·42 to 38·55)* 1·51 (1·48 to 1·54) 1·83 (1·80 to 1·87) 2·07 (2·03 to 2·11) 21·61% (18·81 to 24·46)* 13·01% (10·71 to 15·21)* 37·44% (33·50 to 41·49)* 0·94 (0·92 to 0·97) 1·12 (1·09 to 1·15) 1·25 (1·22 to 1·29) 19·06% (15·56 to 22·55)* 11·94% (8·84 to 15·03)* 33·27% (28·17 to 38·41)*
4 Occupational exposure to formaldehyde 21·55% (17·49 to 25·59)* 0·59 (0·57 to 0·60) 0·66 (0·63 to 0·68) 0·71 (0·68 to 0·74) 12·38% (8·98 to 16·13)* 8·08% (5·06 to 10·93)* 21·45% (16·98 to 26·18)* 0·49 (0·47 to 0·51) 0·55 (0·53 to 0·58) 0·60 (0·57 to 0·63) 12·83% (7·23 to 18·52)* 7·96% (3·51 to 12·96)* 21·81% (14·97 to 28·83)*
4 Occupational exposure to nickel 1·54% (−5·26 to 19·70) 0·35 (0·08 to 1·10) 0·35 (0·09 to 1·08) 0·36 (0·10 to 1·08) 0·75% (−3·92 to 11·90) 2·38% (−0·40 to 8·20) 3·15% (−3·54 to 20·18) 0·28 (0·06 to 0·90) 0·28 (0·07 to 0·85) 0·28 (0·07 to 0·84) −0·34% (−5·50 to 14·23) 0·17% (−3·46 to 8·49) −0·17% (−7·70 to 20·71)
4 Occupational exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons 27·66% (23·85 to 31·43)* 0·55 (0·54 to 0·56) 0·64 (0·62 to 0·65) 0·70 (0·68 to 0·72) 14·82% (11·95 to 18·02)* 9·71% (7·23 to 12·04)* 25·97% (21·96 to 30·35)* 0·48 (0·47 to 0·49) 0·56 (0·54 to 0·59) 0·62 (0·59 to 0·65) 17·49% (12·50 to 22·50)* 10·47% (6·20 to 15·11)* 29·79% (23·18 to 36·31)*
4 Occupational exposure to silica 2·21% (−2·51 to 12·86) 3·71 (1·52 to 9·28) 3·86 (1·70 to 9·29) 4·05 (1·85 to 9·56) 4·01% (0·32 to 11·54)* 4·82% (2·21 to 8·77)* 9·02% (3·50 to 21·16)* 2·50 (1·00 to 6·31) 2·36 (1·01 to 5·64) 2·32 (1·01 to 5·48) −5·37% (−9·14 to 2·24) −2·09% (−5·24 to 2·77) −7·35% (−12·39 to 2·21)
4 Occupational exposure to sulphuric acid 6·40% (0·16 to 15·05)* 0·65 (0·39 to 1·34) 0·68 (0·42 to 1·36) 0·69 (0·44 to 1·35) 4·15% (0·11 to 10·25)* 2·25% (−0·37 to 5·61) 6·50% (0·25 to 15·14)* 0·58 (0·34 to 1·20) 0·61 (0·38 to 1·23) 0·61 (0·39 to 1·22) 5·26% (0·24 to 12·06)* 1·15% (−2·49 to 6·06) 6·47% (−0·62 to 16·38)
4 Occupational exposure to trichloroethylene 30·29% (27·26 to 33·55)* 0·16 (0·15 to 0·16) 0·18 (0·18 to 0·19) 0·20 (0·20 to 0·21) 16·76% (14·28 to 19·65)* 10·21% (8·22 to 12·23)* 28·67% (25·25 to 32·40)* 0·13 (0·13 to 0·13) 0·16 (0·15 to 0·16) 0·17 (0·17 to 0·18) 19·59% (15·55 to 23·76)* 10·72% (7·41 to 14·55)* 32·42% (26·78 to 38·05)*
3 Occupational asthmagens −4·99% (−9·49 to −0·40)* 16·13 (13·44 to 19·43) 15·59 (13·03 to 18·78) 15·39 (12·87 to 18·38) −3·33% (−7·27 to 0·67) −1·27% (−4·61 to 1·74) −4·55% (−9·66 to 0·49) 8·50 (6·78 to 10·63) 8·26 (6·70 to 10·20) 8·04 (6·59 to 9·74) −2·78% (−9·20 to 3·95) −2·68% (−7·59 to 2·70) −5·38% (−12·99 to 2·95)
3 Occupational particulate matter, gases, and fumes 1·85% (−0·08 to 3·94) 8·45 (6·44 to 11·42) 8·50 (6·55 to 11·39) 8·48 (6·57 to 11·31) 0·55% (−0·73 to 2·07) −0·24% (−1·20 to 0·80) 0·31% (−1·86 to 2·66) 5·00 (3·80 to 6·73) 5·22 (4·01 to 6·96) 5·20 (4·02 to 6·95) 4·35% (2·46 to 6·58)* −0·28% (−1·60 to 1·19) 4·06% (1·28 to 7·34)*
3 Occupational noise 6·30% (5·01 to 7·56)* 8·60 (8·24 to 9·12) 8·80 (8·44 to 9·31) 8·91 (8·55 to 9·42) 2·27% (1·35 to 3·32)* 1·28% (0·69 to 1·87)* 3·58% (2·16 to 5·19)* 5·21 (4·96 to 5·53) 5·58 (5·34 to 5·92) 5·74 (5·50 to 6·10) 7·15% (5·65 to 8·90)* 2·91% (1·94 to 3·84)* 10·28% (7·99 to 12·79)*
3 Occupational injuries .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
3 Occupational ergonomic factors −14·08% (−18·25 to −9·86)* 17·09 (15·92 to 18·44) 15·91 (14·73 to 17·38) 14·71 (13·50 to 16·15) −6·90% (−11·17 to −2·80)* −7·54% (−10·64 to −4·41)* −13·92% (−18·71 to −9·08)* 11·25 (10·41 to 12·22) 10·54 (9·70 to 11·50) 9·65 (8·75 to 10·74) −6·28% (−12·78 to 0·55) −8·42% (−13·25 to −3·44)* −14·17% (−21·15 to −6·81)*
1 Behavioural risks
2 Child and maternal malnutrition
3 Suboptimal breastfeeding
4 Non-exclusive breastfeeding −10·89% (−13·64 to −7·53)* 0·44 (0·30 to 0·62) 0·40 (0·28 to 0·57) 0·39 (0·27 to 0·53) −7·10% (−8·99 to −5·22)* −4·20% (−6·88 to −1·09)* −11·01% (−13·78 to −7·61)* 0·43 (0·30 to 0·62) 0·41 (0·28 to 0·57) 0·39 (0·27 to 0·54) −6·81% (−8·62 to −4·99)* −4·25% (−6·87 to −1·20)* −10·77% (−13·48 to −7·43)*
4 Discontinued breastfeeding −1·40% (−3·55 to 0·89) 1·16 (1·13 to 1·18) 1·08 (1·07 to 1·09) 1·14 (1·13 to 1·16) −6·72% (−8·55 to −4·80)* 5·92% (4·43 to 7·42)* −1·20% (−3·41 to 1·12) 1·16 (1·14 to 1·18) 1·07 (1·06 to 1·09) 1·14 (1·12 to 1·15) −7·27% (−9·03 to −5·45)* 6·11% (4·67 to 7·53)* −1·61% (−3·71 to 0·62)
3 Child growth failure
4 Child underweight −44·35% (−48·14 to −41·23)* 1·65 (1·48 to 1·79) 1·22 (1·06 to 1·36) 0·94 (0·80 to 1·06) −26·04% (−29·95 to −22·70)* −23·14% (−25·36 to −21·61)* −43·15% (−47·32 to −39·79)* 1·60 (1·42 to 1·76) 1·14 (0·99 to 1·29) 0·87 (0·73 to 0·99) −28·37% (−32·92 to −24·87)* −24·16% (−26·33 to −22·44)* −45·67% (−50·14 to −42·24)*
4 Child wasting −22·51% (−25·73 to −19·67)* 0·57 (0·48 to 0·65) 0·50 (0·42 to 0·58) 0·45 (0·37 to 0·52) −11·87% (−16·36 to −8·34)* −11·30% (−13·24 to −9·44)* −21·82% (−26·23 to −18·21)* 0·52 (0·44 to 0·59) 0·46 (0·37 to 0·53) 0·40 (0·33 to 0·46) −11·72% (−16·12 to −8·29)* −13·18% (−15·04 to −11·42)* −23·36% (−27·37 to −19·99)*
4 Child stunting −36·16% (−41·11 to −32·42)* 2·75 (1·89 to 3·06) 2·35 (1·64 to 2·60) 1·81 (1·27 to 2·05) −14·29% (−18·93 to −9·98)* −22·97% (−26·72 to −20·02)* −33·97% (−39·71 to −29·38)* 2·70 (1·89 to 3·01) 2·24 (1·55 to 2·50) 1·66 (1·17 to 1·91) −16·94% (−22·01 to −12·76)* −26·01% (−30·13 to −22·76)* −38·54% (−44·24 to −33·98)*
3 Low birthweight and short gestation
4 Short gestation for birthweight 25·26% (21·38 to 29·51)* 0·00 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 18·60% (14·85 to 22·55)* 7·38% (3·85 to 10·34)* 27·35% (21·83 to 32·59)* 0·00 (0·00 to 0·00) 0·00 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·00 (0·00 to 0·01) 16·51% (13·09 to 19·73)* 5·10% (2·43 to 7·72)* 22·45% (17·29 to 27·17)*
4 Low birthweight for gestation 5·92% (1·12 to 11·21)* 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 2·67% (−2·39 to 8·23) 3·46% (0·62 to 7·00)* 6·22% (−0·73 to 14·61) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 0·01 (0·00 to 0·01) 2·28% (−1·86 to 7·30) 3·25% (0·71 to 5·60)* 5·60% (−0·11 to 11·72)
3 Iron deficiency −23·44% (−27·96 to −19·44)* .. .. .. .. .. .. 12·69 (10·50 to 15·30) 10·78 (8·67 to 13·27) 9·70 (7·68 to 12·17) −15·03% (−18·63 to −11·98)* −10·04% (−12·97 to −7·26)* −23·56% (−28·07 to −19·59)*
3 Vitamin A deficiency −14·93% (−17·56 to −12·48)* 2·56 (2·21 to 2·95) 2·41 (2·08 to 2·79) 2·17 (1·85 to 2·54) −5·88% (−7·27 to −4·57)* −10·08% (−12·43 to −7·74)* −15·37% (−18·17 to −12·89)* 2·49 (2·15 to 2·88) 2·36 (2·03 to 2·73) 2·13 (1·82 to 2·50) −5·35% (−6·77 to −4·01)* −9·63% (−12·19 to −7·27)* −14·46% (−17·36 to −11·81)*
3 Zinc deficiency −30·29% (−35·62 to −24·00)* 0·92 (0·28 to 1·77) 0·76 (0·24 to 1·45) 0·64 (0·19 to 1·26) −17·99% (−23·55 to −8·44)* −14·85% (−22·51 to −8·70)* −30·17% (−36·78 to −21·56)* 0·93 (0·27 to 1·76) 0·76 (0·24 to 1·45) 0·64 (0·20 to 1·29) −18·32% (−23·86 to −9·54)* −14·81% (−22·91 to −8·51)* −30·42% (−37·34 to −22·61)*
2 Tobacco
3 Smoking −27·01% (−29·04 to −25·04)* 11·28 (9·97 to 12·66) 9·86 (8·74 to 11·12) 8·70 (7·72 to 9·79) −12·55% (−15·17 to −9·96)* −11·77% (−13·43 to −10·01)* −22·84% (−25·22 to −20·48)* 3·03 (2·69 to 3·42) 2·14 (1·87 to 2·45) 1·76 (1·52 to 2·02) −29·41% (−32·09 to −26·70)* −17·69% (−19·36 to −16·15)* −41·90% (−44·51 to −39·26)*
3 Chewing tobacco 2·29% (−7·00 to 12·86) 3·87 (3·50 to 4·28) 3·84 (3·62 to 4·07) 3·75 (3·49 to 3·99) −0·70% (−10·25 to 10·88) −2·38% (−8·94 to 5·11) −3·07% (−13·75 to 9·32) 2·26 (1·99 to 2·56) 2·51 (2·29 to 2·76) 2·51 (2·26 to 2·78) 10·97% (−3·08 to 26·36) 0·01% (−9·14 to 10·78) 10·99% (−5·66 to 29·80)
3 Second-hand smoke −21·43% (−23·56 to −19·30)* 37·72 (36·74 to 38·70) 31·63 (30·95 to 32·28) 30·28 (29·49 to 31·03) −16·14% (−18·81 to −13·41)* −4·29% (−6·12 to −2·50)* −19·73% (−22·82 to −16·64)* 55·74 (54·84 to 56·65) 46·24 (45·64 to 46·83) 43·06 (42·34 to 43·73) −17·04% (−18·84 to −15·22)* −6·87% (−7·86 to −5·78)* −22·74% (−24·68 to −20·68)*
2 Alcohol use 5·06% (−3·78 to 16·70) 14·70 (10·85 to 19·08) 15·60 (11·66 to 19·90) 16·23 (12·08 to 20·62) 6·16% (1·44 to 12·04)* 4·04% (−3·29 to 12·12) 10·45% (0·63 to 22·45)* 5·20 (3·28 to 8·08) 4·77 (3·02 to 7·43) 4·65 (2·96 to 7·16) −8·27% (−11·62 to −4·80)* −2·55% (−7·82 to 3·98) −10·62% (−17·02 to −2·18)*
2 Drug use 6·12% (−1·31 to 12·81) 0·80 (0·66 to 0·98) 0·81 (0·68 to 0·97) 0·86 (0·72 to 1·04) 1·62% (−2·63 to 5·43) 6·46% (2·56 to 10·64)* 8·19% (0·33 to 15·62)* 0·41 (0·34 to 0·52) 0·40 (0·34 to 0·50) 0·42 (0·35 to 0·52) −2·11% (−6·24 to 1·44) 4·62% (1·89 to 7·45)* 2·42% (−3·92 to 8·46)
2 Dietary risks
3 Diet low in fruits −16·58% (−20·93 to −13·20)* 41·15 (35·95 to 43·87) 37·76 (32·37 to 40·96) 34·72 (29·05 to 38·30) −8·23% (−10·79 to −6·35)* −8·07% (−10·70 to −6·07)* −15·64% (−19·96 to −12·32)* 38·99 (33·82 to 42·00) 35·35 (29·94 to 38·89) 32·14 (26·64 to 36·06) −9·33% (−12·16 to −7·13)* −9·08% (−12·00 to −6·77)* −17·57% (−22·33 to −13·68)*
3 Diet low in vegetables −25·60% (−31·95 to −20·57)* 35·04 (31·55 to 38·18) 29·42 (25·21 to 33·30) 25·63 (21·20 to 29·72) −16·03% (−21·02 to −12·12)* −12·88% (−17·07 to −9·52)* −26·84% (−33·90 to −21·22)* 36·41 (33·12 to 39·35) 31·17 (26·96 to 34·90) 27·51 (23·05 to 31·60) −14·40% (−18·99 to −10·80)* −11·75% (−15·63 to −8·63)* −24·46% (−30·99 to −19·15)*
3 Diet low in legumes −6·18% (−9·08 to −2·69)* 21·06 (17·40 to 24·33) 21·13 (18·06 to 23·93) 19·88 (16·89 to 22·61) 0·34% (−3·84 to 5·80) −5·93% (−8·59 to −3·70)* −5·61% (−10·07 to 0·10) 24·79 (21·35 to 27·99) 24·52 (21·44 to 27·34) 23·17 (20·20 to 25·82) −1·09% (−4·01 to 2·82) −5·51% (−7·37 to −3·55)* −6·54% (−9·76 to −2·67)*
3 Diet low in whole grains −1·99% (−2·77 to −1·31)* 39·23 (36·80 to 41·29) 39·21 (36·79 to 41·28) 38·46 (35·92 to 40·64) −0·04% (−0·73 to 0·65) −1·93% (−2·80 to −1·24)* −1·97% (−2·99 to −1·09)* 40·16 (37·90 to 42·09) 40·10 (37·80 to 42·05) 39·36 (36·95 to 41·44) −0·14% (−0·76 to 0·52) −1·84% (−2·63 to −1·16)* −1·99% (−2·91 to −1·16)*
3 Diet low in nuts and seeds −8·05% (−9·80 to −6·60)* 50·92 (50·10 to 51·59) 48·71 (47·51 to 49·73) 46·66 (45·03 to 48·05) −4·34% (−5·29 to −3·53)* −4·19% (−5·31 to −3·27)* −8·35% (−10·24 to −6·76)* 51·05 (50·27 to 51·71) 49·00 (47·85 to 49·97) 47·09 (45·46 to 48·40) −4·02% (−4·92 to −3·27)* −3·91% (−5·02 to −3·08)* −7·77% (−9·62 to −6·30)*
3 Diet low in milk −0·17% (−0·45 to 0·10) 45·53 (43·68 to 47·09) 45·56 (43·72 to 47·13) 45·35 (43·45 to 46·95) 0·07% (−0·23 to 0·32) −0·47% (−0·77 to −0·21)* −0·41% (−0·81 to −0·05)* 45·57 (43·74 to 47·13) 45·69 (43·88 to 47·21) 45·57 (43·77 to 47·11) 0·26% (0·01 to 0·53)* −0·24% (−0·52 to −0·00)* 0·01% (−0·36 to 0·35)
3 Diet high in red meat 24·36% (12·39 to 37·31)* 11·92 (10·57 to 13·60) 13·20 (10·85 to 15·28) 15·11 (12·67 to 17·16) 10·73% (−1·26 to 23·05) 14·51% (4·18 to 25·74)* 26·80% (13·02 to 42·06)* 5·69 (4·55 to 6·96) 5·50 (3·77 to 7·28) 6·81 (4·68 to 8·84) −3·36% (−18·75 to 13·13) 23·71% (7·41 to 42·85)* 19·55% (−0·62 to 43·50)
3 Diet high in processed meat −9·26% (−17·94 to −1·01)* 5·14 (4·22 to 6·43) 5·04 (4·16 to 6·49) 4·70 (3·59 to 6·30) −1·86% (−7·74 to 3·41) −6·86% (−14·14 to −1·12)* −8·60% (−18·72 to 0·86) 3·67 (2·72 to 4·89) 3·56 (2·72 to 4·88) 3·31 (2·37 to 4·78) −3·07% (−9·76 to 3·22) −7·01% (−15·25 to −0·53)* −9·87% (−20·20 to −0·10)*
3 Diet high in sugar-sweetened beverages 17·14% (8·34 to 28·02)* 5·40 (2·78 to 6·11) 5·78 (2·98 to 6·46) 6·58 (3·37 to 7·53) 7·07% (−0·77 to 16·86) 13·84% (7·17 to 22·04)* 21·88% (10·56 to 36·93)* 4·26 (2·19 to 4·93) 4·32 (2·24 to 4·90) 4·74 (2·43 to 5·52) 1·48% (−8·10 to 12·66) 9·71% (2·50 to 18·05)* 11·34% (−1·05 to 27·07)
3 Diet low in fibre −8·91% (−11·91 to −6·62)* 33·29 (29·03 to 36·82) 31·63 (27·12 to 35·34) 29·89 (25·25 to 33·84) −4·98% (−7·48 to −3·12)* −5·49% (−8·09 to −3·59)* −10·20% (−14·35 to −7·24)* 37·43 (33·84 to 40·34) 36·00 (32·26 to 39·08) 34·51 (30·41 to 37·81) −3·80% (−5·65 to −2·43)* −4·15% (−6·08 to −2·76)* −7·79% (−10·94 to −5·47)*
3 Diet low in calcium −8·74% (−11·17 to −6·88)* 40·27 (37·48 to 42·55) 38·34 (35·16 to 40·93) 36·24 (32·61 to 39·15) −4·81% (−6·29 to −3·71)* −5·47% (−7·29 to −4·14)* −10·01% (−13·01 to −7·83)* 41·68 (39·09 to 43·76) 40·22 (37·39 to 42·57) 38·52 (35·36 to 41·16) −3·52% (−4·57 to −2·67)* −4·21% (−5·56 to −3·23)* −7·58% (−9·83 to −5·91)*
3 Diet low in seafood omega 3 fatty acids −6·77% (−8·52 to −5·29)* 44·02 (42·36 to 45·64) 42·10 (40·09 to 44·08) 40·58 (38·22 to 42·83) −4·37% (−5·47 to −3·41)* −3·62% (−4·82 to −2·64)* −7·83% (−9·93 to −6·06)* 44·84 (43·28 to 46·33) 43·42 (41·57 to 45·17) 42·25 (40·08 to 44·25) −3·17% (−4·03 to −2·44)* −2·70% (−3·66 to −1·93)* −5·78% (−7·42 to −4·39)*
3 Diet low in polyunsaturated fatty acids −12·92% (−16·36 to −10·15)* 39·12 (36·71 to 41·43) 35·30 (32·30 to 38·06) 33·81 (30·64 to 36·77) −9·75% (−12·76 to −7·20)* −4·23% (−5·79 to −2·96)* −13·57% (−17·22 to −10·52)* 39·10 (36·62 to 41·39) 35·61 (32·53 to 38·35) 34·29 (31·08 to 37·22) −8·93% (−11·82 to −6·58)* −3·72% (−5·16 to −2·57)* −12·31% (−15·97 to −9·43)*
3 Diet high in trans fatty acids −46·57% (−66·28 to −32·85)* 4·26 (2·41 to 6·95) 2·85 (1·23 to 5·40) 2·26 (0·77 to 4·67) −33·08% (−49·65 to −22·64)* −20·61% (−37·67 to −12·32)* −46·87% (−68·26 to −32·36)* 5·73 (3·62 to 8·61) 3·91 (1·96 to 6·68) 3·08 (1·28 to 5·71) −31·76% (−45·68 to −22·25)* −21·33% (−35·58 to −13·42)* −46·32% (−64·75 to −33·34)*
3 Diet high in sodium −8·75% (−16·90 to −3·84)* 17·26 (12·52 to 22·33) 16·84 (11·76 to 21·97) 16·56 (11·68 to 21·75) −2·42% (−10·60 to 3·97) −1·66% (−6·07 to 2·60) −4·04% (−13·12 to 3·03) 16·88 (12·31 to 21·94) 15·62 (10·79 to 20·87) 14·62 (9·86 to 19·92) −7·47% (−16·41 to −2·36)* −6·43% (−11·89 to −2·61)* −13·42% (−23·48 to −6·76)*
2 Intimate partner violence −4·50% (−6·66 to −2·42)* .. .. .. .. .. .. 6·80 (5·72 to 7·88) 6·47 (5·60 to 7·37) 6·46 (5·49 to 7·42) −4·82% (−8·10 to −1·03)* −0·19% (−2·16 to 1·54) −4·99% (−7·15 to −2·88)*
2 Childhood maltreatment
3 Childhood sexual abuse 5·52% (4·00 to 7·07)* 6·19 (5·08 to 7·61) 6·42 (5·33 to 7·78) 6·81 (5·63 to 8·33) 3·60% (1·22 to 6·01)* 6·16% (4·19 to 8·06)* 9·98% (8·09 to 11·92)* 6·79 (5·53 to 8·23) 6·53 (5·38 to 7·84) 6·87 (5·59 to 8·33) −3·86% (−5·76 to −1·92)* 5·25% (2·75 to 7·94)* 1·18% (−1·11 to 3·42)
3 Bullying victimisation 32·17% (25·93 to 41·72)* 5·92 (2·59 to 11·93) 7·11 (3·19 to 14·32) 7·56 (3·40 to 15·32) 20·06% (14·26 to 27·46)* 6·40% (4·67 to 8·45)* 27·74% (21·09 to 37·84)* 4·35 (1·87 to 8·68) 5·48 (2·42 to 10·72) 6·01 (2·66 to 11·89) 25·93% (19·70 to 34·55)* 9·74% (7·97 to 11·82)* 38·20% (30·75 to 48·42)*
2 Unsafe sex .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
2 Low physical activity 0·12% (−0·20 to 0·38) 0·40 (0·18 to 0·75) 0·40 (0·18 to 0·75) 0·40 (0·18 to 0·76) 0·28% (−0·00 to 0·55) 0·67% (0·35 to 1·01)* 0·96% (0·56 to 1·36)* 0·37 (0·16 to 0·70) 0·36 (0·16 to 0·69) 0·36 (0·16 to 0·69) −1·29% (−2·01 to −0·52)* 0·43% (0·20 to 0·69)* −0·87% (−1·54 to −0·18)*
1 Metabolic risks
2 High fasting plasma glucose 37·71% (29·15 to 48·42)* 1·93 (1·46 to 2·50) 2·44 (1·83 to 3·19) 2·72 (2·08 to 3·50) 26·67% (20·02 to 33·69)* 11·44% (4·82 to 19·39)* 41·16% (31·63 to 52·98)* 1·76 (1·34 to 2·29) 2·19 (1·63 to 2·89) 2·35 (1·79 to 3·07) 24·51% (17·30 to 31·74)* 7·26% (−0·08 to 15·53) 33·55% (23·51 to 45·92)*
2 High low-density lipoprotein cholesterol −6·82% (−7·88 to −5·82)* 11·22 (9·83 to 12·77) 10·32 (8·93 to 11·89) 10·23 (8·86 to 11·81) −7·98% (−9·26 to −6·78)* −0·86% (−1·28 to −0·46)* −8·77% (−10·10 to −7·52)* 11·72 (10·40 to 13·25) 11·05 (9·71 to 12·58) 11·18 (9·83 to 12·72) −5·73% (−6·78 to −4·78)* 1·15% (0·78 to 1·55)* −4·65% (−5·64 to −3·71)*
2 High systolic blood pressure −1·37% (−3·03 to 0·26) 7·12 (6·46 to 7·78) 7·21 (6·53 to 7·89) 7·39 (6·67 to 8·12) 1·26% (−0·66 to 3·14) 2·54% (0·95 to 4·22)* 3·83% (1·65 to 6·05)* 7·18 (6·64 to 7·75) 6·81 (6·25 to 7·39) 6·77 (6·19 to 7·33) −5·16% (−7·15 to −3·11)* −0·56% (−2·45 to 1·33) −5·68% (−8·11 to −3·31)*
2 High body-mass index 70·39% (57·13 to 84·52)* 5·70 (4·04 to 8·07) 8·15 (6·18 to 11·15) 9·95 (7·76 to 13·28) 43·04% (34·24 to 53·89)* 22·09% (18·44 to 26·34)* 74·63% (59·63 to 92·99)* 6·50 (4·75 to 8·85) 9·11 (7·01 to 11·99) 10·88 (8·54 to 14·17) 40·22% (32·65 to 49·58)* 19·41% (15·97 to 23·19)* 67·43% (54·96 to 82·04)*
2 Low bone mineral density −2·17% (−3·46 to −0·97)* 5·31 (4·53 to 6·08) 5·15 (4·42 to 5·90) 5·10 (4·34 to 5·87) −2·94% (−4·06 to −1·79)* −1·02% (−2·37 to 0·25) −3·93% (−5·37 to −2·55)* 6·90 (6·05 to 7·85) 6·86 (6·04 to 7·79) 6·86 (5·94 to 7·87) −0·63% (−1·75 to 0·58) 0·02% (−1·65 to 1·75) −0·61% (−2·19 to 0·93)
2 Impaired kidney function 1·48% (−1·94 to 4·14) 2·46 (1·13 to 6·12) 2·49 (1·14 to 6·17) 2·49 (1·14 to 6·16) 0·95% (−1·26 to 3·10) 0·31% (−1·42 to 2·46) 1·25% (−1·90 to 3·81) 2·93 (1·40 to 6·81) 2·94 (1·39 to 6·86) 2·99 (1·42 to 6·96) 0·25% (−2·44 to 2·56) 1·75% (−0·01 to 4·02) 2·00% (−1·47 to 4·69)

Data in parentheses are 95% uncertainty intervals.

*

Statistically significant increase or decrease (p<0·05).

Estimation methods for these risks precludes the estimation of summary exposure values.