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. 2018 Sep 21;7(4):214–226. doi: 10.1007/s13668-018-0244-z

Table 2.

Prospective cohort studies published between 2008 and August 2018 that investigated the association between plasma and serum fatty acids and risk for diabetes

Reference Region Study objective Population Adjustments Time Results Risk
Patel et al. (2010) [22] England Investigate the association between FA composition and development of incident diabetes 199 cases of incident diabetes and 184 non-cases among men and women, 40–79 years of age, who resided in and around Norwich, England, from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition – Norfolk study Fully adjusted model: age, sex, BMI, family history of diabetes, physical activity, smoking status, alcohol intake Baseline 1993–1997
Measurements taken throughout, and up until 2005
There were stronger associations with diabetes risk when FA were measured in plasma vs. erythrocytes or by FFQ. Plasma FA only are reported here
Third tertile vs. first tertile of total SFA (OR = 2.57; 95% CI 1.42, 4.66), palmitic acid (16:0) (OR = 2.47; 95% CI 1.37, 4.46), and Δ9 – SCD2 (18:1n-9/18:0) (OR = 2.01; 95% CI 1.12, 3.61) were associated with risk for diabetes
Third tertile vs. first tertile of stearic acid (18:0) (OR = 0.43; 95% CI 0.24, 0.79), vaccenic acid (18:1n-7) (OR = 0.40; 95% CI 0.22, 0.72), eicosenoic acid (20:1n-9) (OR = 0.48; 95% CI 0.27, 0.87), linoleic acid (18:2n-6) (OR = 0.50; 95% CI 0.28, 0.91), dihomo-ϒ-linolenic acid (20:3n-6) (OR = 0.41; 95% CI 0.23, 0.74), and Δ5 – desaturase (D5D) (20:4n-6/20:3n-6) (OR = 0.47; 95% CI 0.26, 0.84) were inversely associated with risk for diabetes
Mozaffarian et al. (2010) [23••] USA Investigate whether circulating trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) was independently related to lower metabolic risk and incident T2D 3736 men and women, 65 years of age and older, from the Cardiovascular Health Study Age, sex, race, education, coronary heart disease, stroke, diabetes, smoking status, alcohol use, physical activity, BMI, dietary factors 14 years trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) was inversely associated with insulin resistance (− 16.7%, P < 0.001)
Fourth and highest quintiles vs. lowest quintile of trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) (quintile 4 HR = 0.41; 95% CI 0.27, 0.64; quintile 5 HR = 0.38; 95% CI 0.24, 0.62) were inversely associated with incidence of diabetes
Djoussé et al. (2011) [24] USA Investigate the association between plasma phospholipid n-3 FA and incident diabetes 3088 American men and women, 75 years of age on average, free from diabetes at baseline, from the Cardiovascular Health Study Age, race, sex, clinic site, BMI, alcohol consumption, physical activity, smoking, linoleic acid, LDL-cholesterol 10.6 years Highest quartile vs. lowest quartile of plasma α-linolenic acid (RR = 0.57; 95% CI 0.36, 0.90) was inversely associated with T2D
Mozaffarian et al. (2013) [25] USA Investigate the associations between trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) and metabolic risk and incident diabetes 2617 multi-ethnic men and women, 45–84 years of age, free from diabetes at baseline, from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis cohort Age, race/ethnicity, education, clinic, smoking status, alcohol use, physical activity, waist circumference, BMI 5 years trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) was associated with lower fasting insulin (− 9.1%, P = 0.002)
Highest quintile vs. lowest quintile of trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) (HR = 0.52; 95% CI 0.32, 0.85) was inversely associated with incident diabetes
Mahendran et al. (2013) [26] Finland Cross-sectional and prospective studies (prospective pool only reported here) to investigate the associations between fasting serum glycerol and FA and predictors for worsening hyperglycemia and T2D 4335 Finnish men (prospective pool only reported here), 57 years of age on average, free from diabetes at baseline from the Metabolic Syndrome in Men Study Age, BMI, current smoking, physical activity 4.5 years Elevated glycerol (OR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.12, 1.24), FFA (OR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.10, 1.29), MUFA (OR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.06, 1.12), SFA, and monounsaturated n-7 and n-9 (OR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.06, 1.12) predicted worsening of hyperglycemia and development of incident T2D
n-6 FA (OR = 0.92, 95% CI 0.89, 0.95) were associated with reduced risk for the worsening of hyperglycemia and conversion to T2D
Santaren et al. (2014) [27] USA Prospective and cross-sectional studies (prospective pool only reported here) to investigate the associations between pentadecanoic acid (15:0) and trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) and T2D 659 multi-ethnic men and women, 40–60 years of age, free from diabetes at baseline, from the Insulin Resistance Atherosclerosis Study Fully adjusted model: age, sex, ethnicity, physical activity, total energy intake, total dairy intake, total hydrogenated food intake, BMI 5 years Serum pentadecanoic acid (15:0) (OR = 0.73; 95% CI 0.56, 0.95) was inversely associated with incident diabetes risk
Serum trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) was not associated with T2D
Mahendran et al. (2014) [28] Finland Investigate erythrocyte membrane fatty acids as predictors of worsening hyperglycemia and incident T2D 1346 Finnish men 45–73 years of age free from diabetes at baseline from the Metabolic Syndrome in Men Study Age, BMI, current smoking, physical activity 5 years Palmitoleic acid (16:1n-7) (2.8 × 10−7) dihomo-ϒ-linolenic acid (20:3n-6) (2.3 × 10−4), the ratio of 16:1n-7 to 16:0 (as a marker of desaturase activity) (1.6 × 10−8), and the ratio of 20:3n-6 to 18:2n-6 (as a marker of desaturase activity) (9.4 × 10−7) predicted the worsening of hyperglycemia
Linoleic acid (18:2n-6) (P = 0.0015) and the ratio of 18:1n-7 to 16:1n-7 (as a marker of elongase activity) (P = 1.5 × 10−9) predicted a decrease in glucose AUC
Palmitoleic acid (16:1n-7) (OR = 0.54, CI 95%: 0.35, 0.82) and linoleic acid (OR = 0.54, 95% CI 0.35, 0.82) were inversely associated with T2D
n-3 PUFA did not show any associations with worsening hyperglycemia or T2D
Virtanen et al. (2014) [29] Finland Investigate the associations between serum n-3 PUFA, EPA, DPA, DHA, α-linolenic acid, hair mercury and risk of incident T2D 2212 Finnish men, 42–60 years of age, free from T2D at baseline, from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor study Fully adjusted model: age, examination year, BMI, family history of T2D, smoking, years of education, leisure-time physical activity, alcohol intake, serum linoleic acid 19.3 years Highest vs. lowest quartile of EPA + DPA + DHA (HR = 0.67; 95% CI 0.51, 0.87) had inverse association with risk for T2D
Lemaitre et al. (2015) [30] USA Investigate the association between plasma phospholipid very long-chain SFA (VLSFA) at baseline with subsequent incident diabetes 3179 men and women, 75 years of age on average, free from diabetes at baseline, from the Cardiovascular Health Study Age, sex, race, clinic, education, smoking, alcohol use, physical activity, treated hypertension, ischemic heart disease, self-reported health status, BMI, waist circumference 18–19 years Highest vs. lowest quartile of plasma concentration of arachidic acid (20:0) was associated with 32% lower risk for diabetes
Ma et al. (2015) [31] USA Investigate the association of circulating palmitic acid (16:0), stearic acid (18:0), oleic acid (18:1n-9) and metabolic risk factors and incident diabetes 3004 men and women, 74 years of age on average, free from diabetes at baseline, from the Cardiovascular Health Study Age, sex, race, education, clinic, smoking status, alcohol consumption, leisure-time physical activity, prevalence of ischemic heart disease, hypertension at baseline, consumption of per cent energy from protein, per cent energy from carbohydrate, total energy 18 years Palmitic acid (16:0) (HR = 1.89. 95% CI 1.27, 2.83) and stearic acid (18:0) (HR = 1.62, 95% CI 1.08, 2.41 were associated with risk for diabetes
Oleic acid (18:1n-9) was not associated with risk for diabetes
Lankinen et al. (2015) [32] Finland Investigate fasting proportions of plasma fatty acids, estimated desaturases, and elongases as predictors for worsening glycasemia and incidence of T2D 1364 Finnish men, 45–68 years of age, free from diabetes at baselines, from the Metabolic Syndrome in Men cohort Age, BMI, smoking, physical activity at baseline, baseline fasting glucose 5.9 years Total SFA (P = 2.3 × 10−4), palmitoleic acid (16:1n-7) (P = 2.3 × 10−5), dihomo-ϒ-linolenic acid (20:3n-6) (P = 1.6 × 10−5). estimated stearoyl-CoA desaturase 1 (P = 2.3 × 10−5), and Δ6-desaturase (D6D) enzyme (P = 9.2 × 10−8) activities predicted the worsening of glycaemia
PUFA, linoleic acid (18:2n-6) (P = 2.2 × 10−4), and elongase activity (P = 3.3 × 10−8) predicted a decrease in glucose AUC
Estimated D6D activity (HR = 1.52; 95% CI 1.21, 1.92) and dihomo-ϒ-linolenic acid (20:3n-6) (HR = 1.46; 95% CI 1.16, 1.84) were associated with risk of incident T2D
Steffan et al. (2015) [33] USA Investigate the association between serum levels of non-esterified FA and risk of T2D as well as any interaction by n-3 FA 5697 multi-ethnic men and women, 45–84 years of age, free from diabetes at baseline, from the multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Fully adjusted model: age, sex, race, education, field center, current smoking, current alcohol intake, plasma n-3 FA, waist circumference, C-reactive protein 11.4 years Highest quartile vs. lowest quartile of non-esterified FA (HR = 1.86; 95% CI 1.45, 2.38) was associated with incidence diabetes. Higher diabetes incidence was found across successive quartiles
Higher diabetes incidence was observed for individuals with n-3 levels below the 75th percentile
No associations were observed in those with n-3 FA ≥ 75th percentile
Takkunen et al. (2016) [34] Finland Investigate the associations between serum fatty acid composition and T2D, insulin secretion, and insulin sensitivity 407 overweight men and women, 40–65 years of age, with impaired glucose tolerance at baseline, from the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study Age, sex, study group, study center, smoking, alcohol intake, waist circumference, physical activity at leisure 11 years 20:4n-6 (HR = 0.78; 95% CI 0.67, 0.95), 20:5n-3 (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.58, 0.88), 22:5n-3(HR = 0.74; 95% CI 0.69, 0.90), 22:6n-3 (HR = 0.73; 95% CI 0.59, 0.90), Δ5-desaturase (D5D) (HR = 0.78; 95% CI 0.64, 0.94), and total n-3 FA (HR = 0.75; 95% CI 0.57,0.86) were inversely associated with T2D
Yakoob et al. (2016) [35] USA Investigate the associations between pentadecanoic acid (15:0), heptadecanoic acid (17:0), trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7), and incident diabetes 3333 men and women, 30–75 years of age, free from diabetes at baseline, from the Nurses’ Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study Age, race, smoking status, physical activity, alcohol, family history of diabetes, parental history of MI, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, menopausal status, postmenopausal hormone use, fruits, vegetables, fish, meats, whole grains, sugar-sweetened beverages, polyunsaturated fat, calcium, glycemic load, biomarker levels of trans-18:1, trans-18:2, 16:0, 18:0, BMI 15.2 years Highest quartile vs. lowest quartile of plasma pentadecanoic acid (15:0) (HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.39, 0.83), heptadecanoic acid (17:0) (HR = 0.57; 95% CI 0.38, 0.83), and trans-palmitoleic acid (trans-16:1n-7) (HR = 0.48; 95% CI 0.33, 0.70) were inversely associated with risk for diabetes
Yary et al. (2016) [36] Finland Investigate the associations between serum n-6PUFA, Δ5-desaturase (D5D), Δ6-desaturase (D6D), and T2D risk 2189 men, 42–60 years of age, free from T2D at baseline, from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study Fully adjusted model: age, examination year, family history of T2D, BMI, smoking, education, leisure-time physical activity, alcohol intake, energy, serum long chain n-3 PUFA concentrations 19.3 years Highest quartile vs. lowest quartile of estimated D5D activity (HR = 0.55; 95% CI 0.41, 0.74), total n-6 PUFA (HR = 0.54; 95% CI 0.41, 0.73), linoleic acid (HR = 0.52; 95% CI 0.39, 0.70), and arachidonic acid (HR = 0.62; 95% CI 0.46, 0.85) were inversely associated with T2D
Higher concentrations of dihomo-ϒ-linolenic acid (20:3n-6) (HR = 1.38; 95% CI 1.04, 1.84) and D6D activity (HR = 1.50; 95% CI 1.14, 1.97) were associated with risk for T2D
Howard et al. (2018) [37] USA Randomized, parallel design: decreased-fat, increased vegetable, fruit, and grain vs. comparison diet 48,835 postmenopausal women from the Women’s Health Initiative dietary intervention 8.1 years Decreased-fat, increased vegetable, fruit, and grain group had lower rates of initiation of insulin therapy during the intervention (HR = 0.74; 95% CI 0.59, 0.94) and follow-up (HR = 0.88; 95% CI 0.78, 0.99)
In subgroup analysis of biomarkers, the intervention reduced the risk of developing glucose ≥ 100 mg/dL (OR = 0.75; 95% CI 0.61, 0.93)

BMI body mass index, CI confidence interval, DHA docosahexaenoic acid, DPA docopentaenoic acid, EPA eicosapentaenoic acid, FA fatty acid, FFQ food frequency questionnaire, HR hazard ratio, OR odds ratio, PUFA polyunsaturated fatty acid, RR relative risk, SCD stearoul-CoA desaturase, SFA saturated fatty acid, T2D type 2 diabetes