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. 2018 Nov 17;392(10160):2194–2202. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31771-9

Table 3.

Unadjusted and adjusted odds of serious complications

Serious complication*
Pulmonary embolism
Myocardial infarction
Stroke
Infection
Death
Crude OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI) Crude OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI) Crude OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI) Crude OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI) Crude OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI) Crude OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Sex
Male 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00
Female 0·802 (0·733–0·878) 0·640 (0·580–0·705) 1·311 (1·106–1·555) 1·021 (0·848–1·228) 0·571 (0·433–0·752) 0·406 (0·303–0·543) 1·325 (1·006–1·745) 0·818 (0·611–1·096) 0·492 (0·421–0·575) 0·454 (0·385–0·536) 1·210 (0·922–1·588) 0·852 (0·635–1·143)
Age group, years
<20 0·491 (0·345–0·698) 0·500 (0·345–0·724) .. .. .. .. .. .. 0·993 (0·677–1·455) 0·925 (0·617–1·387) 0·214 (0·030–1·538) 0·261 (0·036–1·883)
20–39 0·690 (0·611–0·779) 0·679 (0·597–0·773) 0·482 (0·369–0·631) 0·481 (0·358–0·646) 0·029 (0·007–0·116) 0·015 (0·002–0·109) 0·133 (0·054–0·329) 0·157 (0·063–0·392) 1·119 (0·957–1·308) 1·051 (0·891–1·239) 0·432 (0·251–0·743) 0·476 (0·269–0·841)
40–59 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00
60–79 1·535 (1·397–1·688) 1·417 (1·280–1·570) 1·524 (1·270–1·829) 1·422 (1·166–1·734) 1·933 (1·518–2·462) 1·794 (1·377–2·338) 3·077 (2·288–4·137) 2·425 (1·761–3·340) 1·053 (0·897–1·237) 1·081 (0·911–1·282) 2·842 (2·099–3·847) 2·533 (1·814–3·536)
≥80 3·420 (2·706–4·324) 2·898 (2·262–3·713) 1·328 (0·657–2·684) 1·122 (0·525–2·399) 4·654 (2·682–8·076) 4·065 (2·277–7·257) 11·677 (7·040–19·369) 6·941 (4·017–11·993) 1·032 (0·551–1·932) 1·119 (0·593–2·112) 16·846 (10·809–26·254) 11·620 (7·044–19·169)
Year of treatment (per year)
Year 1·000 (0·992-1·008) 0·987 (0·978–0·996) 1·010 (0·994–1·027) 0·997 (0·979–1·016) 1·012 (0·989–1·035) 0·983 (0·958–1·009) 1·025 (0·998–1·053) 0·992 (0·962–1·023) 0·992 (0·980–1·004) 0·989 (0·976–1·002) 0·990 (0·965–1·016) 0·965 (0·937–0·994)
Modified Charlson comorbidity index (per unit)
Charlson index 1·083 (1·074–1·091) 1·064 (1·055–1·074) 1·048 (1·026–1·071) 1·023 (0·998–1·048) 1·113 (1·095–1·131) 1·081 (1·061–1·102) 1·144 (1·129–1·160) 1·110 (1·092–1·128) 1·027 (1·007–1·047) 1·030 (1·009–1·050) 1·133 (1·116–1·150) 1·099 (1·079–1·119)
Index of multiple deprivation (quintile)
1 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00
2 1·086 (0·958–1·231) 1·062 (0·931–1·211) 1·016 (0·788–1·309) 0·924 (0·702–1·218) 1·239 (0·876–1·751) 1·224 (0·850–1·761) 1·180 (0·776–1·792) 1·155 (0·748–1·783) 1·108 (0·916–1·341) 1·106 (0·908–1·346) 1·051 (0·680–1·624) 1·131 (0·718–1·781)
3 1·183 (1·044–1·341) 1·178 (1·033–1·344) 1·211 (0·945–1·551) 1·249 (0·961–1·624) 1·144 (0·799–1·639) 1·134 (0·774–1·661) 1·413 (0·939–2·126) 1·460 (0·958–2·224) 1·153 (0·951–1·397) 1·132 (0·928–1·382) 1·362 (0·898–2·067) 1·330 (0·849–2·082)
4 1·123 (0·984–1·281) 1·204 (1·048–1·383) 1·052 (0·805–1·375) 1·243 (0·939–1·646) 0·976 (0·660–1·444) 1·077 (0·709–1·636) 1·232 (0·794–1·911) 1·378 (0·873–2·177) 1·140 (0·933–1·394) 1·131 (0·917–1·396) 1·727 (1·147–2·601) 2·030 (1·310–3·145)
5 1·122 (0·975–1·291) 1·194 (1·027–1·388) 1·108 (0·837–1·466) 1·289 (0·952–1·744) 1·318 (0·899–1·930) 1·684 (1·123–2·526) 1·241 (0·780–1·975) 1·323 (0·800–2·186) 1·063 (0·854–1·321) 1·009 (0·800–1·273) 1·477 (0·944–2·311) 1·806 (1·107–2·944)
Rurality
Urban 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00
Rural 1·076 (0·974–1·188) 1·075 (0·964–1·199) 1·121 (0·920–1·367) 1·059 (0·849–1·323) 1·247 (0·952–1·633) 1·144 (0·846–1·548) 1·218 (0·890–1·667) 1·103 (0·780–1·558) 1·008 (0·863–1·177) 1·058 (0·895–1·250) 1·094 (0·797–1·500) 1·285 (0·908–1·816)
Ethnicity
White 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00 1·00
Asian 0·811 (0·614–1·072) 0·855 (0·646–1·132) 0·388 (0·173–0·868) 0·407 (0·182–0·914) 1·273 (0·676–2·396) 1·490 (0·786–2·824) 0·835 (0·344–2·032) 0·964 (0·394–2·360) 0·924 (0·620–1·376) 0·929 (0·622–1·388) 0·840 (0·345–2·043) 0·967 (0·395–2·369)
Black 1·079 (0·792–1·471) 1·224 (0·894–1·674) 0·642 (0·287–1·436) 0·676 (0·300–1·520) 0·210 (0·030–1·499) 0·278 (0·039–1·990) 1·105 (0·410–2·977) 1·481 (0·541–4·055) 1·590 (1·076–2·350) 1·725 (1·160–2·565) 1·111 (0·413–2·994) 1·375 (0·504–3·751)
Mixed race 0·992 (0·574–1·713) 1·200 (0·694–2·075) 0·620 (0·155–2·488) 0·767 (0·191–3·083) 0·610 (0·086–4·349) 1·031 (0·144–7·374) 0·801 (0·112–5·720) 1·386 (0·193–9·931) 1·596 (0·827–3·081) 1·638 (0·846–3·171) .. ..
Other 0·631 (0·373– 1·068) 0·725 (0·428–1·228) 0·550 (0·177–1·712) 0·633 (0·203–1·975) 0·361 (0·051–2·570) 0·531 (0·074–3·792) 0·474 (0·066–3·380) 0·761 (0·106–5·449) 0·419 (0·157–1·118) 0·419 (0·157–1·121) 1·905 (0·707–5·133) 2·756 (1·017–7·471)

Procedure-level multivariable logistic regression model adjusted for sex, age group, year, modified Charlson comorbidity index, index of multiple deprivation, rurality, and ethnicity. OR=odds ratio.

*

At least one serious complication within 90 days, defined as either pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, stroke, infection requiring surgery, fasciotomy, neurovascular injury, or death.

Infection requiring surgery (open or arthroscopic washout).