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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Geriatr Soc. 2018 Sep 17;66(11):2112–2119. doi: 10.1111/jgs.15564

Table 2.

Predictors of LTAC Transfer versus Staying in the Hospital

Unadjusted OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI)

Patient Factors Prior to Hospitalization
 Age, years
  65–69 REF REF
  70–74 1.11 (0.91,1.35) 1.11 (0.89,1.39)
  75–79 0.99 (0.81,1.21) 1.08 (0.87,1.35)
  80–84 1.25 (1.03,1.53) 1.37 (1.10,1.70)
  ≥ 85 0.83 (0.69,1.01) 0.94 (0.76,1.16)
 Prior LTAC use 3.34 (2.62,4.26) 1.77 (1.36,2.31)
 Prior SNF use 2.17 (1.92,2.46) 1.73 (1.50,1.99)
 Wheelchair 1.49 (1.28,1.73) 1.30 (1.10,1.53)
Patient Factors of Index Hospitalization
 Primary diagnosis
  DRG resource intensity weight, per unit 1.82 (1.73,1.91) 1.16 (1.04,1.29)
  DRG with a MCC designation 3.52 (3.08,4.02) 2.16 (1.82,2.57)
  Medical diagnosis type (vs surgical) 0.16 (0.14, 0.19) 0.41 (0.29,0.58)
  Respiratory MDC 0.50 (0.44,0.58) 0.71 (0.60,0.85)
  Circulatory MDC 0.77 (0.66,0.90) 0.65 (0.54,0.78)
  Urinary MDC 0.61 (0.50,0.75) 0.71 (0.56,0.90)
 Secondary diagnoses
  Respiratory failure 1.67 (1.47,1.90) 1.37 (1.17,1.60)
  Skin, soft tissue, or joint infection 3.18 (2.68,3.78) 2.02 (1.65,2.46)
  Chronic skin ulcer 3.18 (2.75,3.68) 1.73 (1.46,2.04)
  Delirium or dementia 1.36 (1.19,1.56) 1.19 (1.01,1.39)
 Select intensive treatments and procedures
  Transient mechanical ventilation (vs none) 2.06 (1.61,2.62) 0.66 (0.50,0.88)
  Central venous line 2.61 (2.27,3.01) 1.57 (1.34,1.83)
  Excisional debridement 10.4 (6.95,15.5) 2.05 (1.31,3.22)
Hospital Factors
 For-profit ownership 1.39 (1.14,1.71) 1.58 (1.27,1.95)
 Urban 1.77 (1.37, 2.27) 0.54 (0.39,0.73)
Region Factors
 Linear arc distance to nearest LTAC, miles
  >33.6 REF REF
  >11.4 – 33.6 2.04 (1.47,2.82) 2.24 (1.56,3.21)
  >5.1– 11.4 4.41 (3.18,6.10) 4.83 (3.27,7.14)
  >1.4 – 5.1 5.69 (4.13,7.84) 6.14 (4.18,9.04)
  0–1.4 6.49 (4.71,8.93) 6.18 (4.21,9.09)
 State without Certificate of Need law 2.63 (1.98,3.49) 2.31 (1.81,2.94)
 LTAC supply, per 5 beds/100K persons 1.47 (1.37,1.58) 1.23 (1.16,1.32)
 Median household income, per $10,000 0.81 (0.71,0.93) 0.88 (0.79,0.97)
 Medicare spending per person, per $3000 4.97 (3.37,7.33) 1.48 (1.06,2.06)