Table 2.
Outcome | Actual, n | Model-based predictions | |||||
|
Prediction (with observed advertising), na | Counterfactual (no kynect advertising), na | Change attributable to kynect advertising, n (%)b | Counterfactual (no insurance company advertising), na | Change attributable to insurance company advertising, n (%)c | ||
Information-seeking behavior | |||||||
|
Page views | 1,978,749 | 1,925,863 | 1,474,730 | 451,133 (23) | 1,804,879 | 120,984 (6) |
|
Visits | 105,618 | 101,616 | 79,538 | 22,078 (22) | 98,061 | 3555 (3) |
|
Unique visitors | 61,838 | 58,964 | 37,037 | 21,927 (37) | 55,242 | 3722 (6) |
Enrollment activity | |||||||
|
Web-based applications | 9643 | 9050 | 5576 | 3474 (38) | 11,759 | –2709 (–30) |
|
Total applications | 11,832 | 11,232 | 8072 | 3160 (28) | 12,516 | −1283 (−11) |
aRepresent model-based predictions (using the model results shown in Multimedia Appendix 3 and Multimedia Appendix 4) of the weekly outcomes. These comparisons use the 2014 and 2015 open enrollment periods to estimate how much activity was attributable to advertising. Calls and Marketplace enrollment are not included because neither kynect nor insurance company advertising during open enrollment had a significant effect on these outcomes.
bDifference (%) between "Prediction (with observed advertising)" and "Counterfactual (no kynect advertising)".
cDifference (%) between "Prediction (with observed advertising)" and "Counterfactual (no insurance company advertising)".