Table 3.
Risk factors and outcomes | 2007 deaths (thousands) | 2017 deaths (thousands) | Percentage change in deaths, 2007–17 | Percentage change in age-standardised death rate, 2007–17 | 2007 DALYs (thousands) | 2017 DALYs (thousands) | Percentage change in DALYs, 2007–17 | Percentage change in age-standardised DALY rate, 2007–17 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | All risk factors: all causes | 31 500 (30 900 to 32 200) | 34 100 (33 300 to 35 000) | 8·3% (6·9 to 9·5)* | −15·7% (−16·6 to −14·8)* | 1 270 000 (1 210 000 to 1 340 000) | 1 210 000 (1 140 000 to 1280 000) | −4·9% (−6·5 to −3·3)* | −19·9% (−21·3 to −18·5)* | |||
1 | Environmental and occupational risks: all causes | 8150 (7590 to 8810) | 8320 (7690 to 9020) | 2·2% (−0·3 to 4·7) | −20·1% (−21·8 to −18·2)* | 345 000 (319 000 to 370 000) | 308 000 (283 000 to 333 000) | −10·7% (−13·7 to −7·5)* | −24·9% (−27·4 to −22·3)* | |||
2 | Unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing: all causes | 1990 (1610 to 2570) | 1610 (1230 to 2230) | −18·8% (−26·2 to −10·1)* | −31·6% (−36·9 to −25·0)* | 120 000 (103 000 to 138 000) | 84 400 (71 800 to 102 000) | −29·6% (−35·3 to −23·0)* | −36·0% (−41·2 to −30·3)* | |||
3 | Unsafe water source: all causes | 1500 (938 to 2110) | 1230 (736 to 1830) | −18·0% (−26·9 to −8·0)* | −31·2% (−37·2 to −23·3)* | 90 100 (58 500 to 113 000) | 63 900 (40 800 to 83 100) | −29·1% (−35·4 to −21·5)* | −35·7% (−41·3 to −29·0)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 1500 (938 to 2110) | 1230 (736 to 1830) | −18·0% (−26·9 to −8·0)* | −31·2% (−37·2 to −23·3)* | 90 100 (58 500 to 113 000) | 63 900 (40 800 to 83 100) | −29·1% (−35·4 to −21·5)* | −35·7% (−41·3 to −29·0)* | |||
3 | Unsafe sanitation: all causes | 1110 (856 to 1450) | 774 (566 to 1060) | −30·2% (−37·4 to −21·6)* | −41·2% (−46·4 to −34·2)* | 66 500 (55 600 to 78 100) | 41 500 (34 100 to 49 700) | −37·6% (−43·3 to −30·6)* | −43·2% (−48·4 to −37·1)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 1110 (856 to 1450) | 774 (566 to 1060) | −30·2% (−37·4 to −21·6)* | −41·2% (−46·4 to −34·2)* | 66 500 (55 600 to 78 100) | 41 500 (34 100 to 49 700) | −37·6% (−43·3 to −30·6)* | −43·2% (−48·4 to −37·1)* | |||
3 | No access to handwashing facility: all causes | 892 (528 to 1250) | 707 (416 to 1020) | −20·7% (−26·4 to −13·1)* | −32·5% (−36·9 to −26·9)* | 55 300 (33 200 to 75 300) | 38 400 (22 800 to 52 100) | −30·5% (−35·6 to −24·7)* | −36·4% (−41·0 to −31·1)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 229 (148 to 306) | 188 (122 to 249) | −17·9% (−21·9 to −13·6)* | −29·0% (−32·4 to −25·3)* | 14 700 (9630 to 19 700) | 10 300 (6780 to 13 800) | −29·8% (−34·1 to −25·0)* | −35·0% (−39·0 to −30·4)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 663 (312 to 1010) | 520 (240 to 839) | −21·7% (−29·6 to −12·0)* | −33·7% (−39·6 to −26·4)* | 40 500 (19 500 to 59 500) | 28 100 (13 500 to 41 500) | −30·7% (−37·1 to −22·9)* | −36·9% (−42·8 to −29·5)* | |||
2 | Air pollution: all causes | 4630 (4210 to 5040) | 4900 (4420 to 5390) | 5·8% (3·0 to 8·8)* | −18·7% (−20·7 to −16·7)* | 158 000 (142 000 to 172 000) | 147 000 (132 000 to 162 000) | −6·6% (−9·8 to −2·8)* | −23·5% (−26·0 to −20·8)* | |||
3 | Particulate matter pollution: all causes | 4380 (3960 to 4780) | 4580 (4130 to 5030) | 4·6% (1·7 to 7·5)* | −19·5% (−21·5 to −17·4)* | 154 000 (138 000 to 168 000) | 143 000 (129 000 to 156 000) | −7·3% (−10·8 to −3·4)* | −23·9% (−26·6 to −21·1)* | |||
4 | Ambient particulate matter pollution: all causes | 2420 (2080 to 2760) | 2940 (2500 to 3360) | 21·6% (16·2 to 26·8)* | −7·8% (−11·7 to −3·8)* | 73 600 (63 300 to 83 400) | 83 000 (71 400 to 94 300) | 12·8% (5·6 to 20·2)* | −9·3% (−15·1 to −3·0)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 420 (337 to 500) | 433 (343 to 527) | 2·9% (−8·8 to 15·4) | −15·3% (−24·3 to −5·1)* | 22 300 (17 700 to 27 200) | 18 500 (14 400 to 23 400) | −16·9% (−29·4 to −0·9)* | −24·3% (−35·8 to −9·2)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 205 (143 to 270) | 265 (183 to 351) | 29·3% (22·0 to 36·3)* | −2·0% (−7·6 to 3·4) | 4680 (3280 to 6150) | 5860 (4050 to 7730) | 25·1% (17·8 to 31·7)* | −3·9% (−9·5 to 1·3) | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 780 (671 to 901) | 977 (839 to 1120) | 25·3% (20·6 to 30·2)* | −5·8% (−9·2 to −2·4)* | 17 800 (15 300 to 20 600) | 21 900 (18 900 to 25 400) | 23·1% (18·4 to 28·3)* | −4·2% (−7·8 to −0·5)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 147 (113 to 183) | 184 (140 to 228) | 24·6% (18·8 to 30·9)* | −7·8% (−11·4 to −3·8)* | 3060 (2360 to 3780) | 3950 (3040 to 4870) | 28·9% (22·7 to 35·4)* | −2·0% (−6·2 to 2·4) | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 194 (152 to 238) | 226 (176 to 280) | 17·0% (11·1 to 23·2)* | −11·3% (−15·2 to −6·9)* | 4770 (3800 to 5850) | 5520 (4340 to 6840) | 15·8% (9·5 to 22·2)* | −9·8% (−14·0 to −5·2)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 29 (22 to 36) | 35 (27 to 44) | 22·1% (14·8 to 29·8)* | −5·4% (−10·9 to 0·1) | 877 (686 to 1100) | 1040 (809 to 1310) | 18·8% (12·2 to 25·9)* | −5·0% (−10·3 to 0·2) | |||
.. | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 519 (347 to 679) | 633 (416 to 838) | 22·1% (13·7 to 29·8)* | −10·5% (−16·5 to −4·8)* | 12 800 (8460 to 16 700) | 15 700 (10 300 to 20 800) | 23·5% (16·1 to 30·7)* | −6·0% (−11·6 to −0·5)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 122 (82 to 149) | 184 (123 to 227) | 50·7% (44·8 to 56·0)* | 11·1% (6·8 to 15·1)* | 7380 (4720 to 9790) | 10 500 (6700 to 13 900) | 41·9% (35·0 to 48·7)* | 10·5% (5·3 to 15·6)* | |||
4 | Household air pollution from solid fuels: all causes | 1960 (1700 to 2270) | 1640 (1400 to 1930) | −16·3% (−20·2 to −11·9)* | −34·2% (−37·3 to −31·0)* | 80 100 (68 300 to 92 400) | 59 500 (50 800 to 68 900) | −25·8% (−30·2 to −20·9)* | −37·4% (−41·1 to −33·6)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 669 (536 to 797) | 459 (367 to 552) | −31·4% (−36·6 to −25·9)* | −40·4% (−44·9 to −35·8)* | 43 600 (34 500 to 52 000) | 25 900 (20 300 to 31 300) | −40·7% (−46·2 to −35·0)* | −44·9% (−50·1 to −39·6)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 94 (69 to 120) | 85 (60 to 113) | −10·0% (−16·4 to −3·7)* | −31·5% (−36·4 to −26·7)* | 2280 (1660 to 2890) | 1990 (1410 to 2640) | −12·7% (−18·7 to −6·9)* | −32·6% (−37·2 to −28·0)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 435 (371 to 512) | 410 (344 to 490) | −5·8% (−10·1 to −1·5)* | −28·2% (−31·4 to −25·0)* | 11 100 (9400 to 13 000) | 10 200 (8450 to 12 100) | −8·2% (−12·7 to −3·9)* | −27·9% (−31·4 to −24·5)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 88 (69 to 112) | 81 (62 to 104) | −8·2% (−13·0 to −3·3)* | −31·3% (−35·0 to −27·8)* | 1980 (1540 to 2470) | 1830 (1390 to 2330) | −7·2% (−12·4 to −2·6)* | −29·0% (−32·8 to −25·5)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 156 (123 to 191) | 132 (102 to 165) | −15·2% (−19·5 to −10·9)* | −35·3% (−38·5 to −32·1)* | 4080 (3210 to 5010) | 3440 (2660 to 4310) | −15·5% (−19·9 to −11·2)* | −34·0% (−37·2 to −30·9)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 20 (16 to 27) | 18 (14 to 24) | −9·2% (−15·0 to −2·8)* | −29·0% (−33·6 to −24·2)* | 664 (506 to 870) | 591 (443 to 777) | −11·0% (−16·5 to −5·1)* | −28·4% (−32·7 to −23·9)* | |||
.. | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 421 (296 to 548) | 362 (248 to 482) | −13·9% (−20·5 to −7·4)* | −36·3% (−41·1 to −31·6)* | 10 800 (7740 to 13 900) | 9370 (6480 to 12 400) | −13·0% (−19·0 to −7·4)* | −33·5% (−38·1 to −29·3)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 77 (54 to 92) | 92 (63 to 113) | 19·6% (12·6 to 27·1)* | −10·6% (−15·8 to −5·1)* | 4360 (2900 to 5780) | 4750 (3110 to 6190) | 9·0% (2·6 to 15·5)* | −14·6% (−19·6 to −9·5)* | |||
.. | Cataract | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1320 (696 to 2010) | 1440 (732 to 2250) | 9·2% (4·6 to 12·7)* | −17·3% (−20·9 to −14·7)* | |||
3 | Ambient ozone pollution: all causes | 392 (146 to 638) | 472 (177 to 768) | 20·4% (15·9 to 24·5)* | −11·6% (−14·8 to −8·6)* | 6330 (2370 to 10 300) | 7370 (2740 to 12 000) | 16·4% (12·0 to 20·6)* | −12·2% (−15·6 to −9·1)* | |||
.. | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 392 (146 to 638) | 472 (177 to 768) | 20·4% (15·9 to 24·5)* | −11·6% (−14·8 to −8·6)* | 6330 (2370 to 10 300) | 7370 (2740 to 12 000) | 16·4% (12·0 to 20·6)* | −12·2% (−15·6 to −9·1)* | |||
2 | Other environmental risks: all causes | 929 (646 to 1240) | 1140 (794 to 1530) | 23·0% (19·2 to 26·6)* | −7·9% (−10·4 to −5·3)* | 23 500 (16 500 to 30 600) | 26 400 (18 400 to 34 800) | 12·3% (8·9 to 15·6)* | −12·0% (−14·4 to −10·1)* | |||
3 | Residential radon: all causes | 68 (38 to 107) | 88 (50 to 139) | 28·1% (21·4 to 34·9)* | −2·9% (−6·9 to 1·0) | 1570 (859 to 2420) | 1930 (1080 to 3020) | 23·3% (16·1 to 30·2)* | −5·2% (−9·3 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 68 (38 to 107) | 88 (50 to 139) | 28·1% (21·4 to 34·9)* | −2·9% (−6·9 to 1·0) | 1570 (859 to 2420) | 1930 (1080 to 3020) | 23·3% (16·1 to 30·2)* | −5·2% (−9·3 to −1·0)* | |||
3 | Lead exposure: all causes | 860 (586 to 1160) | 1050 (709 to 1430) | 22·6% (18·7 to 26·4)* | −8·3% (−10·8 to −5·7)* | 21 900 (15 200 to 28 900) | 24 400 (16 700 to 32 800) | 11·5% (7·8 to 14·8)* | −12·5% (−15·0 to −10·5)* | |||
.. | Rheumatic heart disease | 8 (5 to 15) | 8 (4 to 14) | −2·9% (−12·8 to 6·5) | −25·0% (−31·6 to −18·8)* | 255 (145 to 430) | 219 (120 to 368) | −14·2% (−23·1 to −5·5)* | −31·1% (−38·1 to −25·4)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 391 (256 to 547) | 488 (317 to 685) | 24·6% (20·7 to 28·4)* | −6·9% (−9·1 to −4·6)* | 8350 (5480 to 11 500) | 9600 (6210 to 13 300) | 15·0% (11·6 to 18·1)* | −11·5% (−13·9 to −9·5)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 110 (69 to 159) | 139 (87 to 200) | 25·8% (21·1 to 31·5)* | −6·7% (−9·7 to −3·3)* | 2380 (1510 to 3340) | 3000 (1920 to 4220) | 26·2% (21·7 to 30·6)* | −4·2% (−7·4 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 191 (125 to 270) | 205 (132 to 292) | 7·0% (2·4 to 10·9)* | −19·4% (−22·5 to −16·8)* | 4420 (2920 to 6090) | 4470 (2850 to 6300) | 1·0% (−4·0 to 5·0) | −22·2% (−26·0 to −19·2)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 23 (14 to 33) | 26 (16 to 38) | 14·8% (6·1 to 25·2)* | −12·0% (−18·4 to −4·4)* | 655 (387 to 964) | 693 (409 to 1040) | 5·9% (−1·6 to 14·5) | −16·8% (−22·9 to −10·5)* | |||
.. | Hypertensive heart disease | 66 (25 to 137) | 98 (33 to 213) | 48·0% (22·7 to 63·0)* | 9·2% (−8·9 to 19·8) | 1310 (620 to 2560) | 1710 (725 to 3480) | 31·0% (12·4 to 45·5)* | 0·2% (−14·0 to 10·2) | |||
.. | Non-rheumatic calcific aortic valve disease | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 4) | 30·7% (22·7 to 37·8)* | −5·4% (−10·2 to −1·8)* | 28 (16 to 45) | 34 (18 to 54) | 20·3% (12·8 to 26·9)* | −8·8% (−14·1 to −4·7)* | |||
.. | Other cardiomyopathy | 5 (3 to 7) | 6 (3 to 9) | 22·2% (14·6 to 28·8)* | −8·2% (−13·4 to −3·7)* | 111 (61 to 176) | 126 (68 to 201) | 12·8% (4·9 to 19·9)* | −11·8% (−18·1 to −6·7)* | |||
.. | Atrial fibrillation and flutter | 5 (3 to 8) | 8 (5 to 11) | 48·1% (43·4 to 53·0)* | 5·2% (2·6 to 8·3)* | 150 (91 to 218) | 193 (118 to 283) | 29·0% (25·3 to 32·5)* | −2·9% (−5·2 to −0·8)* | |||
.. | Aortic aneurysm | 4 (2 to 5) | 4 (3 to 6) | 19·3% (13·7 to 24·8)* | −10·3% (−14·2 to −6·6)* | 75 (44 to 113) | 84 (48 to 127) | 12·5% (6·8 to 17·9)* | −13·5% (−18·0 to −9·4)* | |||
.. | Peripheral vascular disease | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 2) | 54·1% (30·4 to 74·7)* | 10·5% (−6·0 to 25·2) | 19 (9 to 32) | 25 (12 to 43) | 31·2% (21·0 to 42·9)* | −1·6% (−9·1 to 6·8) | |||
.. | Endocarditis | 1 (1 to 2) | 2 (1 to 3) | 30·2% (19·4 to 36·6)* | −1·4% (−8·7 to 2·6) | 36 (19 to 59) | 42 (22 to 67) | 17·1% (5·9 to 24·4)* | −7·4% (−16·0 to −2·3)* | |||
.. | Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | 11 (7 to 16) | 13 (8 to 18) | 19·1% (12·3 to 24·1)* | −9·7% (−14·6 to −6·3)* | 347 (208 to 528) | 383 (227 to 580) | 10·2% (4·1 to 14·3)* | −13·9% (−19·1 to −10·8)* | |||
.. | Idiopathic developmental intellectual disability | .. | .. | .. | .. | 2670 (1070 to 4880) | 2540 (1000 to 4700) | −4·8% (−9·1 to −2·7)* | −13·6% (−17·1 to −11·7)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 1 diabetes mellitus | 3 (1 to 4) | 3 (2 to 5) | 11·2% (3·8 to 17·6)* | −12·6% (−18·6 to −8·0)* | 90 (48 to 150) | 93 (47 to 159) | 2·8% (−5·5 to 9·8) | −17·6% (−24·1 to −12·5)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus | 13 (8 to 20) | 18 (10 to 27) | 34·6% (27·8 to 39·0)* | 0·4% (−4·5 to 3·2) | 303 (179 to 458) | 380 (218 to 578) | 25·4% (19·4 to 29·6)* | −4·9% (−9·2 to −1·8)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to hypertension | 12 (7 to 19) | 17 (10 to 26) | 38·2% (31·8 to 41·9)* | 1·4% (−3·2 to 3·9) | 255 (148 to 382) | 320 (187 to 485) | 25·6% (19·9 to 29·3)* | −4·4% (−8·6 to −1·6)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to glomerulonephritis | 6 (3 to 9) | 7 (4 to 12) | 25·9% (20·3 to 30·2)* | −4·3% (−8·2 to −1·6)* | 160 (86 to 260) | 177 (93 to 294) | 10·7% (5·0 to 15·2)* | −12·6% (−17·2 to −9·1)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to other and unspecified causes | 9 (5 to 13) | 11 (6 to 17) | 27·7% (22·2 to 32·1)* | −3·3% (−7·3 to −0·6)* | 286 (161 to 454) | 327 (183 to 526) | 14·2% (9·1 to 18·3)* | −11·0% (−15·0 to −8·0)* | |||
2 | Occupational risks: all causes | 1090 (995 to 1190) | 1160 (1050 to 1280) | 6·5% (3·5 to 9·4)* | −16·6% (−18·7 to −14·7)* | 59 800 (52 300 to 68 100) | 63 700 (54 900 to 73 200) | 6·7% (4·1 to 9·3)* | −11·6% (−13·7 to −9·4)* | |||
3 | Occupational carcinogens: all causes | 271 (220 to 322) | 334 (271 to 397) | 23·3% (19·1 to 27·1)* | −7·4% (−10·5 to −4·5)* | 5600 (4560 to 6710) | 6750 (5490 to 8120) | 20·6% (16·5 to 24·5)* | −8·0% (−11·3 to −5·0)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to asbestos: all causes | 194 (148 to 243) | 232 (177 to 289) | 19·6% (14·6 to 23·6)* | −10·5% (−14·2 to −7·5)* | 3410 (2570 to 4310) | 3930 (2980 to 4950) | 15·3% (9·9 to 19·8)* | −12·7% (−16·7 to −9·4)* | |||
.. | Larynx cancer | 3 (2 to 5) | 4 (2 to 6) | 20·9% (13·4 to 27·0)* | −9·6% (−15·0 to −5·2)* | 63 (35 to 95) | 74 (41 to 112) | 17·1% (9·4 to 23·1)* | −11·6% (−17·3 to −7·0)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 161 (115 to 208) | 191 (137 to 247) | 18·5% (13·5 to 22·6)* | −11·3% (−15·0 to −8·3)* | 2740 (1910 to 3590) | 3120 (2180 to 4110) | 14·0% (8·7 to 18·4)* | −13·8% (−17·8 to −10·6)* | |||
.. | Ovarian cancer | 5 (3 to 8) | 6 (3 to 10) | 17·4% (9·6 to 24·2)* | −14·0% (−19·6 to −9·1)* | 88 (44 to 138) | 100 (49 to 156) | 14·3% (6·4 to 21·4)* | −14·3% (−20·1 to −9·2)* | |||
.. | Mesothelioma | 22 (21 to 23) | 27 (27 to 28) | 27·7% (20·5 to 33·7)* | −3·6% (−8·8 to 0·7) | 464 (434 to 512) | 569 (542 to 598) | 22·4% (14·5 to 29·4)* | −6·0% (−11·7 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Asbestosis | 3 (2 to 3) | 3 (2 to 4) | 23·3% (15·2 to 33·9)* | −8·3% (−14·1 to −0·4)* | 58 (41 to 70) | 69 (52 to 81) | 19·2% (11·8 to 30·4)* | −8·5% (−14·1 to 0·3) | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to arsenic: all causes | 7 (1 to 12) | 9 (2 to 16) | 33·8% (27·3 to 55·2)* | 1·9% (−3·0 to 18·6) | 189 (43 to 346) | 245 (65 to 436) | 29·5% (23·2 to 49·0)* | −0·6% (−5·5 to 15·1) | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 7 (1 to 12) | 9 (2 to 16) | 33·8% (27·3 to 55·2)* | 1·9% (−3·0 to 18·6) | 189 (43 to 346) | 245 (65 to 436) | 29·5% (23·2 to 49·0)* | −0·6% (−5·5 to 15·1) | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to benzene: all causes | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 3) | 18·6% (13·0 to 24·6)* | 0·3% (−5·1 to 6·1) | 73 (23 to 120) | 84 (26 to 137) | 15·4% (10·1 to 21·2)* | −0·2% (−5·2 to 5·2) | |||
.. | Leukaemia | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 3) | 18·6% (13·0 to 24·6)* | 0·3% (−5·1 to 6·1) | 73 (23 to 120) | 84 (26 to 137) | 15·4% (10·1 to 21·2)* | −0·2% (−5·2 to 5·2) | |||
.. | Acute lymphoid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 1) | 29·4% (17·7 to 39·6)* | 12·2% (2·1 to 21·3)* | 14 (4 to 23) | 18 (5 to 29) | 26·3% (15·0 to 36·0)* | 11·4% (1·4 to 20·1)* | |||
.. | Chronic lymphoid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 27·9% (16·8 to 45·2)* | 2·0% (−7·4 to 17·1) | 3 (1 to 4) | 4 (1 to 6) | 31·4% (19·4 to 48·4)* | 7·3% (−3·4 to 23·2) | |||
.. | Acute myeloid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 29·2% (20·2 to 39·2)* | 8·6% (0·4 to 17·8)* | 20 (7 to 33) | 25 (8 to 41) | 25·8% (16·6 to 35·6)* | 8·2% (−0·3 to 17·2) | |||
.. | Chronic myeloid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 7·0% (−1·1 to 15·2) | −9·6% (−16·8 to −2·3)* | 6 (2 to 10) | 7 (2 to 11) | 5·6% (−2·4 to 13·7) | −9·0% (−16·3 to −1·9)* | |||
.. | Other leukaemia | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 8·2% (3·0 to 14·7)* | −8·4% (−13·1 to −2·8)* | 30 (9 to 49) | 31 (10 to 52) | 4·1% (−1·0 to 10·4) | −9·9% (−14·6 to −4·3)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to beryllium: all causes | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 45·4% (38·9 to 52·2)* | 11·0% (6·5 to 15·6)* | 5 (5 to 6) | 8 (6 to 9) | 40·1% (33·4 to 47·3)* | 8·0% (3·5 to 12·8)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 45·4% (38·9 to 52·2)* | 11·0% (6·5 to 15·6)* | 5 (5 to 6) | 8 (6 to 9) | 40·1% (33·4 to 47·3)* | 8·0% (3·5 to 12·8)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to cadmium: all causes | 0 (0 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 47·7% (40·1 to 56·0)* | 12·7% (7·2 to 18·7)* | 13 (11 to 15) | 18 (15 to 22) | 42·4% (34·6 to 50·8)* | 9·7% (4·3 to 15·6)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 0 (0 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 47·7% (40·1 to 56·0)* | 12·7% (7·2 to 18·7)* | 13 (11 to 15) | 18 (15 to 22) | 42·4% (34·6 to 50·8)* | 9·7% (4·3 to 15·6)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to chromium: all causes | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 2) | 49·3% (42·0 to 56·6)* | 14·0% (9·0 to 19·3)* | 27 (24 to 30) | 38 (34 to 43) | 44·1% (36·8 to 51·2)* | 11·0% (6·0 to 16·3)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 2) | 49·3% (42·0 to 56·6)* | 14·0% (9·0 to 19·3)* | 27 (24 to 30) | 38 (34 to 43) | 44·1% (36·8 to 51·2)* | 11·0% (6·0 to 16·3)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to diesel engine exhaust: all causes | 12 (11 to 13) | 18 (16 to 20) | 48·9% (41·6 to 55·4)* | 13·5% (8·5 to 18·1)* | 344 (304 to 386) | 494 (434 to 559) | 43·9% (36·8 to 50·5)* | 10·8% (5·7 to 15·3)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 12 (11 to 13) | 18 (16 to 20) | 48·9% (41·6 to 55·4)* | 13·5% (8·5 to 18·1)* | 344 (304 to 386) | 494 (434 to 559) | 43·9% (36·8 to 50·5)* | 10·8% (5·7 to 15·3)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to formaldehyde: all causes | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 20·6% (13·4 to 28·5)* | 1·3% (−3·7 to 7·1) | 40 (33 to 48) | 46 (38 to 56) | 16·1% (9·4 to 23·6)* | −0·3% (−5·4 to 5·4) | |||
.. | Nasopharynx cancer | 0 (0 to 1) | 0 (0 to 1) | 23·9% (10·4 to 39·0)* | 2·1% (−7·0 to 11·9) | 15 (10 to 21) | 18 (12 to 25) | 18·8% (5·4 to 34·1)* | −0·1% (−9·3 to 10·1) | |||
.. | Acute lymphoid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 31·7% (21·7 to 40·9)* | 14·4% (6·1 to 22·0)* | 5 (4 to 6) | 6 (5 to 8) | 27·8% (18·3 to 36·9)* | 12·9% (4·6 to 20·5)* | |||
.. | Chronic lymphoid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 41·3% (32·6 to 51·4)* | 14·5% (7·3 to 22·2)* | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 45·0% (34·0 to 57·3)* | 20·6% (11·8 to 30·2)* | |||
.. | Acute myeloid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 32·0% (24·7 to 38·4)* | 12·0% (5·9 to 17·3)* | 6 (5 to 7) | 8 (6 to 9) | 27·8% (20·3 to 34·2)* | 10·7% (4·3 to 16·3)* | |||
.. | Chronic myeloid leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 7·9% (2·7 to 13·8)* | −8·3% (−12·8 to −3·4)* | 2 (2 to 2) | 2 (2 to 3) | 5·6% (0·2 to 11·7)* | −8·7% (−13·6 to −3·5)* | |||
.. | Other leukaemia | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 5·9% (−1·3 to 15·0) | −10·0% (−15·6 to −2·6)* | 11 (9 to 14) | 11 (9 to 14) | 1·3% (−5·8 to 10·1) | −12·0% (−17·9 to −4·7)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to nickel: all causes | 7 (1 to 18) | 9 (1 to 23) | 33·9% (25·4 to 55·2)* | 2·0% (−4·5 to 18·6) | 184 (26 to 493) | 238 (36 to 607) | 29·5% (21·2 to 49·1)* | −0·5% (−6·9 to 15·0) | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 7 (1 to 18) | 9 (1 to 23) | 33·9% (25·4 to 55·2)* | 2·0% (−4·5 to 18·6) | 184 (26 to 493) | 238 (36 to 607) | 29·5% (21·2 to 49·1)* | −0·5% (−6·9 to 15·0) | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons: all causes | 3 (3 to 4) | 5 (4 to 6) | 48·9% (41·4 to 56·4)* | 13·7% (8·4 to 19·0)* | 94 (80 to 107) | 134 (114 to 156) | 43·7% (36·4 to 51·2)* | 10·8% (5·8 to 16·0)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 3 (3 to 4) | 5 (4 to 6) | 48·9% (41·4 to 56·4)* | 13·7% (8·4 to 19·0)* | 94 (80 to 107) | 134 (114 to 156) | 43·7% (36·4 to 51·2)* | 10·8% (5·8 to 16·0)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to silica: all causes | 47 (27 to 69) | 60 (34 to 88) | 27·2% (20·5 to 33·7)* | −3·5% (−8·7 to 1·5) | 1280 (702 to 1880) | 1590 (870 to 2330) | 24·6% (18·4 to 31·4)* | −4·2% (−9·0 to 1·3) | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 37 (17 to 58) | 49 (22 to 77) | 31·2% (24·3 to 41·4)* | 0·0% (−5·3 to 7·9) | 1050 (470 to 1630) | 1330 (595 to 2080) | 27·1% (20·2 to 36·5)* | −2·4% (−7·7 to 5·1) | |||
.. | Silicosis | 10 (9 to 12) | 11 (10 to 12) | 12·0% (1·2 to 22·8)* | −15·5% (−23·6 to −7·4)* | 230 (205 to 266) | 261 (233 to 286) | 13·2% (1·2 to 24·1)* | −12·3% (−21·6 to −3·9)* | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to sulphuric acid: all causes | 3 (1 to 6) | 4 (2 to 7) | 25·5% (19·2 to 32·4)* | −3·8% (−8·7 to 1·5) | 101 (43 to 182) | 124 (53 to 224) | 22·5% (16·1 to 29·5)* | −4·9% (−10·0 to 0·4) | |||
.. | Larynx cancer | 3 (1 to 6) | 4 (2 to 7) | 25·5% (19·2 to 32·4)* | −3·8% (−8·7 to 1·5) | 101 (43 to 182) | 124 (53 to 224) | 22·5% (16·1 to 29·5)* | −4·9% (−10·0 to 0·4) | |||
4 | Occupational exposure to trichloroethylene: all causes | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 51·9% (46·4 to 59·7)* | 16·6% (12·4 to 22·5)* | 1 (0 to 2) | 2 (0 to 3) | 48·8% (43·2 to 56·4)* | 15·7% (11·4 to 21·7)* | |||
.. | Kidney cancer | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 51·9% (46·4 to 59·7)* | 16·6% (12·4 to 22·5)* | 1 (0 to 2) | 2 (0 to 3) | 48·8% (43·2 to 56·4)* | 15·7% (11·4 to 21·7)* | |||
3 | Occupational asthmagens: all causes | 38 (21 to 52) | 34 (22 to 47) | −9·4% (−16·1 to 0·5) | −28·8% (−34·5 to −20·6)* | 1930 (1460 to 2430) | 1910 (1500 to 2410) | −1·2% (−6·9 to 6·9) | −18·6% (−23·9 to −11·3)* | |||
.. | Asthma | 38 (21 to 52) | 34 (22 to 47) | −9·4% (−16·1 to 0·5) | −28·8% (−34·5 to −20·6)* | 1930 (1460 to 2430) | 1910 (1500 to 2410) | −1·2% (−6·9 to 6·9) | −18·6% (−23·9 to −11·3)* | |||
3 | Occupational particulate matter, gases, and fumes: all causes | 432 (354 to 510) | 488 (397 to 584) | 13·0% (9·2 to 17·0)* | −16·2% (−18·7 to −13·5)* | 10 500 (9050 to 12 100) | 12 100 (10 200 to 13 900) | 14·4% (11·1 to 17·8)* | −12·8% (−15·2 to −10·5)* | |||
.. | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 425 (347 to 503) | 481 (391 to 577) | 13·1% (9·3 to 17·2)* | −16·1% (−18·7 to −13·4)* | 10 400 (8870 to 11 900) | 11 900 (10 100 to 13 700) | 14·6% (11·2 to 18·0)* | −12·7% (−15·1 to −10·4)* | |||
.. | Coal worker pneumoconiosis | 3 (3 to 4) | 3 (3 to 4) | −2·2% (−12·0 to 11·7) | −26·6% (−33·8 to −16·7)* | 81 (65 to 99) | 81 (69 to 100) | 0·1% (−8·8 to 12·9) | −23·0% (−29·8 to −13·3)* | |||
.. | Other pneumoconiosis | 3 (3 to 4) | 4 (3 to 4) | 8·8% (0·0 to 25·4)* | −17·5% (−24·1 to −5·0)* | 90 (74 to 110) | 97 (82 to 117) | 7·6% (0·6 to 20·4)* | −15·9% (−21·4 to −5·5)* | |||
3 | Occupational noise: all causes | .. | .. | .. | .. | 4830 (3300 to 6830) | 5980 (4080 to 8430) | 23·7% (22·4 to 25·0)* | 0·7% (−0·2 to 1·6) | |||
.. | Age-related and other hearing loss | .. | .. | .. | .. | 4830 (3300 to 6830) | 5980 (4080 to 8430) | 23·7% (22·4 to 25·0)* | 0·7% (−0·2 to 1·6) | |||
3 | Occupational injuries: all causes | 348 (327 to 370) | 304 (288 to 323) | −12·8% (−17·3 to −7·8)* | −24·5% (−28·4 to −20·1)* | 22 700 (20 800 to 24 800) | 21 100 (19 200 to 23 500) | −7·0% (−11·8 to −1·4)* | −18·4% (−22·7 to −13·5)* | |||
.. | Pedestrian road injuries | 71 (64 to 81) | 58 (53 to 66) | −18·1% (−24·3 to −11·2)* | −29·6% (−35·0 to −23·7)* | 3840 (3460 to 4350) | 3190 (2880 to 3600) | −16·8% (−23·0 to −10·0)* | −27·2% (−32·6 to −21·3)* | |||
.. | Cyclist road injuries | 10 (9 to 12) | 10 (8 to 11) | −8·4% (−17·8 to 2·2) | −21·8% (−29·8 to −12·6)* | 709 (600 to 821) | 705 (588 to 832) | −0·6% (−9·2 to 8·1) | −13·9% (−21·4 to −6·1)* | |||
.. | Motorcyclist road injuries | 45 (39 to 50) | 39 (34 to 43) | −13·8% (−21·5 to −5·8)* | −23·7% (−30·5 to −16·7)* | 2790 (2460 to 3110) | 2470 (2190 to 2740) | −11·6% (−18·6 to −4·4)* | −21·4% (−27·4 to −14·8)* | |||
.. | Motor vehicle road injuries | 68 (62 to 76) | 62 (58 to 68) | −9·0% (−13·3 to −3·9)* | −20·0% (−23·9 to −15·5)* | 3860 (3540 to 4220) | 3540 (3310 to 3860) | −8·1% (−12·4 to −3·4)* | −18·3% (−22·1 to −14·1)* | |||
.. | Other road injuries | 2 (1 to 2) | 2 (1 to 2) | −17·5% (−24·5 to 1·9) | −28·6% (−34·6 to −12·0)* | 162 (133 to 196) | 170 (136 to 211) | 4·9% (−3·9 to 17·0) | −8·7% (−16·3 to 1·4) | |||
.. | Other transport injuries | 17 (15 to 20) | 15 (13 to 18) | −13·5% (−20·0 to −6·8)* | −24·5% (−30·2 to −18·6)* | 1300 (1130 to 1500) | 1200 (1020 to 1400) | −7·4% (−13·8 to −1·1)* | −18·4% (−24·2 to −12·8)* | |||
.. | Falls | 37 (32 to 41) | 36 (32 to 39) | −3·0% (−10·7 to 6·6) | −19·0% (−25·5 to −11·0)* | 3390 (2850 to 4090) | 3700 (3030 to 4540) | 9·1% (2·6 to 16·4)* | −6·6% (−12·2 to −0·5)* | |||
.. | Drowning | 26 (25 to 28) | 23 (21 to 24) | −13·9% (−19·3 to −8·1)* | −24·5% (−29·3 to −19·4)* | 1380 (1290 to 1480) | 1170 (1090 to 1260) | −15·3% (−20·6 to −9·6)* | −24·2% (−29·0 to −19·1)* | |||
.. | Fire, heat, and hot substances | 10 (8 to 11) | 8 (7 to 9) | −14·2% (−18·6 to −5·3)* | −26·3% (−30·0 to −18·4)* | 898 (753 to 1060) | 878 (719 to 1070) | −2·1% (−7·5 to 4·2) | −14·2% (−18·9 to −8·7)* | |||
.. | Poisoning by carbon monoxide | 5 (4 to 5) | 4 (3 to 4) | −14·8% (−23·9 to −4·5)* | −27·0% (−34·9 to −18·3)* | 230 (182 to 257) | 197 (147 to 223) | −14·3% (−22·8 to −4·4)* | −25·2% (−32·6 to −16·6)* | |||
.. | Poisoning by other means | 4 (3 to 5) | 4 (3 to 4) | −6·3% (−16·3 to 5·4) | −19·4% (−28·0 to −9·4)* | 234 (183 to 265) | 230 (174 to 266) | −1·6% (−9·8 to 9·1) | −13·6% (−20·8 to −4·3)* | |||
.. | Unintentional firearm injuries | 4 (3 to 4) | 3 (3 to 4) | −10·3% (−16·0 to −4·2)* | −20·9% (−25·7 to −15·5)* | 237 (210 to 270) | 224 (199 to 256) | −5·3% (−10·7 to 0·6) | −15·7% (−20·5 to −10·5)* | |||
.. | Other exposure to mechanical forces | 18 (15 to 19) | 15 (13 to 16) | −17·5% (−23·3 to −11·0)* | −28·8% (−33·7 to −23·2)* | 1420 (1220 to 1660) | 1390 (1160 to 1690) | −2·0% (−9·0 to 5·4) | −14·8% (−20·7 to −8·4)* | |||
.. | Venomous animal contact | 7 (4 to 8) | 6 (3 to 7) | −19·2% (−29·8 to −5·9)* | −30·6% (−39·7 to −19·1)* | 430 (269 to 524) | 368 (245 to 440) | −14·3% (−25·0 to −2·1)* | −24·6% (−34·0 to −14·0)* | |||
.. | Non-venomous animal contact | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | −9·7% (−18·5 to 1·3) | −23·1% (−30·6 to −13·5)* | 93 (69 to 125) | 90 (68 to 121) | −3·4% (−11·0 to 3·5) | −16·0% (−22·6 to −10·0)* | |||
.. | Pulmonary aspiration and foreign body in airway | 5 (5 to 5) | 5 (5 to 6) | 3·5% (−0·6 to 7·2) | −12·2% (−15·7 to −9·2)* | 254 (241 to 271) | 263 (247 to 281) | 3·5% (−0·5 to 7·5) | −10·2% (−13·6 to −6·8)* | |||
.. | Foreign body in other body part | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | −2·1% (−8·5 to 4·0) | −15·4% (−20·8 to −10·2)* | 109 (85 to 135) | 120 (92 to 150) | 10·9% (5·1 to 16·5)* | −3·4% (−8·4 to 1·5) | |||
.. | Other unintentional injuries | 18 (17 to 20) | 14 (13 to 16) | −23·3% (−29·2 to −16·8)* | −32·9% (−38·0 to −27·1)* | 1360 (1200 to 1550) | 1200 (1030 to 1430) | −11·9% (−18·4 to −5·0)* | −22·7% (−28·2 to −16·8)* | |||
3 | Occupational ergonomic factors: all causes | .. | .. | .. | .. | 14 200 (10 000 to 19 400) | 15 900 (11 200 to 21 800) | 12·5% (10·6 to 14·5)* | −5·0% (−6·3 to −3·6)* | |||
.. | Low back pain | .. | .. | .. | .. | 14 200 (10 000 to 19 400) | 15 900 (11 200 to 21 800) | 12·5% (10·6 to 14·5)* | −5·0% (−6·3 to −3·6)* | |||
1 | Behavioural risks: all causes | 23 200 (22 600 to 23 800) | 23 800 (23 100 to 24 600) | 2·7% (1·2 to 4·1)* | −18·7% (−19·9 to −17·7)* | 1 020 000 (970 000 to 1 060 000) | 913 000 (863 000 to 961 000) | −10·1% (−11·9 to −8·4)* | −23·1% (−24·6 to −21·6)* | |||
2 | Child and maternal malnutrition: all causes | 4650 (4450 to 4880) | 3190 (3020 to 3360) | −31·4% (−34·4 to −28·6)* | −34·2% (−37·1 to −31·5)* | 455 000 (430 000 to 482 000) | 327 000 (303 000 to 352 000) | −28·2% (−31·2 to −25·3)* | −31·5% (−34·3 to −28·8)* | |||
3 | Suboptimal breastfeeding: all causes | 270 (200 to 338) | 169 (132 to 210) | −37·1% (−42·4 to −30·9)* | −39·4% (−44·4 to −33·4)* | 23 800 (17 700 to 29 900) | 15 000 (11 700 to 18 600) | −36·8% (−42·0 to −30·6)* | −39·0% (−44·1 to −33·1)* | |||
4 | Non-exclusive breastfeeding: all causes | 256 (191 to 324) | 161 (124 to 201) | −37·1% (−42·4 to −30·8)* | −39·3% (−44·4 to −33·2)* | 22 600 (16 800 to 28 500) | 14 200 (11 000 to 17 800) | −36·9% (−42·1 to −30·6)* | −39·0% (−44·1 to −33·0)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 97 (52 to 150) | 60 (34 to 91) | −38·1% (−43·0 to −30·8)* | −40·2% (−44·9 to −33·1)* | 8530 (4530 to 13 100) | 5280 (2940 to 7960) | −38·1% (−43·0 to −30·8)* | −40·2% (−44·9 to −33·1)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 159 (118 to 199) | 101 (77 to 127) | −36·5% (−44·0 to −28·1)* | −38·7% (−45·9 to −30·6)* | 14 000 (10 500 to 17 600) | 8970 (6850 to 11 300) | −36·1% (−43·5 to −27·8)* | −38·4% (−45·5 to −30·3)* | |||
4 | Discontinued breastfeeding: all causes | 16 (5 to 28) | 10 (4 to 18) | −36·7% (−46·5 to −25·2)* | −39·9% (−49·2 to −28·9)* | 1420 (488 to 2550) | 931 (322 to 1630) | −34·7% (−44·2 to −23·1)* | −37·9% (−47·0 to −26·9)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 16 (5 to 28) | 10 (4 to 18) | −36·7% (−46·5 to −25·2)* | −39·9% (−49·2 to −28·9)* | 1420 (488 to 2550) | 931 (322 to 1630) | −34·7% (−44·2 to −23·1)* | −37·9% (−47·0 to −26·9)* | |||
3 | Child growth failure: all causes | 1980 (1800 to 2170) | 1190 (1060 to 1300) | −40·1% (−43·9 to −36·0)* | −43·6% (−47·2 to −39·8)* | 170 000 (155 000 to 186 000) | 100 000 (89 800 to 110 000) | −40·9% (−44·7 to −37·0)* | −43·8% (−47·5 to −40·1)* | |||
4 | Child underweight: all causes | 710 (606 to 853) | 417 (365 to 498) | −41·3% (−45·7 to −36·1)* | −46·2% (−50·1 to −41·6)* | 58 700 (49 700 to 71 300) | 32 400 (28 000 to 39 500) | −44·7% (−48·9 to −40·0)* | −47·9% (−51·8 to −43·5)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 181 (121 to 310) | 93 (61 to 169) | −48·8% (−53·5 to −44·1)* | −51·2% (−55·6 to −46·6)* | 15 700 (10 500 to 26 900) | 8050 (5270 to 14 700) | −48·8% (−53·4 to −44·1)* | −51·1% (−55·6 to −46·6)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 139 (113 to 177) | 66 (52 to 83) | −53·0% (−59·3 to −45·6)* | −55·3% (−61·3 to −48·2)* | 12 300 (10 000 to 15 600) | 5860 (4670 to 7430) | −52·4% (−58·7 to −45·2)* | −54·7% (−60·7 to −47·8)* | |||
.. | Measles | 76 (16 to 199) | 27 (5 to 75) | −64·9% (−72·1 to −59·0)* | −66·8% (−73·6 to −61·2)* | 6560 (1400 to 17 200) | 2300 (437 to 6480) | −65·0% (−72·1 to −59·0)* | −66·8% (−73·6 to −61·2)* | |||
.. | Protein-energy malnutrition | 313 (288 to 339) | 232 (212 to 254) | −26·1% (−31·7 to −18·0)* | −34·6% (−39·4 to −27·5)* | 24 100 (21 800 to 26 400) | 16 200 (14 500 to 18 000) | −32·6% (−38·3 to −24·7)* | −37·2% (−42·5 to −29·7)* | |||
4 | Child wasting: all causes | 1770 (1480 to 2020) | 1080 (891 to 1220) | −39·1% (−43·1 to −35·0)* | −42·8% (−46·6 to −38·9)* | 152 000 (127 000 to 173 000) | 91 000 (75 400 to 104 000) | −40·1% (−44·2 to −36·0)* | −43·1% (−47·1 to −39·2)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 700 (481 to 841) | 426 (281 to 523) | −39·2% (−44·2 to −34·6)* | −41·9% (−46·7 to −37·5)* | 60 900 (41 800 to 73 100) | 37 000 (24 500 to 45 500) | −39·1% (−44·1 to −34·5)* | −41·8% (−46·6 to −37·4)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 680 (534 to 788) | 389 (288 to 452) | −42·8% (−50·5 to −33·8)* | −45·5% (−52·9 to −36·9)* | 60 300 (47 200 to 69 700) | 35 100 (26 000 to 40 800) | −41·8% (−49·6 to −33·1)* | −44·6% (−52·0 to −36·3)* | |||
.. | Measles | 76 (11 to 246) | 30 (4 to 108) | −60·2% (−68·0 to −53·9)* | −62·3% (−69·6 to −56·4)* | 6610 (942 to 21 400) | 2630 (322 to 9370) | −60·2% (−68·0 to −53·9)* | −62·2% (−69·6 to −56·4)* | |||
.. | Protein-energy malnutrition | 313 (288 to 339) | 232 (212 to 254) | −26·1% (−31·7 to −18·0)* | −34·6% (−39·4 to −27·5)* | 24 100 (21 800 to 26 400) | 16 200 (14 500 to 18 000) | −32·6% (−38·3 to −24·7)* | −37·2% (−42·5 to −29·7)* | |||
4 | Child stunting: all causes | 458 (237 to 754) | 221 (103 to 395) | −51·8% (−57·8 to −46·0)* | −54·2% (−59·9 to −48·5)* | 40 000 (20 700 to 65 700) | 19 400 (9070 to 34 600) | −51·5% (−57·3 to −45·8)* | −53·9% (−59·5 to −48·3)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 229 (30 to 505) | 119 (13 to 285) | −48·0% (−58·0 to −42·3)* | −50·4% (−59·9 to −44·9)* | 19 900 (2600 to 43 900) | 10 300 (1120 to 24 800) | −47·9% (−57·9 to −42·2)* | −50·3% (−59·9 to −44·8)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 174 (69 to 303) | 81 (30 to 149) | −53·3% (−61·1 to −44·7)* | −55·5% (−63·0 to −47·4)* | 15 400 (6100 to 26 700) | 7310 (2720 to 13 400) | −52·5% (−60·3 to −44·2)* | −54·8% (−62·3 to −46·9)* | |||
.. | Measles | 56 (6 to 158) | 20 (2 to 61) | −63·5% (−72·0 to −57·8)* | −65·4% (−73·5 to −60·1)* | 4810 (513 to 13 700) | 1760 (168 to 5310) | −63·5% (−72·0 to −57·8)* | −65·4% (−73·5 to −60·1)* | |||
3 | Low birthweight and short gestation: all causes | 2490 (2400 to 2570) | 1880 (1790 to 1970) | −24·4% (−27·4 to −21·2)* | −26·4% (−29·4 to −23·3)* | 229 000 (221 000 to 237 000) | 178 000 (169 000 to 187 000) | −22·1% (−25·3 to −18·7)* | −24·7% (−27·6 to −21·5)* | |||
4 | Short gestation for birthweight: all causes | 1890 (1820 to 1970) | 1430 (1360 to 1510) | −24·2% (−27·4 to −21·0)* | −26·3% (−29·4 to −23·1)* | 176 000 (170 000 to 184 000) | 139 000 (131 000 to 147 000) | −21·3% (−24·4 to −17·6)* | −24·0% (−27·0 to −20·6)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 186 (172 to 200) | 129 (117 to 142) | −30·7% (−36·5 to −23·8)* | −32·6% (−38·3 to −25·9)* | 16 300 (15 100 to 17 600) | 11 300 (10 300 to 12 400) | −30·7% (−36·5 to −23·8)* | −32·6% (−38·3 to −25·9)* | |||
.. | Upper respiratory infections | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −38·4% (−48·3 to −21·7)* | −40·2% (−49·8 to −23·9)* | 10 (5 to 13) | 6 (4 to 9) | −38·4% (−48·3 to −21·7)* | −40·2% (−49·8 to −23·9)* | |||
.. | Otitis media | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −51·6% (−70·5 to −22·3)* | −53·0% (−71·3 to −24·5)* | 3 (1 to 11) | 2 (1 to 6) | −51·6% (−70·5 to −22·3)* | −53·0% (−71·3 to −24·5)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 48 (43 to 53) | 31 (27 to 35) | −35·1% (−43·6 to −25·9)* | −37·0% (−45·2 to −28·0)* | 4180 (3790 to 4620) | 2710 (2410 to 3040) | −35·1% (−43·6 to −25·9)* | −37·0% (−45·2 to −28·0)* | |||
.. | Pneumococcal meningitis | 2 (2 to 3) | 2 (1 to 2) | −20·4% (−31·4 to −6·9)* | −22·6% (−33·3 to −9·4)* | 187 (148 to 224) | 149 (118 to 183) | −20·4% (−31·4 to −6·8)* | −22·6% (−33·3 to −9·4)* | |||
.. | H influenzae type B meningitis | 4 (4 to 5) | 3 (2 to 3) | −40·9% (−48·8 to −31·0)* | −42·6% (−50·2 to −33·0)* | 382 (309 to 462) | 225 (176 to 277) | −40·9% (−48·8 to −31·0)* | −42·6% (−50·2 to −33·0)* | |||
.. | Meningococcal infection | 2 (2 to 3) | 2 (1 to 2) | −34·6% (−42·8 to −24·4)* | −36·5% (−44·4 to −26·5)* | 211 (175 to 246) | 138 (109 to 167) | −34·6% (−42·8 to −24·4)* | −36·4% (−44·4 to −26·5)* | |||
.. | Other meningitis | 7 (5 to 8) | 6 (5 to 7) | −11·8% (−22·6 to 2·5) | −14·2% (−24·8 to −0·3)* | 573 (475 to 664) | 505 (413 to 592) | −11·8% (−22·6 to 2·5) | −14·2% (−24·8 to −0·3)* | |||
.. | Encephalitis | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | −16·0% (−33·2 to −1·7)* | −18·4% (−35·1 to −4·4)* | 95 (85 to 107) | 80 (67 to 89) | −16·0% (−33·2 to −1·7)* | −18·4% (−35·1 to −4·4)* | |||
.. | Neonatal preterm birth | 879 (830 to 991) | 649 (605 to 721) | −26·2% (−31·3 to −21·5)* | −28·1% (−33·2 to −23·6)* | 87 700 (82 100 to 97 300) | 70 200 (64 400 to 77 200) | −19·9% (−25·3 to −14·4)* | −23·3% (−28·4 to −18·3)* | |||
.. | Neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma | 351 (314 to 379) | 281 (248 to 309) | −20·0% (−26·6 to −12·4)* | −22·1% (−28·5 to −14·7)* | 30 800 (27 600 to 33 300) | 24 700 (21 800 to 27 200) | −20·0% (−26·6 to −12·4)* | −22·1% (−28·5 to −14·7)* | |||
.. | Neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections | 120 (106 to 157) | 111 (97 to 144) | −8·1% (−17·1 to 2·0) | −10·6% (−19·3 to −0·8)* | 10 600 (9280 to 13 800) | 9710 (8540 to 12 700) | −8·1% (−17·1 to 2·0) | −10·6% (−19·3 to −0·8)* | |||
.. | Haemolytic disease and other neonatal jaundice | 44 (38 to 50) | 28 (24 to 32) | −36·3% (−44·7 to −26·2)* | −38·0% (−46·2 to −28·2)* | 3840 (3340 to 4380) | 2450 (2140 to 2810) | −36·3% (−44·7 to −26·2)* | −38·0% (−46·2 to −28·2)* | |||
.. | Other neonatal disorders | 242 (210 to 266) | 188 (160 to 207) | −22·3% (−28·9 to −13·9)* | −24·4% (−30·8 to −16·1)* | 21 300 (18 400 to 23 400) | 16 500 (14 000 to 18 200) | −22·3% (−28·9 to −13·9)* | −24·4% (−30·8 to −16·1)* | |||
.. | Sudden infant death syndrome | 3 (1 to 5) | 2 (1 to 4) | −20·9% (−31·2 to −4·0)* | −23·2% (−33·2 to −6·8)* | 262 (103 to 467) | 208 (98 to 351) | −20·9% (−31·2 to −4·0)* | −23·2% (−33·2 to −6·8)* | |||
4 | Low birthweight for gestation: all causes | 1480 (1410 to 1570) | 1100 (1040 to 1160) | −25·7% (−28·9 to −22·2)* | −27·6% (−30·8 to −24·3)* | 140 000 (134 000 to 148 000) | 110 000 (103 000 to 117 000) | −21·8% (−25·4 to −17·9)* | −24·7% (−28·0 to −21·0)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 95 (86 to 105) | 63 (56 to 71) | −33·9% (−40·6 to −26·4)* | −35·6% (−42·2 to −28·3)* | 8350 (7530 to 9270) | 5520 (4880 to 6260) | −33·8% (−40·6 to −26·4)* | −35·6% (−42·2 to −28·3)* | |||
.. | Upper respiratory infections | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −45·8% (−54·9 to −30·6)* | −47·3% (−56·1 to −32·5)* | 5 (3 to 7) | 3 (2 to 4) | −45·8% (−54·9 to −30·6)* | −47·3% (−56·1 to −32·5)* | |||
.. | Otitis media | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −48·9% (−68·4 to −16·0)* | −50·3% (−69·3 to −18·4)* | 2 (0 to 7) | 1 (0 to 4) | −48·9% (−68·4 to −16·0)* | −50·3% (−69·3 to −18·4)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 18 (16 to 21) | 11 (10 to 13) | −37·4% (−46·1 to −28·8)* | −39·1% (−47·5 to −30·7)* | 1610 (1400 to 1830) | 1010 (878 to 1150) | −37·4% (−46·1 to −28·8)* | −39·1% (−47·5 to −30·7)* | |||
.. | Pneumococcal meningitis | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | −28·4% (−39·6 to −14·4)* | −30·4% (−41·3 to −16·7)* | 100 (76 to 124) | 72 (56 to 89) | −28·4% (−39·6 to −14·4)* | −30·4% (−41·3 to −16·7)* | |||
.. | H influenzae type B meningitis | 2 (2 to 3) | 1 (1 to 1) | −46·5% (−53·9 to −37·0)* | −48·0% (−55·2 to −38·7)* | 177 (134 to 227) | 95 (71 to 118) | −46·5% (−53·9 to −37·0)* | −48·0% (−55·2 to −38·7)* | |||
.. | Meningococcal infection | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | −37·6% (−46·6 to −26·6)* | −39·2% (−48·0 to −28·6)* | 104 (81 to 126) | 65 (50 to 80) | −37·6% (−46·6 to −26·6)* | −39·2% (−48·0 to −28·6)* | |||
.. | Other meningitis | 3 (3 to 4) | 3 (2 to 3) | −16·0% (−27·6 to −2·3)* | −18·3% (−29·5 to −5·0)* | 286 (229 to 340) | 240 (191 to 284) | −16·0% (−27·6 to −2·3)* | −18·3% (−29·5 to −5·0)* | |||
.. | Encephalitis | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −16·7% (−32·2 to −3·4)* | −19·0% (−34·1 to −6·0)* | 38 (33 to 44) | 31 (27 to 36) | −16·7% (−32·2 to −3·4)* | −19·0% (−34·1 to −6·0)* | |||
.. | Neonatal preterm birth | 879 (830 to 991) | 649 (605 to 721) | −26·2% (−31·3 to −21·5)* | −28·1% (−33·2 to −23·6)* | 87 700 (82 100 to 97 300) | 70 200 (64 400 to 77 200) | −19·9% (−25·3 to −14·4)* | −23·3% (−28·4 to −18·3)* | |||
.. | Neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma | 249 (221 to 271) | 188 (166 to 207) | −24·6% (−30·7 to −17·7)* | −26·6% (−32·5 to −19·8)* | 21 900 (19 400 to 23 800) | 16 500 (14 600 to 18 200) | −24·6% (−30·7 to −17·7)* | −26·6% (−32·5 to −19·8)* | |||
.. | Neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections | 64 (55 to 90) | 57 (49 to 80) | −10·8% (−20·3 to 0·0)* | −13·2% (−22·4 to −2·7)* | 5620 (4830 to 7910) | 5010 (4320 to 6990) | −10·8% (−20·3 to 0·0)* | −13·2% (−22·4 to −2·7)* | |||
.. | Haemolytic disease and other neonatal jaundice | 21 (18 to 24) | 13 (12 to 15) | −35·7% (−44·1 to −26·2)* | −37·4% (−45·6 to −28·2)* | 1810 (1570 to 2080) | 1160 (1010 to 1330) | −35·7% (−44·1 to −26·2)* | −37·4% (−45·6 to −28·2)* | |||
.. | Other neonatal disorders | 141 (121 to 156) | 109 (92 to 121) | −22·8% (−29·7 to −13·9)* | −24·8% (−31·5 to −16·2)* | 12 400 (10 600 to 13 700) | 9560 (8060 to 10 600) | −22·8% (−29·7 to −13·9)* | −24·8% (−31·5 to −16·2)* | |||
.. | Sudden infant death syndrome | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | −22·7% (−33·6 to −7·6)* | −24·9% (−35·5 to −10·3)* | 68 (32 to 127) | 52 (27 to 93) | −22·7% (−33·6 to −7·6)* | −24·9% (−35·5 to −10·3)* | |||
3 | Iron deficiency: all causes | 89 (36 to 133) | 60 (24 to 91) | −32·6% (−37·0 to −28·4)* | −38·5% (−42·5 to −34·6)* | 37 100 (25 800 to 51 300) | 33 700 (23 200 to 47 200) | −9·3% (−13·2 to −5·3)* | −17·6% (−21·1 to −14·1)* | |||
.. | Maternal haemorrhage | 28 (12 to 44) | 12 (5 to 19) | −56·9% (−64·0 to −48·6)* | −60·7% (−67·3 to −53·2)* | 1650 (670 to 2570) | 702 (281 to 1100) | −57·4% (−64·6 to −48·7)* | −60·9% (−67·6 to −53·1)* | |||
.. | Maternal sepsis and other pregnancy related infections | 11 (4 to 17) | 7 (3 to 11) | −36·7% (−49·0 to −23·8)* | −42·1% (−53·2 to −30·3)* | 634 (265 to 1010) | 397 (156 to 635) | −37·4% (−49·4 to −24·1)* | −42·3% (−53·3 to −30·0)* | |||
.. | Maternal hypertensive disorders | 10 (4 to 16) | 9 (3 to 14) | −16·0% (−32·6 to 2·1) | −22·6% (−37·9 to −5·8)* | 659 (262 to 1050) | 550 (212 to 863) | −16·6% (−32·7 to 0·5) | −22·7% (−37·6 to −6·9)* | |||
.. | Maternal obstructed labour and uterine rupture | 6 (2 to 10) | 4 (2 to 7) | −26·8% (−44·8 to −5·1)* | −33·5% (−49·6 to −13·6)* | 461 (188 to 761) | 343 (139 to 561) | −25·6% (−40·2 to −10·8)* | −32·1% (−45·2 to −18·5)* | |||
.. | Maternal abortive outcome | 6 (3 to 10) | 5 (2 to 9) | −17·0% (−32·9 to 0·5) | −24·7% (−38·9 to −8·9)* | 374 (152 to 602) | 304 (118 to 484) | −18·7% (−35·0 to −0·3)* | −25·5% (−40·1 to −9·0)* | |||
.. | Ectopic pregnancy | 4 (2 to 9) | 3 (1 to 6) | −21·9% (−51·6 to 20·4) | −28·4% (−55·1 to 10·5) | 263 (92 to 541) | 203 (75 to 378) | −23·0% (−51·4 to 19·5) | −29·0% (−55·2 to 9·9) | |||
.. | Indirect maternal deaths | 12 (5 to 20) | 10 (4 to 17) | −14·5% (−28·4 to −0·6)* | −21·9% (−34·7 to −9·5)* | 714 (287 to 1150) | 598 (233 to 956) | −16·2% (−30·5 to −1·9)* | −23·0% (−36·3 to −10·3)* | |||
.. | Late maternal deaths | 1 (0 to 2) | 1 (0 to 2) | −13·3% (−19·6 to −7·3)* | −20·7% (−26·2 to −15·2)* | 65 (26 to 104) | 56 (21 to 92) | −14·3% (−20·4 to −8·3)* | −21·2% (−26·6 to −15·7)* | |||
.. | Maternal deaths aggravated by HIV/AIDS | 1 (0 to 1) | 0 (0 to 1) | −30·3% (−37·6 to −22·8)* | −37·8% (−44·3 to −31·1)* | 38 (15 to 63) | 25 (9 to 44) | −32·8% (−39·9 to −25·6)* | −39·7% (−46·2 to −33·2)* | |||
.. | Other maternal disorders | 9 (4 to 15) | 8 (3 to 12) | −18·8% (−35·7 to 2·8) | −25·8% (−41·4 to −6·0)* | 577 (227 to 936) | 470 (184 to 736) | −18·6% (−36·0 to 2·5) | −25·2% (−40·9 to −5·8)* | |||
.. | Dietary iron deficiency | .. | .. | .. | .. | 31 700 (21 400 to 45 200) | 30 000 (20 300 to 43 600) | −5·2% (−8·4 to −1·9)* | −14·3% (−17·2 to −11·4)* | |||
3 | Vitamin A deficiency: all causes | 437 (339 to 550) | 233 (179 to 294) | −46·8% (−51·4 to −42·0)* | −49·2% (−53·7 to −44·6)* | 48 500 (38 700 to 59 900) | 29 000 (23 000 to 35 600) | −40·2% (−44·7 to −35·8)* | −43·3% (−47·6 to −39·0)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 94 (36 to 161) | 53 (20 to 92) | −43·4% (−47·6 to −39·3)* | −45·9% (−49·8 to −41·9)* | 8130 (3110 to 14 000) | 4600 (1750 to 8000) | −43·4% (−47·6 to −39·3)* | −45·8% (−49·8 to −41·9)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 263 (217 to 308) | 146 (120 to 173) | −44·5% (−51·0 to −37·1)* | −47·1% (−53·3 to −40·0)* | 23 300 (19 300 to 27 300) | 13 100 (10 800 to 15 500) | −43·7% (−50·1 to −36·5)* | −46·3% (−52·4 to −39·4)* | |||
.. | Measles | 81 (27 to 181) | 34 (11 to 78) | −58·0% (−63·3 to −53·0)* | −60·2% (−65·2 to −55·4)* | 6980 (2310 to 15 700) | 2930 (961 to 6750) | −58·0% (−63·2 to −53·0)* | −60·2% (−65·1 to −55·4)* | |||
.. | Vitamin A deficiency | .. | .. | .. | .. | 10 000 (6650 to 14 500) | 8310 (5400 to 12 200) | −17·3% (−20·8 to −13·6)* | −22·3% (−25·7 to −18·8)* | |||
3 | Zinc deficiency: all causes | 60 (3 to 157) | 29 (1 to 77) | −52·3% (−61·6 to −41·7)* | −55·2% (−64·0 to −45·3)* | 5290 (398 to 13 600) | 2580 (235 to 6750) | −51·2% (−60·2 to −36·4)* | −54·2% (−62·6 to −40·2)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 24 (0 to 98) | 12 (0 to 52) | −49·3% (−58·1 to 0) | −57·2% (−60·4 to 0) | 2100 (3 to 8430) | 1070 (2 to 4460) | −49·2% (−57·9 to −21·2)* | −52·2% (−60·4 to −26·0)* | |||
.. | Diarrhoeal diseases | 36 (0 to 102) | 16 (0 to 48) | −54·4% (−63·4 to 0) | −52·3% (−65·6 to 0) | 3190 (132 to 8890) | 1510 (113 to 4270) | −52·6% (−61·0 to −12·4)* | −55·4% (−63·3 to −17·7)* | |||
2 | Tobacco: all causes | 7280 (7010 to 7560) | 8100 (7790 to 8420) | 11·3% (9·1 to 13·4)* | −15·9% (−17·6 to −14·4)* | 200 000 (188 000 to 212 000) | 213 000 (201 000 to 227 000) | 6·8% (4·6 to 9·0)* | −16·8% (−18·5 to −15·2)* | |||
3 | Smoking: all causes | 6380 (6170 to 6590) | 7100 (6830 to 7370) | 11·2% (8·8 to 13·5)* | −16·2% (−18·0 to −14·4)* | 169 000 (160 000 to 177 000) | 182 000 (173 000 to 193 000) | 8·2% (6·0 to 10·3)* | −16·4% (−18·1 to −14·7)* | |||
.. | Drug-susceptible tuberculosis | 200 (163 to 234) | 156 (124 to 188) | −22·1% (−29·6 to −14·5)* | −38·7% (−44·6 to −32·8)* | 6740 (5450 to 7860) | 5210 (4140 to 6290) | −22·7% (−29·7 to −15·3)* | −37·5% (−43·1 to −31·7)* | |||
.. | Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis without extensive drug resistance | 26 (20 to 34) | 20 (11 to 32) | −26·0% (−54·4 to 16·5) | −41·4% (−63·9 to −7·6)* | 887 (671 to 1130) | 636 (368 to 1030) | −28·3% (−54·8 to 10·7) | −41·7% (−63·2 to −9·8)* | |||
.. | Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis | 3 (2 to 4) | 3 (2 to 4) | −2·6% (−26·1 to 27·8) | −21·8% (−40·8 to 2·5) | 110 (83 to 140) | 103 (74 to 138) | −6·5% (−28·6 to 20·6) | −23·1% (−41·4 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 241 (180 to 301) | 265 (194 to 338) | 9·9% (5·2 to 13·8)* | −17·6% (−21·0 to −14·8)* | 5200 (3950 to 6410) | 5410 (4020 to 6820) | 4·0% (−0·6 to 7·9) | −18·9% (−22·5 to −15·9)* | |||
.. | Lip and oral cavity cancer | 48 (40 to 56) | 59 (48 to 69) | 22·2% (15·8 to 27·9)* | −7·2% (−12·0 to −2·8)* | 1270 (1030 to 1500) | 1500 (1190 to 1780) | 17·9% (11·3 to 23·6)* | −9·1% (−14·1 to −4·6)* | |||
.. | Nasopharynx cancer | 15 (11 to 19) | 18 (13 to 23) | 19·7% (13·9 to 26·5)* | −8·2% (−12·5 to −3·0)* | 427 (303 to 541) | 492 (350 to 627) | 15·3% (9·3 to 22·3)* | −10·0% (−14·5 to −4·9)* | |||
.. | Other pharynx cancer | 39 (32 to 45) | 51 (41 to 59) | 29·9% (18·4 to 39·8)* | −1·1% (−9·9 to 6·5) | 1060 (867 to 1220) | 1330 (1050 to 1580) | 25·7% (14·4 to 35·6)* | −3·2% (−12·0 to 4·5) | |||
.. | Oesophageal cancer | 151 (137 to 164) | 170 (156 to 186) | 13·1% (8·4 to 18·0)* | −14·4% (−17·9 to −10·6)* | 3520 (3170 to 3850) | 3810 (3470 to 4170) | 8·3% (3·8 to 12·8)* | −17·1% (−20·5 to −13·6)* | |||
.. | Stomach cancer | 147 (120 to 174) | 155 (126 to 183) | 5·1% (0·8 to 10·0)* | −20·6% (−23·7 to −17·0)* | 3220 (2570 to 3850) | 3270 (2640 to 3890) | 1·6% (−2·6 to 6·5) | −22·4% (−25·6 to −18·8)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 101 (68 to 134) | 119 (79 to 160) | 18·2% (13·6 to 22·6)* | −11·3% (−14·9 to −7·8)* | 2190 (1420 to 2870) | 2540 (1620 to 3390) | 16·0% (11·2 to 20·2)* | −11·8% (−15·5 to −8·5)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to hepatitis B | 53 (28 to 78) | 64 (35 to 92) | 20·7% (9·5 to 38·7)* | −7·1% (−15·1 to 5·9) | 1520 (742 to 2250) | 1760 (933 to 2560) | 16·0% (5·2 to 34·1)* | −9·6% (−17·0 to 4·0) | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to hepatitis C | 33 (19 to 46) | 41 (23 to 58) | 25·9% (19·2 to 34·1)* | −5·4% (−10·1 to 0·4) | 712 (388 to 1020) | 880 (491 to 1260) | 23·5% (17·0 to 31·7)* | −6·2% (−10·7 to −0·5)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to alcohol use | 20 (11 to 30) | 26 (14 to 38) | 26·0% (19·6 to 33·8)* | −4·1% (−8·8 to 1·2) | 484 (266 to 712) | 595 (319 to 888) | 23·1% (16·4 to 31·1)* | −5·4% (−9·9 to 0·1) | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis | 8 (4 to 12) | 11 (6 to 16) | 39·6% (30·5 to 51·3)* | 5·3% (−1·3 to 13·7) | 179 (96 to 261) | 244 (128 to 353) | 36·1% (26·8 to 47·9)* | 4·1% (−2·4 to 12·7) | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to other causes | 8 (4 to 11) | 10 (5 to 14) | 29·8% (18·6 to 45·9)* | −0·7% (−8·6 to 10·5) | 205 (104 to 304) | 255 (135 to 370) | 24·2% (13·2 to 41·5)* | −3·4% (−10·8 to 8·2) | |||
.. | Pancreatic cancer | 75 (67 to 83) | 94 (83 to 105) | 24·9% (21·1 to 28·4)* | −6·3% (−9·3 to −3·6)* | 1570 (1380 to 1750) | 1910 (1670 to 2140) | 21·6% (17·7 to 24·9)* | −7·6% (−10·5 to −5·1)* | |||
.. | Larynx cancer | 67 (59 to 73) | 77 (68 to 84) | 14·9% (11·4 to 18·0)* | −12·7% (−15·4 to −10·3)* | 1730 (1540 to 1900) | 1930 (1700 to 2130) | 11·3% (7·6 to 14·6)* | −14·5% (−17·4 to −12·0)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 965 (940 to 992) | 1190 (1150 to 1230) | 23·3% (19·9 to 26·4)* | −6·9% (−9·4 to −4·6)* | 21 000 (20 400 to 21 700) | 25 100 (24 100 to 26 100) | 19·3% (15·8 to 22·4)* | −9·1% (−11·7 to −6·8)* | |||
.. | Breast cancer | 16 (12 to 21) | 17 (12 to 22) | 5·2% (1·9 to 8·4)* | −20·4% (−23·1 to −17·7)* | 447 (317 to 582) | 451 (320 to 593) | 0·8% (−2·5 to 3·8) | −22·0% (−24·9 to −19·5)* | |||
.. | Cervical cancer | 27 (14 to 43) | 27 (14 to 43) | −0·5% (−6·1 to 4·5) | −23·2% (−27·6 to −19·0)* | 807 (443 to 1260) | 766 (414 to 1190) | −5·0% (−10·0 to −0·4)* | −24·8% (−28·9 to −20·7)* | |||
.. | Prostate cancer | 22 (10 to 34) | 25 (10 to 40) | 15·7% (7·1 to 23·3)* | −13·9% (−20·1 to −8·4)* | 414 (188 to 640) | 475 (206 to 750) | 14·7% (6·6 to 22·6)* | −13·6% (−19·8 to −7·6)* | |||
.. | Kidney cancer | 21 (15 to 27) | 26 (18 to 34) | 19·7% (14·8 to 24·6)* | −9·8% (−13·5 to −6·0)* | 482 (336 to 623) | 554 (378 to 721) | 15·0% (10·3 to 19·7)* | −12·3% (−16·1 to −8·6)* | |||
.. | Bladder cancer | 56 (42 to 67) | 66 (50 to 81) | 19·5% (16·1 to 23·2)* | −10·8% (−13·4 to −7·9)* | 1130 (869 to 1350) | 1320 (1010 to 1590) | 16·9% (13·4 to 20·2)* | −11·2% (−14·0 to −8·7)* | |||
.. | Acute lymphoid leukaemia | 5 (3 to 8) | 7 (4 to 10) | 25·7% (16·2 to 33·3)* | −2·7% (−9·5 to 2·5) | 149 (78 to 232) | 179 (95 to 279) | 20·1% (11·1 to 28·0)* | −4·9% (−11·8 to 0·3) | |||
.. | Chronic lymphoid leukaemia | 8 (5 to 12) | 9 (6 to 13) | 11·5% (6·3 to 17·8)* | −17·4% (−21·4 to −12·6)* | 168 (103 to 234) | 187 (116 to 261) | 11·3% (5·0 to 18·2)* | −16·0% (−21·0 to −10·3)* | |||
.. | Acute myeloid leukaemia | 18 (11 to 25) | 21 (13 to 30) | 18·8% (13·7 to 23·2)* | −9·6% (−13·7 to −6·0)* | 412 (248 to 595) | 471 (275 to 704) | 14·4% (9·2 to 18·7)* | −11·3% (−16·0 to −7·2)* | |||
.. | Chronic myeloid leukaemia | 5 (3 to 7) | 5 (3 to 7) | −6·1% (−10·0 to −2·2)* | −28·8% (−32·2 to −25·6)* | 116 (67 to 174) | 104 (58 to 157) | −10·4% (−14·4 to −6·6)* | −30·3% (−34·3 to −27·0)* | |||
.. | Other leukaemia | 24 (15 to 34) | 26 (16 to 38) | 9·5% (4·0 to 16·8)* | −16·9% (−20·6 to −11·5)* | 565 (327 to 830) | 588 (346 to 862) | 4·2% (−1·3 to 13·1) | −19·0% (−22·8 to −13·1)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 1500 (1440 to 1570) | 1620 (1540 to 1690) | 7·8% (4·6 to 11·1)* | −17·8% (−20·2 to −15·3)* | 38 400 (36 800 to 40 200) | 40 600 (38 700 to 42 500) | 5·6% (2·4 to 9·0)* | −18·0% (−20·4 to −15·3)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 295 (276 to 317) | 335 (313 to 361) | 13·4% (8·6 to 17·8)* | −14·7% (−18·2 to −11·4)* | 7540 (6910 to 8260) | 9000 (8170 to 9920) | 19·3% (14·7 to 23·8)* | −9·0% (−12·5 to −5·6)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 470 (439 to 500) | 481 (450 to 514) | 2·3% (−2·2 to 6·9) | −21·9% (−25·4 to −18·5)* | 12 400 (11 600 to 13 300) | 12 600 (11 800 to 13 600) | 1·5% (−2·8 to 5·8) | −21·2% (−24·6 to −17·8)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 67 (60 to 77) | 71 (63 to 81) | 6·2% (−1·4 to 14·5) | −17·4% (−23·3 to −11·1)* | 2190 (1950 to 2510) | 2270 (2020 to 2560) | 3·5% (−3·2 to 10·7) | −17·9% (−23·2 to −12·4)* | |||
.. | Atrial fibrillation and flutter | 10 (6 to 13) | 12 (8 to 16) | 27·2% (22·5 to 32·3)* | −6·4% (−9·8 to −2·9)* | 414 (262 to 591) | 502 (315 to 718) | 21·2% (17·8 to 24·7)* | −7·5% (−9·9 to −5·2)* | |||
.. | Aortic aneurysm | 51 (47 to 56) | 56 (51 to 62) | 10·4% (6·0 to 15·3)* | −16·3% (−19·6 to −12·6)* | 1160 (1080 to 1270) | 1270 (1160 to 1400) | 9·5% (4·9 to 14·7)* | −15·4% (−18·9 to −11·4)* | |||
.. | Peripheral vascular disease | 13 (8 to 21) | 17 (11 to 29) | 31·6% (9·2 to 47·5)* | −2·2% (−19·0 to 9·8) | 376 (240 to 553) | 471 (298 to 716) | 25·1% (9·1 to 37·0)* | −5·7% (−17·8 to 3·3) | |||
.. | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 1130 (1030 to 1230) | 1230 (1120 to 1350) | 9·5% (6·4 to 13·0)* | −19·1% (−21·3 to −16·7)* | 26 100 (23 300 to 28 700) | 28 200 (25 100 to 31 100) | 7·8% (4·7 to 11·1)* | −18·4% (−20·7 to −16·0)* | |||
.. | Asthma | 69 (34 to 108) | 59 (29 to 90) | −15·5% (−23·9 to −3·8)* | −35·8% (−42·2 to −27·0)* | 2340 (1220 to 3350) | 2130 (1100 to 3080) | −9·0% (−16·4 to 0·5) | −28·7% (−34·7 to −20·9)* | |||
.. | Peptic ulcer disease | 51 (44 to 58) | 46 (39 to 54) | −10·1% (−15·5 to −3·9)* | −31·5% (−35·6 to −26·7)* | 1370 (1180 to 1540) | 1200 (1020 to 1400) | −11·9% (−17·0 to −6·8)* | −30·9% (−35·0 to −26·8)* | |||
.. | Gallbladder and biliary diseases | 5 (4 to 6) | 6 (4 to 7) | 15·1% (9·7 to 22·7)* | −13·6% (−17·6 to −7·9)* | 106 (78 to 136) | 116 (84 to 151) | 9·6% (4·1 to 16·8)* | −14·9% (−19·0 to −9·4)* | |||
.. | Alzheimer's disease and other dementias | 249 (158 to 338) | 318 (198 to 434) | 27·6% (21·8 to 32·5)* | −9·5% (−13·4 to −6·0)* | 3800 (2410 to 5110) | 4650 (2900 to 6310) | 22·4% (17·2 to 26·7)* | −10·0% (−13·6 to −6·6)* | |||
.. | Parkinson's disease | −24 (−38 to −12) | −29 (−46 to −14) | 20·0% (10·5 to 28·2)* | −10·4% (−17·3 to −4·4)* | −481 (−750 to −239) | −567 (−890 to −281) | 17·9% (9·1 to 26·2)* | −10·5% (−17·1 to −4·3)* | |||
.. | Multiple sclerosis | 2 (2 to 3) | 3 (2 to 3) | 12·1% (−1·6 to 19·2) | −11·4% (−21·9 to −5·7)* | 132 (101 to 165) | 143 (107 to 179) | 8·2% (0·3 to 14·5)* | −12·0% (−18·3 to −6·8)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 65 (53 to 78) | 83 (67 to 100) | 27·3% (22·6 to 32·2)* | −4·6% (−8·1 to −0·9)* | 4710 (3450 to 6160) | 5680 (4140 to 7530) | 20·6% (15·2 to 26·2)* | −5·6% (−9·6 to −1·4)* | |||
.. | Cataract | .. | .. | .. | .. | 534 (362 to 747) | 610 (408 to 860) | 14·3% (8·7 to 19·5)* | −13·0% (−17·1 to −8·9)* | |||
.. | Age-related macular degeneration | .. | .. | .. | .. | 48 (20 to 79) | 56 (24 to 95) | 17·0% (9·3 to 23·4)* | −12·7% (−18·4 to −8·0)* | |||
.. | Rheumatoid arthritis | 3 (1 to 6) | 4 (1 to 6) | 10·4% (2·4 to 20·2)* | −16·8% (−22·8 to −9·3)* | 245 (72 to 443) | 285 (82 to 519) | 16·4% (10·0 to 21·8)* | −9·0% (−13·9 to −4·8)* | |||
.. | Low back pain | .. | .. | .. | .. | 9350 (6160 to 13 000) | 10 100 (6700 to 14 100) | 8·1% (5·4 to 10·7)* | −12·6% (−14·7 to −10·9)* | |||
.. | Pedestrian road injuries | 4 (3 to 5) | 4 (3 to 5) | 0·9% (−8·3 to 7·2) | −22·2% (−29·4 to −17·2)* | 126 (91 to 167) | 126 (90 to 169) | −0·4% (−7·7 to 5·0) | −21·1% (−27·0 to −16·9)* | |||
.. | Cyclist road injuries | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 13·2% (3·4 to 23·5)* | −12·0% (−19·7 to −4·3)* | 25 (17 to 34) | 29 (20 to 40) | 16·8% (10·0 to 23·7)* | −8·1% (−13·2 to −2·7)* | |||
.. | Motorcyclist road injuries | 1 (1 to 2) | 1 (1 to 2) | 6·7% (−7·3 to 16·4) | −14·0% (−25·5 to −6·2)* | 71 (48 to 96) | 76 (51 to 105) | 6·9% (−2·7 to 13·7) | −13·3% (−21·1 to −7·9)* | |||
.. | Motor vehicle road injuries | 3 (2 to 4) | 3 (2 to 3) | −1·9% (−9·8 to 2·7) | −22·5% (−28·8 to −18·8)* | 105 (71 to 143) | 103 (69 to 140) | −2·0% (−7·4 to 1·7) | −21·2% (−25·7 to −18·3)* | |||
.. | Other road injuries | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −2·7% (−12·4 to 16·6) | −24·9% (−32·5 to −10·6)* | 8 (6 to 12) | 10 (7 to 15) | 26·6% (19·1 to 34·2)* | −1·8% (−7·3 to 4·0) | |||
.. | Other transport injuries | 1 (1 to 2) | 1 (1 to 2) | 3·3% (−2·3 to 10·4) | −19·5% (−23·9 to −14·1)* | 71 (52 to 94) | 77 (55 to 104) | 8·6% (4·3 to 13·2)* | −14·5% (−17·7 to −11·1)* | |||
.. | Falls | 15 (11 to 20) | 19 (13 to 25) | 23·6% (15·1 to 34·6)* | −10·5% (−16·9 to −2·4)* | 508 (365 to 694) | 630 (443 to 870) | 23·9% (19·2 to 29·2)* | −6·4% (−9·9 to −2·5)* | |||
.. | Other exposure to mechanical forces | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 1·6% (−3·8 to 6·7) | −21·3% (−25·2 to −17·5)* | 64 (45 to 88) | 71 (50 to 102) | 12·3% (7·5 to 16·4)* | −11·7% (−15·1 to −8·9)* | |||
.. | Non-venomous animal contact | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −0·4% (−11·7 to 15·6) | −23·6% (−32·3 to −11·3)* | 5 (3 to 7) | 5 (3 to 8) | 5·3% (−0·8 to 12·3) | −18·4% (−23·0 to −12·9)* | |||
.. | Assault by other means | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −8·1% (−15·2 to −0·8)* | −27·5% (−33·1 to −21·8)* | 17 (12 to 23) | 16 (12 to 22) | −2·0% (−6·9 to 2·5) | −22·2% (−25·9 to −18·7)* | |||
3 | Chewing tobacco: all causes | 59 (48 to 70) | 76 (62 to 91) | 29·5% (22·0 to 38·3)* | −1·6% (−7·3 to 5·2) | 1490 (1220 to 1790) | 1890 (1530 to 2270) | 26·6% (19·5 to 35·1)* | −1·9% (−7·5 to 4·8) | |||
.. | Lip and oral cavity cancer | 31 (24 to 38) | 44 (35 to 54) | 41·3% (31·8 to 51·6)* | 8·1% (0·9 to 16·0)* | 853 (661 to 1050) | 1160 (892 to 1440) | 36·0% (26·2 to 46·3)* | 6·3% (−1·3 to 14·4) | |||
.. | Oesophageal cancer | 27 (20 to 36) | 32 (22 to 41) | 16·0% (6·0 to 27·2)* | −12·4% (−20·2 to −4·0)* | 641 (455 to 833) | 731 (507 to 948) | 14·0% (5·2 to 24·4)* | −12·6% (−19·5 to −5·1)* | |||
3 | Second-hand smoke: all causes | 1110 (888 to 1370) | 1220 (984 to 1500) | 10·2% (6·9 to 13·5)* | −15·9% (−18·2 to −13·6)* | 36 600 (28 600 to 46 000) | 36 300 (28 600 to 45 100) | −0·9% (−5·6 to 4·5) | −20·0% (−23·0 to −16·5)* | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 208 (123 to 302) | 179 (107 to 261) | −13·6% (−16·3 to −10·5)* | −27·8% (−30·0 to −25·4)* | 11 900 (6940 to 17 400) | 7960 (4630 to 11 600) | −33·2% (−36·4 to −29·8)* | −39·0% (−42·0 to −35·7)* | |||
.. | Otitis media | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −60·5% (−72·8 to −40·3)* | −62·4% (−74·1 to −43·1)* | 127 (69 to 209) | 119 (63 to 199) | −6·1% (−10·8 to −2·6)* | −11·6% (−15·9 to −8·2)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 78 (44 to 117) | 100 (57 to 149) | 28·3% (22·5 to 33·8)* | −2·5% (−6·7 to 1·6) | 1830 (1050 to 2750) | 2240 (1300 to 3360) | 22·7% (17·6 to 28·1)* | −5·5% (−9·4 to −1·4)* | |||
.. | Breast cancer | 12 (3 to 21) | 15 (4 to 26) | 21·2% (14·3 to 26·9)* | −5·4% (−10·6 to −1·0)* | 404 (98 to 688) | 478 (118 to 829) | 18·5% (11·6 to 24·6)* | −4·9% (−10·4 to −0·2)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 330 (269 to 399) | 382 (311 to 463) | 16·0% (12·8 to 19·3)* | −12·1% (−14·1 to −10·0)* | 7890 (6440 to 9490) | 8850 (7180 to 10 700) | 12·2% (9·2 to 15·3)* | −12·4% (−14·5 to −10·2)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 65 (48 to 85) | 74 (55 to 98) | 14·6% (9·6 to 20·4)* | −14·6% (−17·4 to −11·3)* | 1430 (1070 to 1850) | 1670 (1250 to 2190) | 17·4% (11·9 to 22·6)* | −10·3% (−13·8 to −6·9)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 96 (73 to 124) | 102 (76 to 132) | 5·9% (1·1 to 10·9)* | −19·4% (−22·4 to −16·1)* | 2460 (1840 to 3160) | 2550 (1880 to 3290) | 3·8% (−0·9 to 8·5) | −18·9% (−21·9 to −15·8)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 14 (11 to 19) | 16 (12 to 21) | 10·9% (5·5 to 16·9)* | −13·4% (−17·1 to −9·2)* | 467 (337 to 616) | 500 (360 to 656) | 7·1% (2·2 to 12·6)* | −14·0% (−17·2 to −10·3)* | |||
.. | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 244 (126 to 363) | 266 (136 to 405) | 9·0% (3·5 to 14·6)* | −20·0% (−23·9 to −15·8)* | 6230 (3190 to 9260) | 6910 (3540 to 10 400) | 10·8% (6·3 to 15·2)* | −15·3% (−18·8 to −12·0)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 61 (23 to 92) | 86 (33 to 131) | 41·1% (37·5 to 45·0)* | 5·3% (2·7 to 8·1)* | 3890 (1390 to 6340) | 5040 (1810 to 8230) | 29·3% (25·1 to 33·8)* | 1·3% (−2·0 to 4·8) | |||
2 | Alcohol use: all causes | 2560 (2230 to 2910) | 2840 (2440 to 3250) | 11·0% (3·2 to 19·1)* | −11·7% (−18·1 to −4·8)* | 102 000 (92 400 to 114 000) | 108 000 (96 200 to 120 000) | 5·5% (0·5 to 10·7)* | −13·1% (−17·2 to −8·7)* | |||
.. | Drug-susceptible tuberculosis | 338 (247 to 415) | 287 (209 to 361) | −15·0% (−22·8 to −7·7)* | −32·0% (−38·1 to −25·9)* | 12 600 (9340 to 15 400) | 10 500 (7730 to 13 100) | −16·6% (−23·9 to −9·9)* | −30·9% (−37·0 to −25·3)* | |||
.. | Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis without extensive drug resistance | 45 (32 to 60) | 38 (20 to 64) | −16·0% (−50·5 to 31·4) | −32·5% (−60·3 to 5·5) | 1650 (1170 to 2170) | 1330 (697 to 2260) | −19·2% (−51·4 to 24·6) | −33·0% (−59·7 to 3·5) | |||
.. | Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis | 5 (3 to 6) | 5 (3 to 7) | 6·1% (−20·2 to 43·2) | −13·8% (−35·2 to 16·2) | 178 (128 to 225) | 178 (124 to 254) | −0·4% (−24·4 to 32·7) | −16·9% (−36·8 to 10·7) | |||
.. | Lower respiratory infections | 96 (36 to 154) | 114 (39 to 186) | 19·1% (−0·6 to 31·4) | −8·2% (−20·9 to 2·8) | 2630 (1310 to 3830) | 2840 (1380 to 4230) | 8·0% (−5·2 to 18·0) | −13·2% (−22·7 to −5·2)* | |||
.. | Lip and oral cavity cancer | 59 (51 to 66) | 78 (66 to 89) | 32·8% (25·1 to 40·2)* | 2·1% (−3·8 to 7·8) | 1710 (1490 to 1910) | 2200 (1900 to 2490) | 28·6% (20·6 to 35·9)* | 1·1% (−5·3 to 6·8) | |||
.. | Nasopharynx cancer | 25 (21 to 29) | 32 (26 to 37) | 25·7% (17·7 to 34·3)* | −2·2% (−8·4 to 4·3) | 790 (662 to 900) | 956 (801 to 1100) | 21·1% (13·1 to 29·7)* | −3·6% (−9·7 to 3·1) | |||
.. | Other pharynx cancer | 38 (31 to 44) | 52 (42 to 62) | 38·0% (25·3 to 49·5)* | 6·1% (−3·7 to 14·9) | 1110 (912 to 1290) | 1490 (1190 to 1770) | 34·2% (21·6 to 45·3)* | 4·9% (−5·0 to 13·5) | |||
.. | Oesophageal cancer | 120 (97 to 143) | 139 (110 to 166) | 15·6% (7·8 to 24·5)* | −12·1% (−18·2 to −5·3)* | 2980 (2430 to 3510) | 3310 (2650 to 3910) | 10·9% (3·9 to 18·7)* | −14·7% (−20·2 to −8·6)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 103 (83 to 124) | 126 (98 to 155) | 22·3% (14·0 to 31·0)* | −7·9% (−14·1 to −1·3)* | 2410 (1970 to 2870) | 2900 (2290 to 3500) | 20·5% (12·2 to 29·3)* | −7·2% (−13·6 to −0·4)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to alcohol use | 98 (87 to 112) | 129 (115 to 147) | 31·7% (26·8 to 37·3)* | 0·6% (−3·0 to 4·8) | 2400 (2100 to 2790) | 3080 (2680 to 3590) | 27·9% (22·5 to 34·0)* | −0·5% (−4·4 to 4·0) | |||
.. | Larynx cancer | 32 (21 to 40) | 38 (25 to 48) | 17·6% (11·3 to 24·4)* | −10·2% (−15·1 to −4·8)* | 886 (594 to 1100) | 1010 (683 to 1270) | 14·4% (8·5 to 20·8)* | −11·5% (−16·1 to −6·6)* | |||
.. | Breast cancer | 54 (46 to 62) | 59 (49 to 69) | 9·7% (4·3 to 14·1)* | −16·3% (−20·4 to −13·0)* | 1560 (1320 to 1790) | 1670 (1390 to 1940) | 7·0% (2·0 to 11·3)* | −15·9% (−19·9 to −12·3)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | −129 (−342 to 78) | −112 (−364 to 123) | −13·4% (−192·5 to 327·3) | −38·7% (−304·3 to 136·6) | −384 (−4880 to 4100) | 343 (−4690 to 5200) | −189·5% (−502·2 to 832·6) | −111·5% (−487·6 to 473·6) | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 74 (11 to 143) | 102 (28 to 181) | 38·3% (−1·6 to 154·7) | 9·2% (−32·8 to 220·5) | 2070 (771 to 3370) | 2870 (1210 to 4520) | 38·2% (11·8 to 88·8)* | 7·2% (−14·3 to 53·9) | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 399 (292 to 503) | 462 (338 to 592) | 15·7% (3·0 to 31·2)* | −12·1% (−21·8 to −0·3)* | 9910 (7550 to 12 200) | 11 200 (8440 to 14 000) | 13·3% (2·4 to 27·2)* | −11·9% (−20·5 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Hypertensive heart disease | 93 (63 to 120) | 134 (84 to 179) | 43·9% (21·8 to 61·4)* | 6·5% (−9·2 to 19·1) | 2000 (1410 to 2570) | 2680 (1760 to 3520) | 34·3% (15·8 to 49·2)* | 3·3% (−10·9 to 14·9) | |||
.. | Alcoholic cardiomyopathy | 119 (91 to 125) | 89 (81 to 96) | −25·3% (−29·5 to −8·3)* | −40·5% (−43·7 to −27·6)* | 4230 (3190 to 4450) | 2990 (2720 to 3210) | −29·4% (−33·5 to −11·1)* | −42·2% (−45·6 to −27·5)* | |||
.. | Atrial fibrillation and flutter | 20 (15 to 26) | 28 (20 to 36) | 40·1% (28·9 to 51·6)* | −1·0% (−8·7 to 7·1) | 567 (408 to 738) | 740 (536 to 966) | 30·4% (21·0 to 41·2)* | −2·3% (−9·6 to 5·6) | |||
.. | Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases due to alcohol use | 284 (260 to 309) | 332 (303 to 373) | 16·9% (11·2 to 23·7)* | −8·8% (−13·2 to −3·4)* | 9000 (8290 to 9790) | 10 200 (9310 to 11 300) | 13·1% (8·1 to 18·9)* | −9·3% (−13·4 to −4·8)* | |||
.. | Pancreatitis | 31 (24 to 38) | 36 (29 to 45) | 17·6% (7·5 to 27·4)* | −6·2% (−14·2 to 1·8) | 1150 (929 to 1390) | 1300 (1050 to 1590) | 13·0% (3·4 to 22·1)* | −6·9% (−14·8 to 0·6) | |||
.. | Epilepsy | 23 (17 to 29) | 25 (19 to 32) | 8·4% (2·1 to 16·0)* | −9·6% (−15·0 to −2·9)* | 2050 (1460 to 2760) | 2240 (1550 to 3100) | 9·0% (0·4 to 17·7)* | −6·3% (−13·7 to 1·2) | |||
.. | Alcohol use disorders | 180 (163 to 184) | 185 (167 to 193) | 2·7% (−2·2 to 7·7) | −16·5% (−20·4 to −12·4)* | 16 600 (13 600 to 20 400) | 17 500 (14 100 to 21 600) | 5·0% (2·4 to 7·4)* | −10·2% (−12·7 to −8·1)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | −4 (−24 to 15) | −3 (−28 to 23) | −41·1% (−486·6 to 318·0) | −52·3% (−365·2 to 347·8) | 240 (−1140 to 1620) | 363 (−1460 to 2260) | 51·2% (−291·8 to 254·2) | 41·4% (−236·8 to 207·0) | |||
.. | Pedestrian road injuries | 42 (25 to 59) | 40 (23 to 56) | −4·4% (−13·2 to 6·4) | −19·7% (−26·9 to −10·7)* | 2000 (1180 to 2820) | 1880 (1120 to 2630) | −6·0% (−13·7 to 4·2) | −17·6% (−24·3 to −8·9)* | |||
.. | Cyclist road injuries | 6 (3 to 8) | 6 (3 to 9) | 9·5% (−1·0 to 22·8) | −7·6% (−16·2 to 3·4) | 365 (221 to 528) | 404 (246 to 573) | 10·6% (2·5 to 21·6)* | −4·3% (−11·2 to 5·1) | |||
.. | Motorcyclist road injuries | 23 (14 to 33) | 24 (14 to 34) | 2·5% (−8·5 to 14·5) | −9·0% (−18·7 to 1·4) | 1450 (887 to 2050) | 1480 (896 to 2070) | 1·9% (−7·1 to 12·7) | −8·6% (−16·5 to 0·8) | |||
.. | Motor vehicle road injuries | 43 (25 to 60) | 40 (24 to 56) | −6·6% (−11·6 to −0·8)* | −18·6% (−23·0 to −13·6)* | 2380 (1430 to 3320) | 2190 (1340 to 3030) | −8·2% (−12·6 to −2·6)* | −18·0% (−21·9 to −13·0)* | |||
.. | Other road injuries | 1 (1 to 2) | 1 (1 to 1) | −8·8% (−16·0 to 7·3) | −22·4% (−28·6 to −8·8)* | 81 (47 to 117) | 85 (51 to 124) | 5·4% (−2·6 to 16·8) | −8·7% (−15·4 to 1·1) | |||
.. | Other transport injuries | 8 (5 to 12) | 8 (5 to 11) | −3·8% (−10·1 to 4·0) | −17·1% (−22·7 to −10·5)* | 565 (338 to 803) | 577 (345 to 823) | 2·1% (−4·1 to 9·7) | −10·2% (−15·5 to −3·7)* | |||
.. | Falls | 38 (17 to 62) | 48 (22 to 80) | 25·9% (16·3 to 39·2)* | −3·7% (−11·1 to 6·8) | 2540 (1150 to 4230) | 2990 (1370 to 4980) | 17·9% (11·8 to 27·0)* | −4·6% (−9·4 to 3·1) | |||
.. | Drowning | 17 (7 to 28) | 16 (7 to 27) | −2·3% (−8·4 to 6·8) | −18·0% (−23·0 to −10·3)* | 732 (322 to 1220) | 669 (284 to 1100) | −8·6% (−14·2 to 0·2) | −20·5% (−25·2 to −13·5)* | |||
.. | Fire, heat, and hot substances | 8 (4 to 13) | 7 (3 to 12) | −11·6% (−17·9 to −5·0)* | −28·9% (−33·6 to −23·9)* | 464 (202 to 766) | 440 (192 to 743) | −5·1% (−11·8 to 2·0) | −20·4% (−25·9 to −14·4)* | |||
.. | Poisoning by carbon monoxide | 4 (2 to 7) | 3 (1 to 6) | −21·4% (−31·1 to −11·3)* | −35·1% (−42·9 to −26·8)* | 177 (77 to 283) | 132 (59 to 215) | −25·3% (−33·4 to −16·5)* | −36·6% (−43·4 to −29·4)* | |||
.. | Poisoning by other means | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 4) | 12·4% (−2·0 to 31·6) | −7·6% (−19·3 to 7·9) | 106 (48 to 176) | 116 (53 to 197) | 9·5% (0·6 to 23·0)* | −7·1% (−14·4 to 4·1) | |||
.. | Unintentional firearm injuries | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 3) | −9·0% (−14·8 to −2·7)* | −22·8% (−28·0 to −17·6)* | 111 (50 to 192) | 105 (47 to 179) | −5·7% (−11·0 to 0·1) | −18·1% (−23·0 to −13·3)* | |||
.. | Venomous animal contact | 3 (1 to 5) | 3 (1 to 6) | 14·0% (−1·1 to 35·6) | −6·8% (−19·3 to 10·9) | 140 (56 to 246) | 157 (63 to 285) | 11·7% (−0·8 to 29·8) | −5·6% (−15·9 to 9·1) | |||
.. | Non-venomous animal contact | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 2·6% (−7·3 to 16·5) | −16·9% (−25·0 to −5·5)* | 42 (18 to 70) | 45 (20 to 77) | 6·9% (−0·2 to 16·8) | −11·1% (−16·9 to −3·1)* | |||
.. | Environmental heat and cold exposure | 7 (3 to 12) | 5 (2 to 9) | −23·9% (−32·6 to −15·9)* | −38·3% (−45·0 to −31·8)* | 354 (154 to 572) | 297 (130 to 498) | −16·1% (−23·2 to −8·3)* | −30·2% (−36·1 to −23·6)* | |||
.. | Exposure to forces of nature | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 4·6% (−7·6 to 25·0) | −11·1% (−21·6 to 5·9) | 42 (19 to 72) | 57 (24 to 100) | 34·9% (21·8 to 50·6)* | 17·5% (6·5 to 31·1)* | |||
.. | Other unintentional injuries | 9 (4 to 14) | 8 (3 to 13) | −8·2% (−16·0 to 4·6) | −22·1% (−28·5 to −11·6)* | 670 (287 to 1120) | 683 (297 to 1130) | 1·9% (−4·7 to 10·6) | −14·0% (−19·3 to −6·8)* | |||
.. | Self-harm by firearm | 16 (9 to 23) | 17 (9 to 25) | 5·7% (−6·8 to 18·1) | −11·8% (−22·0 to −1·5)* | 691 (389 to 995) | 709 (399 to 1020) | 2·6% (−8·9 to 14·5) | −11·3% (−21·3 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Self-harm by other specified means | 157 (96 to 214) | 161 (99 to 225) | 2·8% (−4·7 to 11·0) | −14·3% (−20·6 to −7·2)* | 6730 (4120 to 9190) | 6700 (4150 to 9310) | −0·4% (−7·7 to 7·8) | −14·5% (−20·9 to −7·7)* | |||
.. | Assault by firearm | 34 (22 to 46) | 36 (23 to 49) | 6·6% (−0·6 to 13·3) | −5·2% (−11·7 to 1·1) | 1840 (1220 to 2510) | 1940 (1270 to 2650) | 5·2% (−2·1 to 11·8) | −5·0% (−11·8 to 1·1) | |||
.. | Assault by sharp object | 20 (13 to 29) | 18 (11 to 24) | −14·4% (−20·1 to −8·4)* | −25·6% (−30·7 to −20·3)* | 1100 (702 to 1550) | 944 (598 to 1310) | −14·4% (−19·5 to −8·9)* | −24·4% (−29·2 to −19·5)* | |||
.. | Sexual violence | .. | .. | .. | .. | 114 (50 to 200) | 131 (58 to 228) | 15·0% (6·7 to 26·4)* | 1·5% (−5·8 to 10·6) | |||
.. | Assault by other means | 21 (14 to 29) | 22 (14 to 31) | 4·1% (−3·5 to 11·1) | −11·0% (−17·6 to −4·6)* | 1260 (792 to 1770) | 1340 (854 to 1880) | 6·9% (−0·4 to 12·9) | −7·5% (−14·1 to −2·2)* | |||
2 | Drug use: all causes | 459 (416 to 501) | 585 (535 to 635) | 27·6% (24·0 to 31·4)* | 4·1% (1·2 to 7·0)* | 34 900 (29 800 to 40 400) | 41 700 (35 300 to 48 200) | 19·2% (16·8 to 21·6)* | 3·2% (0·9 to 5·4)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and drug-susceptible tuberculosis co-infection | 14 (9 to 20) | 8 (5 to 12) | −42·6% (−47·6 to −37·9)* | −50·7% (−55·2 to −46·9)* | 700 (455 to 993) | 412 (276 to 582) | −41·1% (−45·9 to −36·2)* | −48·8% (−53·0 to −44·7)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis without extensive drug resistance co-infection | 2 (1 to 4) | 1 (1 to 2) | −44·0% (−58·8 to −22·3)* | −51·8% (−64·5 to −33·4)* | 113 (68 to 176) | 63 (36 to 103) | −43·9% (−58·6 to −23·6)* | −51·2% (−63·9 to −33·7)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis co-infection | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | 4·1% (−19·4 to 33·5) | −9·6% (−30·3 to 16·0) | 14 (8 to 22) | 14 (8 to 23) | 3·5% (−20·2 to 33·2) | −9·4% (−30·0 to 16·4) | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS resulting in other diseases | 71 (58 to 88) | 56 (46 to 70) | −20·7% (−26·5 to −11·3)* | −31·5% (−36·4 to −23·4)* | 3630 (2920 to 4520) | 2880 (2340 to 3630) | −20·8% (−26·0 to −11·4)* | −30·9% (−35·5 to −22·8)* | |||
.. | Acute hepatitis B | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 26·1% (13·9 to 41·6)* | 0·8% (−8·8 to 13·1) | 19 (14 to 25) | 23 (17 to 30) | 17·8% (6·3 to 31·3)* | −3·0% (−12·2 to 7·9) | |||
.. | Acute hepatitis C | 0 (0 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | 19·9% (2·2 to 41·8)* | −6·3% (−20·3 to 10·9) | 15 (8 to 29) | 17 (9 to 33) | 13·2% (−2·4 to 33·2) | −7·6% (−19·6 to 7·1) | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to hepatitis B | 3 (2 to 3) | 4 (3 to 5) | 44·0% (35·2 to 55·2)* | 13·2% (6·4 to 21·4)* | 85 (68 to 104) | 112 (90 to 138) | 32·2% (23·5 to 42·1)* | 5·8% (−1·1 to 13·9) | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to hepatitis C | 84 (72 to 97) | 127 (110 to 144) | 51·0% (44·1 to 59·6)* | 14·6% (9·4 to 21·4)* | 2040 (1760 to 2320) | 2930 (2560 to 3310) | 43·9% (37·8 to 51·0)* | 10·9% (6·2 to 16·5)* | |||
.. | Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases due to hepatitis B | 3 (2 to 4) | 4 (3 to 4) | 25·6% (17·6 to 35·0)* | 0·3% (−6·4 to 8·0) | 103 (82 to 131) | 121 (96 to 152) | 17·4% (9·7 to 25·7)* | −3·9% (−10·2 to 3·1) | |||
.. | Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases due to hepatitis C | 137 (115 to 160) | 175 (150 to 204) | 28·4% (22·3 to 35·0)* | 1·7% (−3·1 to 7·2) | 4730 (3970 to 5520) | 5800 (4920 to 6760) | 22·5% (17·0 to 28·5)* | −0·6% (−4·8 to 4·2) | |||
.. | Opioid use disorders | 62 (58 to 65) | 110 (106 to 114) | 77·0% (68·8 to 88·5)* | 49·4% (42·5 to 59·2)* | 16 400 (12 400 to 20 800) | 21 500 (16 300 to 27 100) | 30·8% (27·5 to 34·4)* | 15·3% (12·4 to 18·3)* | |||
.. | Cocaine use disorders | 5 (5 to 6) | 7 (7 to 8) | 42·2% (30·1 to 58·3)* | 19·6% (9·2 to 33·0)* | 833 (620 to 1090) | 992 (747 to 1290) | 19·0% (15·5 to 24·2)* | 4·9% (1·9 to 9·3)* | |||
.. | Amphetamine use disorders | 4 (3 to 4) | 5 (3 to 5) | 27·2% (0·8 to 41·0)* | 8·6% (−14·0 to 20·6) | 1120 (708 to 1670) | 1180 (757 to 1740) | 5·5% (1·5 to 9·4)* | −2·5% (−6·2 to 0·4) | |||
.. | Cannabis use disorders | .. | .. | .. | .. | 496 (314 to 727) | 518 (329 to 766) | 4·4% (2·2 to 6·6)* | −3·7% (−5·7 to −1·8)* | |||
.. | Other drug use disorders | 34 (32 to 37) | 45 (43 to 48) | 35·2% (22·8 to 46·1)* | 11·3% (1·2 to 19·9)* | 2560 (2130 to 3090) | 3010 (2550 to 3540) | 17·5% (10·9 to 24·0)* | 3·5% (−2·2 to 8·9) | |||
.. | Self-harm by firearm | 5 (3 to 7) | 6 (3 to 9) | 24·2% (16·4 to 31·8)* | 8·2% (1·5 to 14·7)* | 232 (137 to 378) | 277 (165 to 441) | 19·3% (11·8 to 27·0)* | 6·7% (0·1 to 13·5)* | |||
.. | Self-harm by other specified means | 35 (19 to 60) | 36 (19 to 64) | 3·1% (−1·8 to 7·1) | −10·0% (−14·0 to −6·6)* | 1820 (1010 to 3100) | 1820 (980 to 3180) | 0·1% (−4·7 to 4·1) | −10·7% (−14·6 to −7·3)* | |||
2 | Dietary risks: all causes | 9160 (8510 to 9810) | 10 900 (10 100 to 11 700) | 18·9% (17·0 to 20·7)* | −11·2% (−12·6 to −9·8)* | 219 000 (203 000 to 235 000) | 255 000 (234 000 to 274 000) | 16·4% (14·6 to 18·1)* | −9·9% (−11·3 to −8·6)* | |||
3 | Diet low in fruits: all causes | 2220 (1410 to 3180) | 2420 (1480 to 3530) | 9·0% (4·5 to 12·3)* | −17·4% (−20·6 to −15·1)* | 60 200 (38 600 to 84 000) | 64 800 (40 600 to 92 000) | 7·7% (3·2 to 11·1)* | −15·7% (−19·0 to −13·1)* | |||
.. | Lip and oral cavity cancer | 10 (0 to 21) | 12 (0 to 26) | 25·3% (17·0 to 1318·4)* | −3·7% (−10·0 to 1002·4) | 269 (0 to 582) | 325 (0 to 709) | 21·0% (12·2 to 1198·1)* | −4·7% (−11·5 to 879·6) | |||
.. | Nasopharynx cancer | 4 (0 to 8) | 4 (0 to 10) | 12·9% (5·1 to 1008·3)* | −12·1% (−18·1 to 739·6) | 118 (0 to 259) | 128 (0 to 284) | 8·6% (1·0 to 946·6)* | −13·5% (−19·3 to 712·2) | |||
.. | Other pharynx cancer | 6 (0 to 13) | 7 (0 to 16) | 28·4% (15·0 to 42·0)* | −1·3% (−11·5 to 9·0) | 163 (0 to 373) | 204 (0 to 458) | 24·8% (11·9 to 38·3)* | −2·3% (−12·3 to 8·1) | |||
.. | Oesophageal cancer | 82 (18 to 146) | 83 (18 to 152) | 1·7% (−5·1 to 6·4) | −22·9% (−27·9 to −19·4)* | 1900 (430 to 3400) | 1860 (399 to 3390) | −1·8% (−8·4 to 2·8) | −24·4% (−29·4 to −21·0)* | |||
.. | Larynx cancer | 7 (0 to 15) | 8 (0 to 17) | 11·4% (5·2 to 218·8)* | −14·9% (−19·5 to 127·1) | 183 (0 to 403) | 199 (0 to 436) | 8·4% (2·3 to 189·4)* | −16·0% (−20·5 to 104·4) | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 152 (64 to 261) | 185 (77 to 320) | 21·8% (16·2 to 25·8)* | −7·6% (−11·8 to −4·6)* | 3470 (1460 to 5920) | 4050 (1680 to 6950) | 16·6% (10·9 to 20·6)* | −10·2% (−14·4 to −7·1)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 822 (280 to 1440) | 916 (306 to 1650) | 11·4% (7·5 to 14·5)* | −16·1% (−18·8 to −14·0)* | 19 500 (6770 to 33 700) | 20 800 (7110 to 36 600) | 7·0% (2·9 to 10·0)* | −16·2% (−19·1 to −13·9)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 376 (195 to 573) | 406 (206 to 631) | 8·1% (2·9 to 11·9)* | −18·8% (−22·6 to −16·1)* | 9860 (5310 to 14 600) | 11 200 (5800 to 16 900) | 13·6% (7·8 to 18·1)* | −12·4% (−16·7 to −9·1)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 615 (338 to 933) | 624 (331 to 972) | 1·4% (−3·8 to 5·2) | −22·3% (−26·2 to −19·5)* | 16 700 (9480 to 24 800) | 16 800 (9210 to 25 400) | 0·4% (−4·6 to 4·0) | −21·2% (−24·8 to −18·5)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 92 (50 to 138) | 99 (53 to 152) | 7·5% (1·2 to 13·4)* | −15·8% (−20·4 to −11·2)* | 3160 (1770 to 4650) | 3330 (1820 to 5020) | 5·2% (−0·2 to 10·5) | −15·1% (−19·3 to −11·0)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 60 (12 to 112) | 80 (15 to 151) | 32·1% (27·1 to 36·2)* | −0·6% (−4·2 to 2·4) | 4880 (928 to 9240) | 5900 (1090 to 11 300) | 21·0% (15·1 to 26·1)* | −3·5% (−7·9 to 0·4) | |||
3 | Diet low in vegetables: all causes | 1390 (715 to 2240) | 1460 (732 to 2400) | 5·3% (−0·8 to 9·7) | −20·7% (−25·2 to −17·7)* | 33 600 (17 900 to 53 300) | 34 200 (17 700 to 55 700) | 1·8% (−4·0 to 6·1) | −20·4% (−24·8 to −17·3)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 947 (370 to 1660) | 1020 (396 to 1830) | 8·2% (3·0 to 12·0)* | −19·1% (−23·0 to −16·3)* | 21 400 (8520 to 37 400) | 22 100 (8730 to 39 400) | 3·2% (−2·2 to 7·2) | −19·5% (−23·5 to −16·4)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 150 (36 to 280) | 154 (36 to 297) | 3·1% (−3·3 to 8·1) | −22·6% (−27·4 to −19·0)* | 3920 (970 to 7330) | 4170 (1010 to 8090) | 6·2% (−0·9 to 12·0) | −17·9% (−23·3 to −13·6)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 252 (71 to 474) | 243 (66 to 469) | −3·6% (−10·4 to 1·4) | −26·1% (−31·2 to −22·4)* | 6910 (1970 to 12 900) | 6550 (1800 to 12 500) | −5·2% (−11·5 to −0·5)* | −25·4% (−30·3 to −21·9)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 39 (11 to 73) | 41 (11 to 78) | 3·3% (−3·2 to 9·3) | −18·8% (−23·8 to −14·2)* | 1360 (381 to 2530) | 1380 (371 to 2580) | 1·0% (−4·9 to 6·4) | −18·4% (−22·9 to −14·1)* | |||
3 | Diet low in legumes: all causes | 481 (192 to 819) | 535 (214 to 909) | 11·2% (9·2 to 13·0)* | −17·3% (−18·8 to −16·0)* | 10 600 (4280 to 18 000) | 11 000 (4390 to 18 700) | 3·3% (0·9 to 5·5)* | −19·3% (−21·1 to −17·6)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 481 (192 to 819) | 535 (214 to 909) | 11·2% (9·2 to 13·0)* | −17·3% (−18·8 to −16·0)* | 10 600 (4280 to 18 000) | 11 000 (4390 to 18 700) | 3·3% (0·9 to 5·5)* | −19·3% (−21·1 to −17·6)* | |||
3 | Diet low in whole grains: all causes | 2630 (1820 to 3490) | 3070 (2110 to 4120) | 16·7% (14·6 to 18·5)* | −12·2% (−13·6 to −10·8)* | 71 500 (51 300 to 93 800) | 82 500 (59 000 to 109 000) | 15·5% (13·2 to 17·6)* | −9·7% (−11·4 to −8·1)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 1510 (890 to 2170) | 1780 (1050 to 2570) | 18·4% (16·4 to 20·2)* | −11·5% (−12·9 to −10·2)* | 34 300 (20 600 to 48 800) | 39 100 (23 300 to 55 700) | 13·9% (11·9 to 15·9)* | −11·2% (−12·8 to −9·7)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 363 (241 to 501) | 418 (276 to 580) | 15·1% (12·5 to 17·6)* | −13·6% (−15·5 to −11·8)* | 9870 (6680 to 13 500) | 12 000 (8050 to 16 400) | 21·3% (18·0 to 24·4)* | −6·4% (−9·0 to −4·0)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 550 (368 to 745) | 597 (401 to 813) | 8·5% (5·5 to 11·2)* | −16·9% (−19·2 to −14·9)* | 14 900 (10 100 to 20 100) | 16 000 (10 800 to 21 400) | 7·0% (4·1 to 9·7)* | −16·0% (−18·3 to −14·0)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 86 (58 to 118) | 98 (66 to 134) | 13·6% (8·2 to 19·1)* | −11·1% (−15·3 to −7·0)* | 2960 (2010 to 3950) | 3280 (2240 to 4410) | 11·0% (6·5 to 15·6)* | −10·7% (−14·3 to −7·1)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 122 (69 to 186) | 169 (95 to 259) | 38·4% (35·1 to 41·4)* | 3·7% (1·4 to 5·9)* | 9400 (4980 to 15 100) | 12 200 (6400 to 19 400) | 29·7% (25·6 to 33·9)* | 2·8% (−0·4 to 6·0) | |||
3 | Diet low in nuts and seeds: all causes | 1740 (1130 to 2410) | 2060 (1330 to 2880) | 18·7% (16·6 to 20·6)* | −11·2% (−12·7 to −9·9)* | 43 300 (28 800 to 58 800) | 49 900 (33 100 to 68 000) | 15·2% (12·9 to 17·3)* | −10·0% (−11·8 to −8·3)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 1660 (1070 to 2330) | 1960 (1230 to 2750) | 17·8% (15·7 to 19·7)* | −11·9% (−13·4 to −10·6)* | 37 600 (24 500 to 51 800) | 42 600 (27 300 to 58 700) | 13·2% (10·9 to 15·2)* | −11·8% (−13·4 to −10·3)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 74 (36 to 116) | 103 (50 to 160) | 38·4% (35·4 to 41·3)* | 3·9% (1·8 to 6·1)* | 5700 (2640 to 9390) | 7310 (3410 to 12 100) | 28·2% (24·1 to 32·4)* | 1·8% (−1·4 to 4·9) | |||
3 | Diet low in milk: all causes | 96 (34 to 171) | 126 (45 to 220) | 30·6% (26·0 to 34·8)* | −1·9% (−5·2 to 1·2) | 2140 (757 to 3770) | 2720 (965 to 4730) | 27·0% (21·9 to 31·5)* | −2·0% (−6·0 to 1·4) | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 96 (34 to 171) | 126 (45 to 220) | 30·6% (26·0 to 34·8)* | −1·9% (−5·2 to 1·2) | 2140 (757 to 3770) | 2720 (965 to 4730) | 27·0% (21·9 to 31·5)* | −2·0% (−6·0 to 1·4) | |||
3 | Diet high in red meat: all causes | 17 (7 to 28) | 25 (11 to 40) | 47·5% (36·9 to 59·6)* | 11·2% (3·0 to 20·4)* | 880 (352 to 1520) | 1310 (508 to 2250) | 49·2% (36·7 to 63·8)* | 17·8% (7·9 to 29·5)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 11 (3 to 20) | 16 (4 to 29) | 45·7% (34·3 to 58·4)* | 9·8% (1·4 to 19·6)* | 262 (63 to 472) | 378 (89 to 678) | 44·3% (32·7 to 57·6)* | 11·2% (2·6 to 21·2)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 6 (1 to 11) | 9 (1 to 17) | 50·8% (40·3 to 62·8)* | 13·6% (5·8 to 23·1)* | 618 (77 to 1200) | 934 (113 to 1830) | 51·2% (37·6 to 66·6)* | 20·8% (10·1 to 32·9)* | |||
3 | Diet high in processed meat: all causes | 125 (24 to 239) | 130 (26 to 265) | 4·3% (−5·0 to 13·2) | −22·3% (−28·9 to −15·6)* | 3360 (1050 to 6120) | 3570 (1260 to 6770) | 6·1% (−4·4 to 19·4) | −17·9% (−25·9 to −6·9)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 9 (5 to 15) | 11 (5 to 18) | 13·8% (6·4 to 20·3)* | −14·9% (−20·4 to −10·1)* | 205 (107 to 330) | 227 (114 to 373) | 10·6% (3·0 to 16·9)* | −15·4% (−21·1 to −10·5)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 105 (5 to 213) | 107 (5 to 230) | 2·0% (−9·8 to 10·2) | −24·0% (−32·5 to −18·0)* | 2320 (120 to 4650) | 2270 (111 to 4860) | −2·2% (−13·8 to 6·3) | −24·5% (−33·3 to −17·8)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 10 (5 to 17) | 12 (6 to 21) | 18·6% (6·0 to 29·7)* | −11·3% (−20·6 to −2·9)* | 838 (404 to 1430) | 1070 (490 to 1900) | 28·0% (16·3 to 37·0)* | 0·2% (−8·9 to 7·6) | |||
3 | Diet high in sugar-sweetened beverages: all causes | 105 (13 to 206) | 137 (20 to 264) | 30·4% (23·2 to 52·7)* | −2·5% (−8·2 to 14·4) | 3350 (981 to 5910) | 4450 (1490 to 7700) | 32·8% (24·7 to 54·4)* | 4·7% (−1·8 to 23·1) | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 92 (0 to 189) | 117 (0 to 242) | 27·4% (0 to 34·2) | −4·7% (−10·2 to 1·1) | 2270 (0 to 4620) | 2810 (0 to 5700) | 23·7% (0 to 30·2) | −2·9% (−7·8 to 2·4) | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 14 (7 to 20) | 21 (11 to 30) | 50·5% (39·9 to 62·8)* | 12·5% (4·6 to 21·7)* | 1080 (570 to 1670) | 1650 (852 to 2520) | 52·0% (43·2 to 62·5)* | 21·1% (14·0 to 29·3)* | |||
3 | Diet low in fibre: all causes | 737 (433 to 1110) | 873 (510 to 1330) | 18·6% (15·9 to 20·7)* | −11·2% (−13·2 to −9·6)* | 17 700 (10 400 to 26 500) | 19 900 (11 600 to 30 400) | 12·6% (9·5 to 15·0)* | −11·4% (−13·7 to −9·6)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 84 (44 to 131) | 106 (54 to 167) | 26·0% (21·7 to 29·8)* | −5·8% (−8·9 to −3·0)* | 1800 (926 to 2800) | 2200 (1140 to 3470) | 22·2% (17·2 to 26·4)* | −5·8% (−9·5 to −2·7)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 653 (368 to 1010) | 768 (429 to 1210) | 17·6% (14·9 to 19·8)* | −11·9% (−13·9 to −10·4)* | 15 900 (9030 to 24 400) | 17 700 (9940 to 27 700) | 11·5% (8·3 to 14·0)* | −12·0% (−14·3 to −10·1)* | |||
3 | Diet low in calcium: all causes | 145 (91 to 205) | 185 (116 to 262) | 27·4% (22·5 to 31·2)* | −4·5% (−8·0 to −1·8)* | 3150 (1990 to 4420) | 3890 (2450 to 5480) | 23·7% (18·1 to 27·9)* | −4·7% (−8·9 to −1·5)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 145 (91 to 205) | 185 (116 to 262) | 27·4% (22·5 to 31·2)* | −4·5% (−8·0 to −1·8)* | 3150 (1990 to 4420) | 3890 (2450 to 5480) | 23·7% (18·1 to 27·9)* | −4·7% (−8·9 to −1·5)* | |||
3 | Diet low in seafood omega 3 fatty acids: all causes | 1220 (565 to 2000) | 1440 (667 to 2380) | 18·4% (16·3 to 20·2)* | −10·8% (−12·4 to −9·5)* | 28 200 (13 300 to 45 600) | 32 400 (15 200 to 52 700) | 14·9% (12·8 to 17·0)* | −10·3% (−12·0 to −8·8)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 1220 (565 to 2000) | 1440 (667 to 2380) | 18·4% (16·3 to 20·2)* | −10·8% (−12·4 to −9·5)* | 28 200 (13 300 to 45 600) | 32 400 (15 200 to 52 700) | 14·9% (12·8 to 17·0)* | −10·3% (−12·0 to −8·8)* | |||
3 | Diet low in polyunsaturated fatty acids: all causes | 676 (288 to 1110) | 799 (343 to 1310) | 18·3% (15·7 to 20·8)* | −11·3% (−13·1 to −9·5)* | 15 700 (6740 to 25 500) | 17 900 (7770 to 29 000) | 13·7% (11·3 to 16·2)* | −11·0% (−12·8 to −9·1)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 676 (288 to 1110) | 799 (343 to 1310) | 18·3% (15·7 to 20·8)* | −11·3% (−13·1 to −9·5)* | 15 700 (6740 to 25 500) | 17 900 (7770 to 29 000) | 13·7% (11·3 to 16·2)* | −11·0% (−12·8 to −9·1)* | |||
3 | Diet high in trans fatty acids: all causes | 250 (93 to 519) | 258 (80 to 577) | 3·2% (−14·0 to 10·5) | −23·1% (−36·5 to −17·4)* | 6050 (2180 to 12 800) | 6160 (1870 to 13 800) | 1·9% (−14·3 to 8·6) | −20·3% (−33·2 to −15·0)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 250 (93 to 519) | 258 (80 to 577) | 3·2% (−14·0 to 10·5) | −23·1% (−36·5 to −17·4)* | 6050 (2180 to 12 800) | 6160 (1870 to 13 800) | 1·9% (−14·3 to 8·6) | −20·3% (−33·2 to −15·0)* | |||
3 | Diet high in sodium: all causes | 2520 (1070 to 4370) | 3200 (1420 to 5450) | 26·6% (21·5 to 38·3)* | −5·4% (−9·4 to 4·4) | 57 400 (26 500 to 97 000) | 70 400 (33 600 to 118 000) | 22·7% (18·0 to 32·2)* | −5·9% (−9·4 to 1·7) | |||
.. | Stomach cancer | 295 (158 to 460) | 327 (175 to 506) | 10·9% (3·1 to 19·9)* | −15·8% (−20·4 to −9·2)* | 6950 (3880 to 10 500) | 7350 (4120 to 11 100) | 5·8% (−2·1 to 14·9) | −18·2% (−23·3 to −12·0)* | |||
.. | Rheumatic heart disease | 19 (7 to 37) | 18 (7 to 37) | −0·8% (−10·5 to 6·8) | −23·9% (−30·6 to −18·7)* | 583 (240 to 1130) | 554 (222 to 1100) | −5·0% (−13·4 to 1·2) | −24·3% (−30·6 to −19·9)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 963 (336 to 1870) | 1250 (472 to 2350) | 29·8% (24·0 to 47·4)* | −3·8% (−8·1 to 10·4) | 20 000 (7450 to 37 200) | 25 000 (10 300 to 45 300) | 25·3% (20·2 to 40·6)* | −4·2% (−8·2 to 7·9) | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 318 (120 to 582) | 421 (179 to 744) | 32·5% (24·5 to 52·5)* | −2·1% (−8·2 to 13·6) | 7270 (3110 to 12 300) | 10 300 (4840 to 16 700) | 41·2% (31·8 to 61·4)* | 6·7% (−0·3 to 22·5) | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 547 (261 to 912) | 629 (305 to 1040) | 14·9% (8·8 to 23·1)* | −13·4% (−17·8 to −6·7)* | 13 000 (6660 to 20 900) | 14 500 (7450 to 23 300) | 11·5% (5·8 to 18·6)* | −14·2% (−18·4 to −8·4)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 66 (28 to 116) | 82 (36 to 143) | 24·0% (13·7 to 37·3)* | −5·6% (−13·3 to 4·6) | 1900 (837 to 3310) | 2240 (1020 to 3850) | 18·1% (8·5 to 29·0)* | −7·8% (−15·2 to 0·3) | |||
.. | Hypertensive heart disease | 147 (43 to 330) | 236 (67 to 512) | 60·1% (26·0 to 91·2)* | 17·7% (−7·0 to 41·5) | 3000 (1060 to 6130) | 4380 (1590 to 8810) | 46·3% (20·5 to 71·3)* | 11·4% (−8·5 to 30·6) | |||
.. | Non-rheumatic calcific aortic valve disease | 4 (1 to 10) | 6 (1 to 14) | 39·4% (29·6 to 48·8)* | 0·3% (−5·3 to 7·3) | 81 (22 to 172) | 107 (29 to 225) | 32·1% (24·2 to 40·3)* | −0·4% (−5·5 to 6·2) | |||
.. | Other cardiomyopathy | 12 (3 to 24) | 15 (4 to 32) | 29·8% (21·3 to 35·7)* | −3·2% (−8·0 to 1·5) | 292 (83 to 611) | 366 (100 to 774) | 25·6% (16·7 to 31·4)* | −2·2% (−8·8 to 2·5) | |||
.. | Atrial fibrillation and flutter | 15 (4 to 30) | 22 (7 to 45) | 51·5% (45·3 to 67·2)* | 7·7% (3·2 to 21·1)* | 446 (165 to 848) | 628 (244 to 1170) | 40·9% (35·9 to 53·2)* | 5·8% (1·9 to 16·2)* | |||
.. | Aortic aneurysm | 11 (3 to 22) | 14 (5 to 28) | 27·8% (21·8 to 40·3)* | −4·4% (−8·7 to 5·6) | 225 (75 to 447) | 280 (98 to 552) | 24·5% (17·8 to 37·2)* | −4·6% (−9·6 to 5·3) | |||
.. | Peripheral vascular disease | 2 (0 to 5) | 3 (1 to 8) | 60·6% (34·7 to 93·7)* | 15·8% (−2·4 to 42·0) | 64 (18 to 139) | 91 (26 to 195) | 42·4% (29·0 to 57·9)* | 6·5% (−3·2 to 18·2) | |||
.. | Endocarditis | 4 (1 to 9) | 6 (2 to 12) | 36·0% (25·7 to 43·2)* | 2·2% (−4·7 to 8·0) | 103 (31 to 212) | 132 (40 to 272) | 28·3% (18·6 to 35·5)* | 0·6% (−6·7 to 5·6) | |||
.. | Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | 23 (7 to 48) | 30 (9 to 60) | 27·1% (21·5 to 41·6)* | −4·3% (−8·3 to 7·1) | 832 (275 to 1680) | 1020 (350 to 2040) | 23·2% (18·7 to 31·0)* | −4·3% (−7·6 to 1·7) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 1 diabetes mellitus | 6 (2 to 13) | 8 (3 to 16) | 19·7% (7·3 to 26·9)* | −5·8% (−14·3 to −1·4)* | 231 (88 to 467) | 262 (95 to 552) | 13·2% (0·6 to 21·0)* | −9·0% (−18·4 to −3·8)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus | 31 (11 to 62) | 44 (16 to 89) | 42·0% (34·4 to 49·7)* | 5·3% (0·1 to 11·4)* | 743 (282 to 1460) | 1000 (383 to 1990) | 35·0% (27·8 to 41·0)* | 2·2% (−2·9 to 6·7) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to hypertension | 29 (10 to 58) | 42 (15 to 84) | 46·1% (38·9 to 56·9)* | 6·9% (1·7 to 16·3)* | 619 (223 to 1230) | 847 (318 to 1650) | 36·9% (30·2 to 45·0)* | 3·8% (−0·8 to 10·4) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to glomerulonephritis | 13 (4 to 27) | 17 (5 to 36) | 34·2% (27·5 to 42·0)* | 1·7% (−2·7 to 8·4) | 372 (126 to 756) | 460 (156 to 946) | 23·7% (16·5 to 30·2)* | −2·6% (−7·6 to 1·7) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to other and unspecified causes | 19 (6 to 38) | 25 (8 to 52) | 36·3% (29·0 to 44·6)* | 2·7% (−2·3 to 9·0) | 664 (240 to 1340) | 837 (304 to 1700) | 26·1% (19·5 to 32·5)* | −2·1% (−6·6 to 2·3) | |||
2 | Intimate partner violence: all causes | 151 (95 to 217) | 71 (49 to 97) | −53·2% (−56·6 to −47·9)* | −59·3% (−62·4 to −54·6)* | 10 300 (7270 to 14 000) | 6700 (5150 to 8580) | −35·0% (−41·8 to −25·1)* | −43·0% (−49·0 to −34·3)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and drug-susceptible tuberculosis co-infection | 27 (13 to 44) | 10 (5 to 16) | −63·0% (−66·7 to −58·0)* | −68·3% (−71·7 to −64·1)* | 1280 (615 to 2110) | 500 (248 to 802) | −61·0% (−65·0 to −55·5)* | −66·1% (−69·6 to −61·2)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis without extensive drug resistance co-infection | 3 (1 to 5) | 1 (0 to 2) | −59·6% (−73·0 to −42·6)* | −65·4% (−76·9 to −51·0)* | 127 (50 to 230) | 53 (23 to 94) | −58·0% (−71·7 to −39·8)* | −63·4% (−75·4 to −47·8)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis co-infection | 0 (0 to 0) | 0 (0 to 0) | −19·2% (−39·7 to 4·2) | −30·7% (−48·4 to −10·4)* | 2 (1 to 4) | 2 (1 to 3) | −18·7% (−39·5 to 4·3) | −29·3% (−47·3 to −9·1)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS resulting in other diseases | 96 (51 to 148) | 37 (20 to 58) | −61·3% (−64·4 to −58·2)* | −66·5% (−69·3 to −63·8)* | 4890 (2580 to 7620) | 1990 (1050 to 3100) | −59·2% (−62·4 to −56·0)* | −64·3% (−67·2 to −61·5)* | |||
.. | Maternal abortive outcome | 3 (2 to 4) | 3 (2 to 4) | −9·2% (−25·8 to 11·4) | −18·4% (−32·9 to 0·7) | 162 (99 to 241) | 144 (90 to 212) | −10·7% (−26·8 to 9·4) | −19·1% (−33·6 to −0·1)* | |||
.. | Major depressive disorder | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1760 (1080 to 2660) | 2000 (1240 to 3030) | 13·7% (10·2 to 17·8)* | −2·9% (−4·9 to −1·0)* | |||
.. | Assault by firearm | 5 (4 to 6) | 5 (4 to 6) | −4·8% (−9·7 to 3·0) | −15·7% (−20·1 to −8·8)* | 270 (209 to 328) | 251 (203 to 309) | −7·1% (−11·7 to 1·0) | −15·9% (−20·2 to −8·5)* | |||
.. | Assault by sharp object | 7 (5 to 8) | 5 (4 to 6) | −17·2% (−21·1 to −10·6)* | −27·5% (−30·8 to −21·8)* | 368 (291 to 421) | 302 (244 to 352) | −18·0% (−22·1 to −10·6)* | −26·8% (−30·6 to −20·4)* | |||
.. | Sexual violence | .. | .. | .. | .. | 712 (469 to 1040) | 787 (520 to 1150) | 10·7% (5·2 to 16·0)* | −0·8% (−5·3 to 3·5) | |||
.. | Assault by other means | 11 (8 to 13) | 10 (8 to 12) | −11·9% (−16·6 to −4·4)* | −22·6% (−26·7 to −16·2)* | 733 (576 to 871) | 669 (561 to 806) | −8·7% (−13·4 to −0·9)* | −19·0% (−22·9 to −12·2)* | |||
2 | Childhood maltreatment: all causes | 7 (6 to 10) | 8 (6 to 10) | 6·6% (−0·6 to 13·9) | −12·6% (−18·5 to −6·9)* | 4670 (3280 to 6460) | 5210 (3660 to 7220) | 11·6% (9·9 to 13·5)* | 1·7% (0·3 to 3·0)* | |||
3 | Childhood sexual abuse: all causes | 7 (6 to 10) | 8 (6 to 10) | 6·6% (−0·6 to 13·9) | −12·6% (−18·5 to −6·9)* | 2380 (1670 to 3230) | 2700 (1900 to 3690) | 13·3% (11·2 to 15·6)* | −2·4% (−4·3 to −0·7)* | |||
.. | Major depressive disorder | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1620 (1080 to 2300) | 1860 (1250 to 2640) | 14·9% (12·8 to 17·2)* | −1·0% (−2·9 to 0·8) | |||
.. | Alcohol use disorders | 7 (6 to 10) | 8 (6 to 10) | 6·6% (−0·6 to 13·9) | −12·6% (−18·5 to −6·9)* | 760 (528 to 1050) | 836 (583 to 1170) | 10·0% (6·2 to 13·6)* | −5·2% (−8·7 to −2·2)* | |||
3 | Bullying victimisation: all causes | .. | .. | .. | .. | 2340 (1380 to 3660) | 2570 (1540 to 3970) | 9·9% (8·1 to 12·5)* | 6·3% (4·5 to 8·8)* | |||
.. | Major depressive disorder | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1110 (624 to 1800) | 1210 (689 to 1940) | 9·5% (6·9 to 12·6)* | 6·0% (3·3 to 9·0)* | |||
.. | Anxiety disorders | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1230 (732 to 1950) | 1360 (815 to 2130) | 10·2% (8·1 to 12·6)* | 6·6% (4·6 to 9·0)* | |||
2 | Unsafe sex: all causes | 1750 (1680 to 1830) | 1030 (980 to 1080) | −41·2% (−43·2 to −39·2)* | −49·8% (−51·4 to −48·1)* | 86 100 (81 700 to 90 600) | 50 200 (47 100 to 53 400) | −41·7% (−43·8 to −39·4)* | −49·2% (−51·0 to −47·2)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and drug-susceptible tuberculosis co-infection | 330 (223 to 440) | 153 (108 to 202) | −53·6% (−56·9 to −49·1)* | −59·9% (−62·8 to −56·2)* | 16 000 (10 700 to 21 400) | 7900 (5640 to 10 300) | −50·7% (−54·5 to −45·7)* | −56·6% (−60·0 to −52·2)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis without extensive drug resistance co-infection | 35 (20 to 55) | 17 (10 to 26) | −51·2% (−66·3 to −31·0)* | −57·9% (−70·9 to −40·6)* | 1690 (952 to 2650) | 865 (513 to 1310) | −48·8% (−64·4 to −28·1)* | −54·9% (−68·6 to −36·8)* | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis co-infection | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (0 to 1) | −8·7% (−29·5 to 16·7) | −21·3% (−39·4 to 0·4) | 43 (26 to 65) | 40 (24 to 59) | −8·8% (−28·7 to 16·7) | −20·1% (−37·6 to 2·0) | |||
.. | HIV/AIDS resulting in other diseases | 1160 (1020 to 1290) | 590 (526 to 656) | −49·0% (−51·5 to −46·2)* | −55·7% (−58·0 to −53·3)* | 59 800 (52 700 to 67 100) | 31 700 (28 300 to 35 400) | −47·1% (−49·9 to −44·2)* | −53·4% (−55·9 to −50·9)* | |||
.. | Syphilis | 2 (1 to 2) | 2 (1 to 2) | 2·9% (−11·3 to 18·4) | −17·6% (−28·9 to −5·0)* | 124 (101 to 151) | 132 (108 to 162) | 7·1% (−0·1 to 14·1) | −11·2% (−17·2 to −5·6)* | |||
.. | Chlamydial infection | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 2·5% (−4·4 to 11·3) | −15·2% (−21·0 to −8·4)* | 329 (205 to 555) | 355 (219 to 606) | 8·1% (5·1 to 10·6)* | −3·0% (−5·9 to −0·8)* | |||
.. | Gonococcal infection | 3 (2 to 3) | 3 (2 to 3) | 3·7% (−3·4 to 12·5) | −15·0% (−20·8 to −8·2)* | 290 (206 to 437) | 303 (216 to 468) | 4·5% (0·1 to 8·6)* | −6·1% (−10·7 to −2·1)* | |||
.. | Trichomoniasis | .. | .. | .. | .. | 209 (84 to 454) | 243 (98 to 524) | 16·0% (14·2 to 17·7)* | 2·2% (1·1 to 3·2)* | |||
.. | Genital herpes | .. | .. | .. | .. | 207 (68 to 492) | 247 (80 to 594) | 19·8% (18·1 to 21·0)* | 1·5% (0·8 to 2·3)* | |||
.. | Other sexually transmitted infections | 2 (1 to 2) | 2 (1 to 2) | 0·2% (−6·4 to 8·4) | −15·9% (−21·6 to −9·5)* | 385 (257 to 604) | 416 (276 to 659) | 8·1% (5·9 to 10·1)* | −2·6% (−5·0 to −0·7)* | |||
.. | Cervical cancer | 219 (204 to 231) | 260 (241 to 269) | 18·8% (12·9 to 22·8)* | −7·2% (−11·6 to −4·0)* | 7000 (6500 to 7340) | 8060 (7530 to 8400) | 15·2% (9·5 to 19·2)* | −7·0% (−11·6 to −3·8)* | |||
2 | Low physical activity: all causes | 1030 (557 to 1640) | 1260 (681 to 2010) | 22·0% (20·4 to 23·7)* | −10·8% (−12·1 to −9·5)* | 19 700 (10 500 to 31 300) | 23 700 (12 500 to 37 300) | 20·1% (18·0 to 22·1)* | −8·9% (−10·7 to −7·2)* | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 26 (3 to 61) | 33 (4 to 77) | 27·3% (23·8 to 31·3)* | −5·2% (−7·9 to −1·8)* | 525 (70 to 1230) | 652 (89 to 1540) | 24·1% (20·1 to 28·5)* | −5·1% (−8·2 to −1·2)* | |||
.. | Breast cancer | 7 (0 to 17) | 9 (0 to 21) | 25·9% (20·8 to 30·5)* | −4·4% (−8·1 to −0·5)* | 205 (4 to 470) | 253 (5 to 575) | 23·4% (17·7 to 28·5)* | −3·2% (−7·5 to 1·3) | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 730 (346 to 1220) | 889 (416 to 1480) | 21·8% (20·1 to 23·3)* | −10·9% (−12·1 to −9·6)* | 13 200 (6020 to 21 900) | 15 400 (7120 to 25 700) | 17·0% (15·2 to 18·7)* | −11·1% (−12·5 to −9·7)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 246 (86 to 456) | 295 (103 to 547) | 20·1% (17·9 to 22·4)* | −13·0% (−14·7 to −11·2)* | 4410 (1520 to 8280) | 5460 (1870 to 10 200) | 23·8% (20·7 to 27·1)* | −7·4% (−9·8 to −4·7)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 26 (6 to 48) | 36 (8 to 69) | 42·5% (39·8 to 45·2)* | 5·3% (3·3 to 7·2)* | 1380 (300 to 2710) | 1870 (410 to 3660) | 35·8% (32·1 to 40·0)* | 5·2% (2·4 to 8·3)* | |||
1 | Metabolic risks: all causes | 14 100 (12 900 to 15 100) | 17 600 (16 100 to 18 900) | 25·0% (23·3 to 26·6)* | −7·3% (−8·5 to −6·1)* | 346 000 (317 000 to 376 000) | 423 000 (386 000 to 462 000) | 22·2% (20·7 to 23·9)* | −5·4% (−6·6 to −4·1)* | |||
2 | High fasting plasma glucose: all causes | 5140 (4150 to 6490) | 6530 (5230 to 8230) | 27·1% (22·5 to 31·7)* | −6·0% (−9·4 to −2·9)* | 136 000 (115 000 to 160 000) | 171 000 (144 000 to 201 000) | 25·5% (21·8 to 29·5)* | −3·2% (−6·1 to 0·0) | |||
.. | Drug-susceptible tuberculosis | 125 (80 to 176) | 118 (73 to 166) | −6·1% (−14·1 to 2·4) | −26·6% (−32·6 to −20·1)* | 4060 (2680 to 5580) | 3740 (2400 to 5200) | −8·0% (−15·6 to 0·1) | −26·0% (−31·9 to −19·6)* | |||
.. | Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis without extensive drug resistance | 14 (9 to 22) | 14 (7 to 25) | −4·3% (−43·5 to 50·2) | −24·9% (−55·9 to 17·7) | 464 (285 to 672) | 428 (210 to 757) | −7·8% (−44·8 to 44·5) | −25·7% (−55·7 to 16·6) | |||
.. | Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis | 1 (1 to 2) | 1 (1 to 2) | 21·5% (−12·2 to 68·0) | −3·6% (−30·3 to 33·2) | 40 (24 to 58) | 46 (26 to 73) | 14·3% (−16·3 to 56·9) | −7·0% (−31·9 to 27·2) | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 60 (15 to 129) | 80 (19 to 172) | 32·6% (25·5 to 41·0)* | −1·7% (−7·0 to 4·5) | 1130 (269 to 2450) | 1470 (352 to 3200) | 29·8% (22·4 to 38·2)* | −1·8% (−7·3 to 4·5) | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis | 4 (1 to 8) | 5 (1 to 12) | 44·0% (35·8 to 52·6)* | 8·0% (1·8 to 14·7)* | 74 (18 to 163) | 105 (25 to 230) | 40·8% (33·1 to 49·3)* | 7·2% (1·2 to 13·9)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to other causes | 3 (1 to 7) | 4 (1 to 9) | 26·5% (18·8 to 34·8)* | −3·9% (−9·7 to 2·4) | 81 (19 to 174) | 99 (24 to 217) | 22·4% (15·2 to 30·7)* | −5·3% (−10·8 to 1·1) | |||
.. | Pancreatic cancer | 27 (6 to 57) | 39 (9 to 84) | 46·3% (38·6 to 55·0)* | 8·8% (3·1 to 15·1)* | 502 (115 to 1090) | 717 (163 to 1570) | 42·9% (35·3 to 51·4)* | 8·0% (2·4 to 14·5)* | |||
.. | Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer | 119 (27 to 257) | 154 (34 to 336) | 29·6% (23·0 to 36·9)* | −2·5% (−7·6 to 2·8) | 2420 (544 to 5270) | 3050 (674 to 6710) | 26·4% (19·8 to 33·6)* | −4·1% (−9·1 to 1·3) | |||
.. | Breast cancer | 33 (6 to 73) | 44 (9 to 99) | 35·2% (27·9 to 43·9)* | 1·3% (−4·2 to 7·6) | 805 (153 to 1800) | 1070 (205 to 2430) | 33·5% (25·4 to 42·4)* | 2·8% (−3·2 to 9·5) | |||
.. | Ovarian cancer | 10 (2 to 23) | 14 (3 to 32) | 38·1% (31·3 to 46·3)* | 3·1% (−1·9 to 9·3) | 222 (43 to 521) | 307 (61 to 718) | 38·6% (31·6 to 46·9)* | 5·6% (0·3 to 11·8)* | |||
.. | Bladder cancer | 14 (3 to 31) | 19 (4 to 42) | 34·8% (28·0 to 42·5)* | −0·8% (−5·7 to 5·0) | 246 (50 to 538) | 320 (65 to 697) | 30·1% (23·8 to 37·6)* | −2·2% (−6·9 to 3·4) | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 1820 (1070 to 2930) | 2270 (1340 to 3570) | 24·9% (18·6 to 31·5)* | −8·7% (−12·8 to −4·2)* | 32 500 (20 800 to 49 400) | 39 800 (25 900 to 60 000) | 22·7% (17·6 to 28·7)* | −7·2% (−11·3 to −2·5)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 504 (243 to 1010) | 594 (301 to 1210) | 17·8% (11·0 to 25·2)* | −13·8% (−18·0 to −9·1)* | 9580 (5110 to 16 800) | 11 800 (6500 to 20 100) | 23·0% (16·2 to 31·1)* | −7·7% (−12·8 to −1·4)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 529 (329 to 813) | 591 (368 to 878) | 11·7% (5·1 to 18·4)* | −16·3% (−21·3 to −11·4)* | 11 300 (7280 to 16 500) | 12 700 (8210 to 18 000) | 12·9% (6·0 to 19·1)* | −13·9% (−19·4 to −8·6)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 72 (46 to 107) | 88 (57 to 129) | 23·0% (16·3 to 30·4)* | −7·0% (−12·3 to −1·3)* | 1850 (1190 to 2730) | 2280 (1460 to 3230) | 23·1% (16·5 to 30·3)* | −4·6% (−9·7 to 0·9) | |||
.. | Peripheral vascular disease | 12 (7 to 20) | 19 (11 to 34) | 61·8% (34·4 to 84·1)* | 15·9% (−3·4 to 31·8) | 278 (188 to 409) | 402 (269 to 605) | 44·8% (28·0 to 60·2)* | 7·9% (−4·7 to 19·3) | |||
.. | Alzheimer's disease and other dementias | 164 (37 to 353) | 249 (58 to 532) | 52·0% (44·2 to 60·8)* | 4·6% (−0·9 to 11·0) | 2060 (462 to 4440) | 2940 (681 to 6340) | 42·8% (35·7 to 50·9)* | 2·5% (−2·6 to 8·4) | |||
.. | Type 1 diabetes mellitus | 300 (276 to 326) | 346 (319 to 371) | 15·1% (10·5 to 19·0)* | −11·0% (−14·6 to −7·8)* | 9370 (8720 to 10 100) | 10 400 (9790 to 11 100) | 11·4% (7·9 to 14·5)* | −9·8% (−12·8 to −7·2)* | |||
.. | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 716 (686 to 748) | 1020 (986 to 1070) | 43·0% (40·4 to 45·8)* | 5·9% (4·1 to 8·0)* | 42 900 (33 400 to 53 700) | 57 400 (45 000 to 71 900) | 34·0% (30·3 to 38·1)* | 5·1% (2·3 to 8·1)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 1 diabetes mellitus | 63 (51 to 76) | 77 (62 to 95) | 23·2% (19·0 to 27·4)* | −1·2% (−4·0 to 1·2) | 2440 (2010 to 2950) | 2890 (2370 to 3500) | 18·2% (14·3 to 22·3)* | −2·6% (−5·1 to −0·3)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus | 248 (219 to 282) | 349 (307 to 396) | 40·5% (36·4 to 43·6)* | 4·2% (1·4 to 6·2)* | 6050 (5290 to 6850) | 8120 (7120 to 9250) | 34·3% (30·9 to 37·2)* | 2·3% (−0·2 to 4·2) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to hypertension | 143 (100 to 181) | 208 (150 to 255) | 45·0% (37·7 to 53·6)* | 4·8% (−0·2 to 10·9) | 2670 (1880 to 3420) | 3710 (2690 to 4650) | 39·2% (32·0 to 47·4)* | 4·4% (−0·8 to 10·4) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to glomerulonephritis | 66 (46 to 85) | 91 (66 to 116) | 38·6% (31·3 to 47·4)* | 3·6% (−1·5 to 9·7) | 1600 (1100 to 2110) | 2140 (1520 to 2730) | 33·5% (26·6 to 41·2)* | 3·7% (−1·4 to 9·6) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to other and unspecified causes | 93 (64 to 121) | 130 (93 to 165) | 40·4% (33·1 to 48·9)* | 4·2% (−0·8 to 10·3) | 2800 (1920 to 3740) | 3760 (2640 to 4880) | 34·3% (27·0 to 42·4)* | 2·8% (−2·6 to 9·0) | |||
.. | Glaucoma | .. | .. | .. | .. | 46 (11 to 105) | 61 (14 to 141) | 32·7% (27·1 to 39·4)* | −1·1% (−5·4 to 3·8) | |||
.. | Cataract | .. | .. | .. | .. | 503 (112 to 1170) | 687 (153 to 1580) | 36·7% (31·0 to 43·1)* | 2·4% (−2·0 to 7·1) | |||
2 | High low-density lipoprotein cholesterol: all causes | 3570 (2780 to 4450) | 4320 (3330 to 5440) | 20·8% (18·2 to 23·2)* | −10·6% (−11·8 to −9·4)* | 81 000 (67 800 to 95 700) | 94 900 (78 800 to 112 000) | 17·2% (15·3 to 19·1)* | −9·3% (−10·6 to −7·9)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 3140 (2430 to 3900) | 3790 (2890 to 4730) | 20·7% (17·9 to 23·3)* | −10·4% (−11·6 to −9·1)* | 70 800 (59 400 to 82 400) | 82 200 (68 600 to 96 400) | 16·1% (14·3 to 17·8)* | −9·9% (−11·3 to −8·6)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 439 (177 to 893) | 532 (211 to 1080) | 21·2% (16·4 to 24·7)* | −12·1% (−13·6 to −10·2)* | 10 200 (6160 to 16 900) | 12 700 (7610 to 21 200) | 25·0% (21·6 to 28·1)* | −5·0% (−7·5 to −2·1)* | |||
2 | High systolic blood pressure: all causes | 8500 (7640 to 9340) | 10 400 (9390 to 11 500) | 22·8% (20·5 to 24·7)* | −9·0% (−10·6 to −7·6)* | 182 000 (164 000 to 198 000) | 218 000 (198 000 to 237 000) | 20·0% (18·0 to 21·8)* | −8·0% (−9·5 to −6·7)* | |||
.. | Rheumatic heart disease | 69 (46 to 106) | 72 (48 to 113) | 4·5% (−1·9 to 11·0) | −20·1% (−24·2 to −16·1)* | 2070 (1420 to 3130) | 2100 (1450 to 3260) | 1·6% (−4·0 to 7·2) | −18·8% (−23·0 to −15·0)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 4030 (3350 to 4740) | 4890 (4030 to 5760) | 21·2% (19·0 to 23·0)* | −10·4% (−11·6 to −9·2)* | 80 500 (69 200 to 91 400) | 94 800 (81 100 to 108 000) | 17·7% (15·9 to 19·4)* | −10·0% (−11·4 to −8·7)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 1150 (900 to 1390) | 1370 (1060 to 1680) | 19·4% (16·5 to 22·7)* | −12·3% (−14·0 to −10·6)* | 23 500 (18 700 to 27 700) | 29 400 (23 400 to 34 700) | 25·1% (21·9 to 28·4)* | −5·7% (−8·1 to −3·2)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 1530 (1230 to 1800) | 1730 (1400 to 2050) | 13·5% (10·5 to 16·6)* | −14·9% (−17·0 to −12·8)* | 34 700 (29 000 to 40 100) | 38 900 (32 400 to 44 800) | 12·0% (9·2 to 14·8)* | −13·8% (−16·0 to −11·7)* | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 215 (175 to 258) | 258 (211 to 311) | 19·7% (14·4 to 26·0)* | −8·8% (−12·8 to −4·4)* | 6120 (5000 to 7240) | 7140 (5900 to 8480) | 16·7% (12·4 to 22·0)* | −8·4% (−11·8 to −4·3)* | |||
.. | Hypertensive heart disease | 632 (516 to 676) | 926 (681 to 995) | 46·6% (26·3 to 59·3)* | 7·5% (−7·3 to 16·3) | 12 200 (10 100 to 13 200) | 16 500 (12 700 to 17 900) | 35·6% (20·5 to 46·6)* | 3·7% (−7·9 to 11·8) | |||
.. | Non-rheumatic calcific aortic valve disease | 24 (17 to 34) | 33 (23 to 47) | 35·5% (28·7 to 41·4)* | −3·2% (−7·4 to 0·0) | 408 (317 to 514) | 528 (410 to 670) | 29·6% (24·4 to 34·3)* | −2·9% (−6·1 to 0·2) | |||
.. | Other cardiomyopathy | 61 (47 to 76) | 80 (62 to 101) | 31·6% (27·0 to 35·9)* | −2·3% (−5·8 to 1·1) | 1460 (1150 to 1770) | 1890 (1490 to 2290) | 29·5% (23·8 to 34·0)* | 1·1% (−3·3 to 4·8) | |||
.. | Atrial fibrillation and flutter | 70 (56 to 83) | 100 (80 to 121) | 43·8% (40·2 to 47·0)* | 1·4% (−0·7 to 3·4) | 1800 (1450 to 2210) | 2410 (1930 to 2950) | 33·8% (31·9 to 35·7)* | −0·2% (−1·4 to 1·1) | |||
.. | Aortic aneurysm | 49 (39 to 59) | 59 (47 to 72) | 21·3% (17·2 to 25·5)* | −9·6% (−12·5 to −6·6)* | 968 (801 to 1140) | 1150 (952 to 1360) | 18·8% (14·4 to 23·5)* | −9·0% (−12·5 to −5·4)* | |||
.. | Peripheral vascular disease | 12 (7 to 22) | 18 (10 to 33) | 49·1% (24·9 to 66·2)* | 7·2% (−9·4 to 19·7) | 300 (186 to 457) | 410 (257 to 632) | 36·8% (22·9 to 49·1)* | 2·1% (−8·0 to 10·7) | |||
.. | Endocarditis | 20 (15 to 25) | 27 (21 to 34) | 36·5% (29·4 to 41·4)* | 2·4% (−2·5 to 6·6) | 478 (375 to 589) | 629 (499 to 762) | 31·6% (24·3 to 36·8)* | 3·9% (−1·4 to 7·8) | |||
.. | Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | 117 (100 to 137) | 143 (122 to 167) | 22·8% (18·5 to 26·0)* | −7·6% (−10·7 to −5·3)* | 3840 (3170 to 4680) | 4680 (3850 to 5660) | 21·8% (18·8 to 24·2)* | −5·3% (−7·5 to −3·5)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 1 diabetes mellitus | 23 (16 to 33) | 30 (20 to 42) | 29·1% (24·8 to 33·1)* | 1·0% (−2·0 to 3·4) | 799 (524 to 1130) | 999 (660 to 1410) | 25·1% (20·6 to 29·2)* | 0·4% (−2·4 to 2·9) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus | 119 (85 to 154) | 168 (120 to 217) | 41·4% (37·3 to 44·6)* | 4·4% (1·6 to 6·5)* | 2710 (1930 to 3550) | 3700 (2640 to 4840) | 36·5% (33·1 to 39·4)* | 3·0% (0·4 to 5·0)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to hypertension | 246 (216 to 276) | 347 (305 to 391) | 41·4% (37·4 to 44·2)* | 3·2% (0·4 to 5·2)* | 5550 (4900 to 6230) | 7350 (6450 to 8220) | 32·4% (29·0 to 35·0)* | 2·1% (−0·3 to 4·1) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to glomerulonephritis | 57 (40 to 77) | 77 (54 to 103) | 34·2% (30·8 to 37·5)* | 1·4% (−0·9 to 3·3) | 1560 (1060 to 2110) | 1990 (1350 to 2690) | 27·1% (24·0 to 30·1)* | 0·1% (−1·8 to 1·9) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to other and unspecified causes | 80 (56 to 103) | 109 (76 to 142) | 36·7% (32·6 to 40·3)* | 2·4% (−0·3 to 4·6) | 2670 (1850 to 3560) | 3450 (2410 to 4620) | 29·0% (25·8 to 32·2)* | −0·1% (−2·4 to 2·0) | |||
2 | High body-mass index: all causes | 3470 (2110 to 5030) | 4720 (2990 to 6700) | 36·3% (31·9 to 42·5)* | 2·3% (−0·9 to 7·2) | 108 000 (69 000 to 153 000) | 148 000 (98 600 to 202 000) | 36·7% (31·5 to 44·5)* | 6·8% (2·6 to 13·0)* | |||
.. | Oesophageal cancer | 61 (20 to 121) | 81 (27 to 153) | 32·7% (24·0 to 45·1)* | 0·3% (−6·4 to 9·8) | 1470 (464 to 2860) | 1900 (622 to 3530) | 29·7% (20·9 to 42·0)* | −0·5% (−7·3 to 9·0) | |||
.. | Colon and rectum cancer | 54 (29 to 84) | 73 (41 to 114) | 36·4% (32·2 to 41·7)* | 2·4% (−0·8 to 6·4) | 1210 (662 to 1880) | 1640 (920 to 2500) | 35·4% (30·6 to 41·1)* | 3·9% (0·3 to 8·2)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to hepatitis B | 26 (9 to 55) | 40 (15 to 79) | 56·1% (42·2 to 86·2)* | 21·5% (10·8 to 44·8)* | 794 (264 to 1690) | 1210 (429 to 2390) | 51·8% (37·3 to 82·8)* | 20·7% (9·1 to 45·2)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to hepatitis C | 21 (8 to 40) | 31 (12 to 58) | 52·0% (44·1 to 64·6)* | 14·0% (8·0 to 23·3)* | 467 (181 to 895) | 705 (286 to 1310) | 51·0% (42·5 to 64·4)* | 15·2% (8·7 to 25·3)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to alcohol use | 13 (5 to 25) | 19 (8 to 37) | 50·8% (43·4 to 61·8)* | 15·0% (9·2 to 23·2)* | 317 (123 to 630) | 471 (189 to 905) | 48·9% (40·6 to 61·0)* | 15·4% (9·2 to 24·6)* | |||
.. | Liver cancer due to other causes | 5 (2 to 10) | 8 (3 to 15) | 59·4% (47·8 to 80·2)* | 22·7% (13·8 to 38·2)* | 142 (52 to 285) | 220 (85 to 413) | 54·7% (42·4 to 77·2)* | 22·0% (12·5 to 39·1)* | |||
.. | Gallbladder and biliary tract cancer | 20 (10 to 34) | 27 (14 to 44) | 32·7% (27·8 to 39·0)* | −1·2% (−4·9 to 3·5) | 422 (219 to 694) | 561 (299 to 897) | 33·0% (27·0 to 39·9)* | 1·3% (−3·2 to 6·6) | |||
.. | Pancreatic cancer | 19 (7 to 35) | 27 (11 to 51) | 47·2% (43·5 to 51·8)* | 10·0% (7·1 to 13·6)* | 398 (153 to 758) | 577 (225 to 1090) | 45·2% (41·2 to 49·9)* | 10·7% (7·7 to 14·3)* | |||
.. | Breast cancer | 26 (10 to 48) | 40 (16 to 71) | 54·8% (39·2 to 88·4)* | 11·1% (−0·3 to 30·8) | 487 (125 to 983) | 817 (267 to 1530) | 67·7% (45·5 to 153·1)* | 16·2% (1·2 to 52·4)* | |||
.. | Uterine cancer | 25 (17 to 34) | 33 (23 to 44) | 30·8% (25·9 to 37·6)* | −1·7% (−5·3 to 3·2) | 642 (426 to 869) | 842 (584 to 1120) | 31·2% (25·5 to 38·8)* | 0·7% (−3·5 to 6·3) | |||
.. | Ovarian cancer | 4 (0 to 10) | 6 (0 to 13) | 34·5% (22·4 to 39·8)* | 1·8% (−5·1 to 5·8) | 111 (0 to 251) | 149 (0 to 334) | 35·1% (22·6 to 41·2)* | 4·9% (−4·4 to 9·5) | |||
.. | Kidney cancer | 20 (12 to 30) | 27 (16 to 40) | 36·7% (32·4 to 42·0)* | 3·0% (−0·3 to 7·0) | 464 (275 to 690) | 619 (370 to 911) | 33·5% (29·0 to 39·3)* | 2·6% (−0·8 to 7·1) | |||
.. | Thyroid cancer | 3 (1 to 5) | 4 (2 to 7) | 43·9% (37·0 to 51·7)* | 9·3% (3·9 to 15·2)* | 81 (39 to 136) | 116 (57 to 191) | 43·1% (35·6 to 51·8)* | 12·2% (6·3 to 18·8)* | |||
.. | Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 9 (4 to 17) | 13 (6 to 24) | 40·2% (36·2 to 46·1)* | 6·4% (3·1 to 11·2)* | 238 (100 to 427) | 330 (144 to 591) | 38·9% (34·5 to 44·6)* | 9·0% (5·6 to 13·6)* | |||
.. | Multiple myeloma | 5 (2 to 10) | 8 (3 to 13) | 41·2% (35·8 to 47·8)* | 5·7% (1·6 to 10·9)* | 119 (52 to 210) | 168 (75 to 291) | 41·0% (35·4 to 47·9)* | 7·7% (3·4 to 13·2)* | |||
.. | Acute lymphoid leukaemia | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 4) | 44·4% (35·2 to 52·4)* | 15·2% (8·0 to 21·4)* | 56 (26 to 98) | 79 (39 to 135) | 40·9% (31·9 to 49·9)* | 17·0% (9·6 to 24·2)* | |||
.. | Chronic lymphoid leukaemia | 2 (1 to 4) | 3 (2 to 5) | 25·5% (21·2 to 30·2)* | −7·8% (−10·9 to −4·2)* | 48 (24 to 79) | 60 (31 to 98) | 25·9% (21·8 to 30·5)* | −4·9% (−8·0 to −1·4)* | |||
.. | Acute myeloid leukaemia | 5 (3 to 9) | 7 (4 to 12) | 36·3% (31·4 to 42·2)* | 4·7% (0·9 to 9·2)* | 138 (67 to 231) | 184 (92 to 303) | 33·3% (27·8 to 39·6)* | 6·2% (2·0 to 11·1)* | |||
.. | Chronic myeloid leukaemia | 2 (1 to 3) | 2 (1 to 3) | 10·2% (6·3 to 15·6)* | −15·9% (−18·8 to −11·7)* | 40 (19 to 68) | 43 (21 to 72) | 8·9% (4·5 to 15·0)* | −13·2% (−16·6 to −8·5)* | |||
.. | Other leukaemia | 7 (3 to 12) | 8 (4 to 14) | 26·6% (21·2 to 34·8)* | −3·1% (−7·0 to 2·7) | 175 (80 to 311) | 215 (103 to 364) | 22·9% (16·1 to 32·8)* | −1·8% (−6·9 to 5·6) | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 1270 (750 to 1890) | 1630 (985 to 2380) | 28·0% (24·4 to 32·6)* | −3·7% (−6·1 to 0·0) | 30 800 (19 100 to 44 100) | 39 300 (25 300 to 55 000) | 27·6% (23·6 to 33·4)* | −0·6% (−3·7 to 4·2) | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 259 (143 to 394) | 324 (184 to 493) | 25·3% (20·9 to 30·2)* | −5·4% (−8·2 to −1·8)* | 7410 (4430 to 10 900) | 10 100 (6190 to 14 600) | 36·4% (31·2 to 43·2)* | 5·3% (1·3 to 10·5)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 487 (279 to 736) | 622 (380 to 907) | 27·7% (20·8 to 37·3)* | −1·2% (−6·5 to 6·4) | 14 900 (8960 to 21 400) | 18 900 (12 000 to 26 000) | 27·0% (19·9 to 37·1)* | 0·5% (−5·3 to 8·6) | |||
.. | Subarachnoid haemorrhage | 93 (59 to 132) | 119 (79 to 164) | 27·6% (21·7 to 34·5)* | 1·0% (−3·8 to 6·6) | 3510 (2300 to 4800) | 4420 (3010 to 5900) | 26·0% (20·4 to 33·2)* | 2·2% (−2·6 to 8·1) | |||
.. | Hypertensive heart disease | 213 (118 to 332) | 327 (176 to 522) | 53·8% (36·3 to 65·3)* | 13·7% (1·6 to 21·2)* | 4690 (2930 to 6620) | 6830 (4290 to 9600) | 45·7% (32·0 to 56·2)* | 12·3% (1·9 to 20·2)* | |||
.. | Atrial fibrillation and flutter | 39 (22 to 61) | 60 (34 to 93) | 53·5% (49·2 to 59·2)* | 6·6% (3·5 to 11·0)* | 907 (487 to 1450) | 1310 (712 to 2070) | 44·6% (41·3 to 49·1)* | 6·8% (4·3 to 10·3)* | |||
.. | Asthma | 58 (28 to 106) | 72 (38 to 126) | 23·9% (13·7 to 38·8)* | −5·4% (−13·3 to 6·4) | 2800 (1540 to 4510) | 3550 (2050 to 5580) | 27·0% (19·4 to 36·1)* | 3·3% (−3·8 to 11·6) | |||
.. | Gallbladder and biliary diseases | 24 (15 to 35) | 34 (22 to 49) | 41·8% (36·7 to 49·6)* | 3·6% (−0·2 to 9·4) | 453 (282 to 653) | 611 (391 to 866) | 35·0% (28·5 to 44·2)* | 4·0% (−0·9 to 10·9) | |||
.. | Alzheimer's disease and other dementias | 207 (77 to 395) | 319 (121 to 599) | 54·1% (49·4 to 61·7)* | 5·8% (2·0 to 11·7)* | 2640 (1030 to 5050) | 3900 (1580 to 7270) | 47·6% (43·1 to 54·7)* | 5·9% (2·4 to 11·6)* | |||
.. | Type 1 diabetes mellitus | 271 (186 to 363) | 422 (299 to 552) | 55·7% (49·7 to 64·0)* | 16·6% (12·0 to 23·0)* | 20 600 (13 500 to 29 500) | 31 100 (21 400 to 43 000) | 50·7% (42·7 to 61·5)* | 19·3% (13·0 to 27·8)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus | 67 (32 to 112) | 109 (54 to 177) | 62·3% (52·2 to 75·4)* | 20·2% (13·8 to 29·2)* | 1800 (857 to 2940) | 2840 (1400 to 4450) | 58·2% (48·9 to 71·5)* | 19·4% (13·3 to 27·9)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to hypertension | 63 (27 to 116) | 100 (44 to 180) | 59·0% (50·2 to 70·2)* | 15·9% (10·3 to 26·0)* | 1510 (725 to 2590) | 2330 (1180 to 3780) | 54·7% (45·4 to 67·0)* | 17·4% (11·4 to 26·3)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to glomerulonephritis | 37 (17 to 62) | 55 (26 to 90) | 47·0% (38·4 to 58·2)* | 11·9% (7·5 to 18·0)* | 1160 (451 to 2030) | 1650 (692 to 2760) | 42·0% (33·8 to 54·8)* | 12·3% (7·8 to 18·7)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to other and unspecified causes | 48 (22 to 80) | 75 (35 to 120) | 53·7% (44·5 to 66·6)* | 16·0% (10·4 to 24·2)* | 1850 (806 to 3110) | 2710 (1260 to 4380) | 46·9% (38·5 to 59·5)* | 14·4% (8·7 to 22·4)* | |||
.. | Cataract | .. | .. | .. | .. | 304 (130 to 581) | 456 (207 to 847) | 49·9% (43·0 to 61·0)* | 13·2% (7·9 to 21·8)* | |||
.. | Osteoarthritis | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1360 (520 to 2920) | 2030 (801 to 4370) | 49·2% (43·8 to 58·0)* | 14·3% (10·2 to 21·0)* | |||
.. | Low back pain | .. | .. | .. | .. | 3250 (1690 to 5610) | 4370 (2350 to 7400) | 34·4% (30·1 to 40·1)* | 9·1% (5·8 to 13·4)* | |||
.. | Gout | .. | .. | .. | .. | 284 (142 to 490) | 419 (216 to 706) | 47·8% (42·8 to 55·0)* | 15·6% (11·8 to 21·2)* | |||
2 | Low bone mineral density: all causes | 245 (226 to 256) | 327 (308 to 347) | 33·7% (27·2 to 41·0)* | −2·7% (−7·3 to 2·6) | 7850 (6660 to 9210) | 10 300 (8690 to 12 200) | 31·5% (28·1 to 34·8)* | −0·9% (−3·3 to 1·5) | |||
.. | Pedestrian road injuries | 29 (28 to 32) | 33 (31 to 36) | 13·9% (5·3 to 19·6)* | −14·5% (−21·1 to −10·2)* | 780 (704 to 857) | 886 (792 to 981) | 13·6% (6·5 to 18·8)* | −12·5% (−18·1 to −8·7)* | |||
.. | Cyclist road injuries | 3 (3 to 4) | 4 (4 to 4) | 27·6% (17·0 to 36·2)* | −2·4% (−10·7 to 4·1) | 166 (135 to 198) | 218 (177 to 263) | 31·6% (25·8 to 36·5)* | 1·4% (−2·9 to 5·0) | |||
.. | Motorcyclist road injuries | 6 (5 to 7) | 8 (7 to 9) | 25·9% (7·9 to 36·3)* | −1·5% (−15·6 to 6·7) | 319 (269 to 373) | 406 (334 to 483) | 27·2% (16·4 to 33·6)* | 0·3% (−8·2 to 5·1) | |||
.. | Motor vehicle road injuries | 18 (17 to 20) | 22 (19 to 24) | 17·1% (8·4 to 21·8)* | −10·8% (−17·6 to −7·3)* | 610 (534 to 683) | 709 (615 to 800) | 16·3% (9·9 to 20·1)* | −9·6% (−14·6 to −6·9)* | |||
.. | Other road injuries | 1 (1 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 18·1% (7·6 to 36·0)* | −10·9% (−19·0 to 2·2) | 84 (64 to 109) | 132 (99 to 175) | 57·0% (51·0 to 62·7)* | 19·2% (14·8 to 23·3)* | |||
.. | Other transport injuries | 8 (7 to 9) | 9 (8 to 10) | 18·6% (13·6 to 27·6)* | −9·4% (−13·3 to −2·5)* | 481 (397 to 585) | 616 (500 to 762) | 28·1% (24·6 to 32·0)* | −1·1% (−3·6 to 1·8) | |||
.. | Falls | 169 (154 to 176) | 238 (223 to 256) | 41·1% (32·6 to 52·0)* | 0·6% (−5·3 to 8·2) | 4810 (4010 to 5760) | 6590 (5500 to 7860) | 37·0% (32·6 to 42·2)* | 1·5% (−1·6 to 5·3) | |||
.. | Other exposure to mechanical forces | 7 (6 to 8) | 9 (7 to 10) | 21·4% (15·6 to 27·3)* | −9·0% (−13·2 to −4·4)* | 443 (347 to 562) | 582 (447 to 752) | 31·5% (27·8 to 34·8)* | 0·9% (−1·6 to 3·2) | |||
.. | Non-venomous animal contact | 1 (0 to 1) | 1 (1 to 1) | 17·9% (4·3 to 37·3)* | −11·3% (−21·4 to 3·2) | 50 (36 to 69) | 62 (44 to 88) | 24·1% (17·5 to 30·2)* | −5·9% (−10·7 to −1·2)* | |||
.. | Assault by other means | 3 (2 to 3) | 3 (3 to 3) | 7·2% (−1·0 to 13·8) | −17·8% (−24·0 to −12·7)* | 114 (97 to 134) | 132 (109 to 158) | 16·1% (10·9 to 20·0)* | −10·6% (−14·3 to −7·7)* | |||
2 | Impaired kidney function: all causes | 2040 (1880 to 2210) | 2590 (2390 to 2800) | 26·6% (23·6 to 29·7)* | −5·8% (−7·9 to −3·7)* | 51 000 (47 300 to 54 900) | 61 300 (56 900 to 66 100) | 20·3% (17·9 to 22·9)* | −5·4% (−7·3 to −3·5)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic heart disease | 716 (593 to 844) | 882 (726 to 1050) | 23·2% (17·7 to 28·8)* | −10·5% (−14·1 to −6·8)* | 12 500 (10 700 to 14 400) | 14 900 (12 800 to 17 200) | 18·9% (14·6 to 23·8)* | −9·7% (−12·9 to −6·1)* | |||
.. | Ischaemic stroke | 187 (137 to 239) | 223 (162 to 288) | 19·0% (13·2 to 24·8)* | −12·9% (−15·9 to −9·9)* | 3760 (3010 to 4550) | 4650 (3750 to 5700) | 23·7% (19·0 to 28·9)* | −6·6% (−9·9 to −3·2)* | |||
.. | Intracerebral haemorrhage | 214 (175 to 257) | 243 (199 to 293) | 13·7% (9·2 to 18·0)* | −14·3% (−17·2 to −11·5)* | 4970 (4090 to 5860) | 5530 (4580 to 6550) | 11·4% (7·6 to 15·4)* | −13·9% (−16·6 to −11·4)* | |||
.. | Peripheral vascular disease | 6 (4 to 11) | 10 (5 to 18) | 52·4% (25·2 to 73·7)* | 11·5% (−7·5 to 26·5) | 184 (121 to 278) | 257 (166 to 398) | 39·9% (23·4 to 55·0)* | 5·7% (−6·6 to 16·8) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 1 diabetes mellitus | 63 (51 to 76) | 77 (62 to 95) | 23·2% (19·0 to 27·4)* | −1·2% (−4·0 to 1·2) | 2440 (2010 to 2950) | 2890 (2370 to 3500) | 18·2% (14·3 to 22·3)* | −2·6% (−5·1 to −0·3)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus | 248 (219 to 282) | 349 (307 to 396) | 40·5% (36·4 to 43·6)* | 4·2% (1·4 to 6·2)* | 6050 (5290 to 6850) | 8120 (7120 to 9250) | 34·3% (30·9 to 37·2)* | 2·3% (−0·2 to 4·2) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to hypertension | 246 (216 to 276) | 347 (305 to 391) | 41·4% (37·4 to 44·2)* | 3·2% (0·4 to 5·2)* | 5550 (4900 to 6230) | 7350 (6450 to 8220) | 32·4% (29·0 to 35·0)* | 2·1% (−0·3 to 4·1) | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to glomerulonephritis | 151 (132 to 172) | 190 (165 to 217) | 25·5% (22·1 to 28·8)* | −1·3% (−3·2 to 0·7) | 5800 (5180 to 6450) | 6600 (5860 to 7420) | 13·8% (11·0 to 17.0)* | −4·4% (−6·3 to −2·4)* | |||
.. | Chronic kidney disease due to other and unspecified causes | 212 (186 to 239) | 267 (233 to 304) | 25·9% (22·4 to 29·4)* | −1·4% (−3·7 to 0·6) | 9580 (8570 to 10 700) | 10 900 (9660 to 12 200) | 13·3% (10·4 to 16·2)* | −6·0% (−8·0 to −4·1)* | |||
.. | Gout | .. | .. | .. | .. | 135 (91 to 187) | 191 (130 to 265) | 41·5% (35·7 to 47·7)* | 6·3% (2·1 to 10·7)* |
Results are for both sexes combined. Data in parentheses are 95% uncertainty intervals.
Statistically significant increase or decrease. DALYs=disability-adjusted life-years.