Table 2.
Logistic regression models of the odds of marriage: women 1960–2007
| Variables | Age–period model | Age–period–cohort model (1) | Age–period–cohort model (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e b | p value | e b | p value | e b | p value | |
| Age | 1.995 | 0.000 | 2.160 | 0.000 | 2.043 | 0.000 |
| Age squared | 0.986 | 0.000 | 0.984 | 0.000 | 0.986 | 0.000 |
| Near Eastern origin | 1.076 | 0.000 | 1.051 | 0.000 | 1.051 | 0.000 |
| Born in former USSR | 1.077 | 0.002 | 1.127 | 0.000 | 1.132 | 0.000 |
| Enrollment | 0.597 | 0.000 | 0.638 | 0.000 | 0.620 | 0.000 |
| Years of education | ||||||
| ≤ 8 | 0.654 | 0.000 | 0.687 | 0.000 | 0.690 | 0.000 |
| 9–12 | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – |
| 13 + | 1.088 | 0.000 | 1.042 | 0.000 | 1.072 | 0.000 |
| Period | ||||||
| 1960–1964 | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – | ||
| 1965–1969 | 0.846 | 0.000 | 0.625 | 0.000 | ||
| 1970–1974 | 0.747 | 0.000 | 0.421 | 0.000 | ||
| 1975–1979 | 0.641 | 0.000 | 0.284 | 0.000 | ||
| 1980–1984 | 0.532 | 0.000 | 0.197 | 0.000 | ||
| 1985–1989 | 0.555 | 0.000 | 0.197 | 0.000 | ||
| 1990–1994 | 0.445 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.000 | ||
| 1995–1999 | 0.433 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.000 | ||
| 2000–2004 | 0.387 | 0.000 | 0.281 | 0.000 | ||
| 2005–2007 | 0.328 | 0.000 | 0.331 | 0.000 | ||
| GDP per capita | 0.981 | 0.000 | ||||
| Unemployment | 0.957 | 0.000 | ||||
| Inflation | 0.876 | 0.000 | ||||
| Birth cohort | ||||||
| 1926–1929 | 0.325 | 0.000 | 0.501 | 0.087 | ||
| 1930–1934 | 0.211 | 0.000 | 0.345 | 0.000 | ||
| 1935–1939 | 0.287 | 0.000 | 0.466 | 0.000 | ||
| 1940–1944 | 0.360 | 0.000 | 0.543 | 0.000 | ||
| 1945–1949 | 0.492 | 0.000 | 0.596 | 0.000 | ||
| 1950–1954 | 0.687 | 0.000 | 0.773 | 0.000 | ||
| 1955–1959 | 0.911 | 0.000 | 0.919 | 0.000 | ||
| 1960–1964 | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – | ||
| 1965–1969 | 0.907 | 0.000 | 0.933 | 0.000 | ||
| 1970–1974 | 0.671 | 0.000 | 0.803 | 0.000 | ||
| 1975–1979 | 0.498 | 0.000 | 0.704 | 0.000 | ||
| 1980–1984 | 0.293 | 0.000 | 0.455 | 0.000 | ||
| 1985–1987 | 0.237 | 0.000 | 0.420 | 0.000 | ||
| Constant | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |