Table 2.
Mean (range in parenthesis) age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates per 100,000 and number of lung cancer deaths in thousands under the status quo scenario over the four CISNET-Lung models for the US population (ages 30–84). The 2000 US population was used as the standard to calculate age-adjusted rates.
| Age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates/100,000 | Number of lung cancer deaths (thousands) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Men | Women | Both | Men | Women | Both |
| 1965 | 101.1 (96.6,105.6) |
15.8 (13.6,17.1) |
54.7 (52.9,57.2) |
43.9 (42.2,46.0) |
7.8 (6.7,8.4) |
51.7 (50.2,54.4) |
| 1975 | 128.7 (126.6,132.1) |
29.4 (28.6,30.4) |
72.3 (71.9,73.1) |
62.3 (61.6,64.0) |
17.8 (17.6,18.0) |
80.1 (79.3,81.6) |
| 1985 | 144.2 (141.0,146.5) |
50.9 (50.9,51.0) |
90.5 (89.1,91.6) |
80.2 (78.8,81.2) |
36.5 (35.9,36.8) |
116.7 (115.5,117.1) |
| 1995 | 134.5 (134.1,135.7) |
66.2 (65.7,66.9) |
95.6 (95.2,96.0) |
86.6 (86.2,87.2) |
54.4 (54.2,54.5) |
140.9 (140.7,141.4) |
| 2005 | 110.0 (106.6,114.4) |
65.3 (65.1,65.6) |
85.0 (83.8,86.7) |
83.4 (81.8,86.4) |
61.2 (61.1,61.2) |
144.5 (143.0,147.5) |
| 2015 | 78.3 (75.9,80.9) |
54.2 (52.8,55.6) |
65.0 (63.1,66.4) |
74.0 (71.0,76.4) |
61.0 (59.2,63.2) |
135.1 (130.2,137.5) |
| 2025 | 51.6 (45.6,57.7) |
40.9 (39.8,41.6) |
45.7 (42.4,48.9) |
64.8 (55.6,73.2) |
60.8 (57.8,63.1) |
125.6 (113.4,136.3) |
| 2035 | 32.2 (25.6,38.1) |
29.6 (27.7,31.7) |
30.7 (27.2,33.8) |
48.2 (38.4,57.1) |
52.0 (49.8,53.8) |
100.2 (88.2,110.8) |
| 2045 | 19.6 (12.2,25.7) |
20.0 (13.4,28.0) |
19.8 (14.5,26.4) |
29.9 (18.3,39.1) |
35.2 (26.2,47.5) |
65.2 (47.0,84.6) |
| 2055 | 15.5 (8.5,22.0) |
15.9 (7.1,26.2) |
15.7 (8.2,24.1) |
24.2 (12.9,34.7) |
27.4 (12.3,45.3) |
51.6 (27.1,79.8) |
| 2065 | 13.4 (7.1,19.3) |
14.4 (7.0,24.7) |
13.9 (7.8,22.0) |
23.4 (12.0,33.9) |
26.9 (13.2,46.5) |
50.4 (28.5,80.5) |
| 2015–2065 | 29.9 (23.9,35.4) |
26.7 (22.2,31.8) |
28.1 (24.4,31.5) |
2,203.1 (1755.9,2618.4) |
2,238.2 (1930.7,2616.7) |
4,441.3 (3815.3,4964.7) |