Table 3.
Logistic regression models of the odds of marriage: men 1960–2007
| Variables | Age–period model | Age–period–cohort model (1) | Age–period–cohort model (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e b | p value | e b | p value | e b | p value | |
| Age | 4.065 | 0.000 | 4.312 | 0.000 | 4.167 | 0.000 |
| Age squared | 0.976 | 0.000 | 0.975 | 0.000 | 0.975 | 0.000 |
| Near Eastern origin | 1.016 | 0.010 | 1.002 | 0.809 | 1.002 | 0.721 |
| Born in Former USSR | 1.094 | 0.000 | 1.135 | 0.000 | 1.128 | 0.000 |
| Enrollment | 0.783 | 0.000 | 0.807 | 0.000 | 0.801 | 0.000 |
| Years of education | ||||||
| ≤ 8 | 0.732 | 0.000 | 0.746 | 0.000 | 0.746 | 0.000 |
| 9–12 | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – |
| 13 + | 0.983 | 0.021 | 0.972 | 0.000 | 0.980 | 0.007 |
| Army service | 0.508 | 0.000 | 0.506 | 0.000 | 0.505 | 0.000 |
| Period | ||||||
| 1960–1964 | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – | ||
| 1965–1969 | 1.208 | 0.000 | 0.975 | 0.299 | ||
| 1970–1974 | 1.158 | 0.000 | 0.816 | 0.000 | ||
| 1975–1979 | 0.934 | 0.000 | 0.611 | 0.000 | ||
| 1980–1984 | 0.745 | 0.000 | 0.480 | 0.000 | ||
| 1985–1989 | 0.626 | 0.000 | 0.430 | 0.000 | ||
| 1990–1994 | 0.536 | 0.000 | 0.426 | 0.000 | ||
| 1995–1999 | 0.487 | 0.000 | 0.471 | 0.000 | ||
| 2000–2004 | 0.444 | 0.000 | 0.546 | 0.000 | ||
| 2005–2007 | 0.387 | 0.000 | 0.576 | 0.000 | ||
| GDP per capita | 0.991 | 0.000 | ||||
| Unemployment | 0.973 | 0.000 | ||||
| Inflation | 0.918 | 0.000 | ||||
| Birth cohort | ||||||
| 1926–1929 | 0.494 | 0.000 | 0.620 | 0.000 | ||
| 1930–1934 | 0.488 | 0.000 | 0.637 | 0.000 | ||
| 1935–1939 | 0.661 | 0.000 | 0.871 | 0.005 | ||
| 1940–1944 | 0.779 | 0.000 | 1.041 | 0.283 | ||
| 1945–1949 | 0.926 | 0.000 | 1.190 | 0.000 | ||
| 1950–1954 | 1.043 | 0.000 | 1.244 | 0.000 | ||
| 1955–1959 | 1.083 | 0.000 | 1.161 | 0.000 | ||
| 1960–1964 | 1.000 | – | 1.000 | – | ||
| 1965–1969 | 0.853 | 0.000 | 0.865 | 0.000 | ||
| 1970–1974 | 0.675 | 0.000 | 0.735 | 0.000 | ||
| 1975–1979 | 0.520 | 0.000 | 0.598 | 0.000 | ||
| 1980–1984 | 0.388 | 0.000 | 0.453 | 0.000 | ||
| 1985–1987 | 0.459 | 0.000 | 0.542 | 0.000 | ||
| Constant | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |