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. 2018 Jun 2;4(11). doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.2761

Table 3. Survival Trajectories and Causes of Death for Risk Clusters.

Risk Cluster Median (PR) Cancer Types
Survival, y High-Risk Period, y Mortality Gap, % Cause of Death % of At-Risk Population Metastatic Spread,a %
Primary Cancer Secondary Cancer Cardiac Other Localized Distant
1 16.2 (10.7-40.2) 2.5 (0-5.0) 1.4 (0.3-2.4) 6.7 (1.2-18.0) 10.1 (5.0-27.0) 8.8 (0.5-16.1) 15.1 (5.1-23.7) 83.8 (47.7-95.5) 5.7 (1.1-45.8) Lip, skin, breast, vagina/labia, vulva, cervix, uterus, placenta, penis/scrotum, prostate, testis, epididymis/spermatic cord/male genital NOS, orbit/lacrimal gland, retina, eyeball, thyroid, parathyroid, pituitary
2 8.3 (5.1-23.3) 6.0 (4.0-8.0) 2.5 (0.9-4.6) 19.1 (4.0-30.0) 18.2 (5.3-35.8) 6.9 (1.2-14.4) 14.1 (8.1-22.2) 66.1 (0-86.0) 13.1 (0.1-44.0) Tongue, gum/mouth floor, salivary gland, oropharynx, nasopharynx, small intestine, colon, appendix, rectum, anus, nasal cavity, larynx, thymus, mediastinum, bones/joints, spleen, connective soft tissue, other female genitals, kidney, ureter/renal pelvis, urinary bladder, other urinary organs, eye NOS, meninges, ventricle, cerebellum, pineal gland
3 2.8 (1.4-3.7) 7.0 (6.0-11.1) 2.1 (1.3-3.7) 30.8 (6.5-47.8) 30.7 (8.0-45.9) 4.1 (2.8-6.0) 9.6 (6.9-20.4) 31.5 (0-48.7) 34.4 (1.0-62.6) Middle ear accessory muscles, retroperitoneum/peritoneum, uterus NOS, ovary, other nervous system, adrenal glands, ill-defined
4 1.6 (1.5-1.8) 6.0 (5.1-11.4) 6.1 (4.0-9.0) 18.3 (15.5-23.7) 42.6 (40.4-52.6) 7.3 (7.2-7.8) 14.2 (9.8-15.2) 62.1 (50.9-72.5) 21.3 (15.2-31.7) Hypopharynx, pharynx, trachea
5 0.8 (0.5-1.2) 9.0 (6.3-16.9) 2.4 (1.1-6.0) 56.8 (19.8-71.2) 12.4 (4.5-56.0) 4.3 (1.8-6.2) 8.9 (8.3-12.7) 49.2 (2.1-65.2) 29.0 (5.9-68.1) Esophagus, stomach, liver, gallbladder, unspecified digestive organs, lung/bronchus, heart, brain/central nervous system/spine
6 0.5 (0.4-0.8) 12.0 (9.3-12.9) 3.0 (1.1-4.2) 54.5 (19.4-78.8) 29.0 (7.5-65.4) 2.1 (1.7-2.5) 5.7 (4.8-6.5) 38.0 (24.1-46.7) 48.7 (32.5-59.2) Intrahepatic bile ducts, pancreas, pleura

Abbreviations: NOS, not otherwise specified; PR, 5th-95th percentile range.

a

Unstaged cancers are not reported in the Metastatic Spread columns.