Table 2.
Physicians’ estimated probabilities of survival for 201 patients evaluated for intensive care
| Estimate | Prediction by intensive care physician | Prediction by internist | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survival if care in the ICU N (%) |
Survival if care on the ward N (%) |
Survival if care in the ICU (2 missing) N (%) |
Survival if care on the ward N (%) |
|
| <10% | 15 (7.5) | 72 (35.8) | 8 (4.0) | 62 (30.8) |
| 10–40% | 34 (16.9) | 47 (23.4) | 19 (9.5) | 62 (30.8) |
| 41–60% | 33 (16.4) | 32 (15.9) | 37 (18.6) | 49 (24.4) |
| 61–90% | 54 (26.9) | 28 (13.9) | 72 (36.2) | 24 (11.9) |
| > 90% | 65 (32.3) | 22 (10.9) | 63 (31.7) | 4 (2.0) |
| Within physician* | P < 0.001 | P < 0.001 | ||
*Wilcoxon paired test