Table 2.
Predictors of LTAC Transfer versus Staying in the Hospital
| Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Patient Factors Prior to Hospitalization | ||
| Age, years | ||
| 65–69 | REF | REF |
| 70–74 | 1.11 (0.91,1.35) | 1.11 (0.89,1.39) |
| 75–79 | 0.99 (0.81,1.21) | 1.08 (0.87,1.35) |
| 80–84 | 1.25 (1.03,1.53) | 1.37 (1.10,1.70) |
| ≥ 85 | 0.83 (0.69,1.01) | 0.94 (0.76,1.16) |
| Prior LTAC use | 3.34 (2.62,4.26) | 1.77 (1.36,2.31) |
| Prior SNF use | 2.17 (1.92,2.46) | 1.73 (1.50,1.99) |
| Wheelchair | 1.49 (1.28,1.73) | 1.30 (1.10,1.53) |
| Patient Factors of Index Hospitalization | ||
| Primary diagnosis | ||
| DRG resource intensity weight, per unit | 1.82 (1.73,1.91) | 1.16 (1.04,1.29) |
| DRG with a MCC designation | 3.52 (3.08,4.02) | 2.16 (1.82,2.57) |
| Medical diagnosis type (vs surgical) | 0.16 (0.14, 0.19) | 0.41 (0.29,0.58) |
| Respiratory MDC | 0.50 (0.44,0.58) | 0.71 (0.60,0.85) |
| Circulatory MDC | 0.77 (0.66,0.90) | 0.65 (0.54,0.78) |
| Urinary MDC | 0.61 (0.50,0.75) | 0.71 (0.56,0.90) |
| Secondary diagnoses | ||
| Respiratory failure | 1.67 (1.47,1.90) | 1.37 (1.17,1.60) |
| Skin, soft tissue, or joint infection | 3.18 (2.68,3.78) | 2.02 (1.65,2.46) |
| Chronic skin ulcer | 3.18 (2.75,3.68) | 1.73 (1.46,2.04) |
| Delirium or dementia | 1.36 (1.19,1.56) | 1.19 (1.01,1.39) |
| Select intensive treatments and procedures | ||
| Transient mechanical ventilation (vs none) | 2.06 (1.61,2.62) | 0.66 (0.50,0.88) |
| Central venous line | 2.61 (2.27,3.01) | 1.57 (1.34,1.83) |
| Excisional debridement | 10.4 (6.95,15.5) | 2.05 (1.31,3.22) |
| Hospital Factors | ||
| For-profit ownership | 1.39 (1.14,1.71) | 1.58 (1.27,1.95) |
| Urban | 1.77 (1.37, 2.27) | 0.54 (0.39,0.73) |
| Region Factors | ||
| Linear arc distance to nearest LTAC, miles | ||
| >33.6 | REF | REF |
| >11.4 – 33.6 | 2.04 (1.47,2.82) | 2.24 (1.56,3.21) |
| >5.1– 11.4 | 4.41 (3.18,6.10) | 4.83 (3.27,7.14) |
| >1.4 – 5.1 | 5.69 (4.13,7.84) | 6.14 (4.18,9.04) |
| 0–1.4 | 6.49 (4.71,8.93) | 6.18 (4.21,9.09) |
| State without Certificate of Need law | 2.63 (1.98,3.49) | 2.31 (1.81,2.94) |
| LTAC supply, per 5 beds/100K persons | 1.47 (1.37,1.58) | 1.23 (1.16,1.32) |
| Median household income, per $10,000 | 0.81 (0.71,0.93) | 0.88 (0.79,0.97) |
| Medicare spending per person, per $3000 | 4.97 (3.37,7.33) | 1.48 (1.06,2.06) |