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. 2018 Sep 17;178(11):1498–1507. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.4481

Table. Patient Characteristics, Associated Readmission Risk, and Comparison Between Hospitals With High vs Low Readmission Ratesa.

Characteristic Readmission Risk Associated With Characteristic
(95% CI)b
Standard Deviation in Patient Characteristic Across Hospitalsc Lowest Quintile Readmission Rate
(Mean, 8.9%)d
Highest Quintile Readmission Rate
(Mean, 14.8%)d
P Valuee
Patient Characteristicsf
Male, % 0.73 (0.61 to 0.84) 3.4 41.9 40.7 <.001
Age, y 0.04 (0.03 to 0.05) 1.4 80.1 79.7 <.001
CCW chronic conditions, No. 0.66 (0.64 to 0.67) 0.76 9.0 9.7 <.001
HCC scoreg 2.08 (2.04 to 2.11) 0.24 2.0 2.3 <.001
Disabled, % 1.94 (1.77 to 2.11) 5.0 13.7 16.8 <.001
End-stage renal disease, % 10.70 (10.37-11.04) 1.8 2.7 3.6 <.001
Long-term nursing home resident, % 1.58 (1.38 to 1.78) 5.0 8.6 11.0 <.001
Insurance characteristicsh
Enrolled in Medicaid, % 3.02 (2.86 to 3.18) 13.0 17.2 24.3 <.001
Enrolled in a Medicare Savings Program, % 1.00 (0.69 to 1.32) 3.9 3.4 4.5
Receives Part D low-income subsidy, % 1.21 (0.81 to 1.62) 1.3 2.1 2.4
No subsidies or prescription drug coverage, % 1.04 (0.87 to 1.22) 4.5 15.0 12.6
Area-Level Characteristics Linked to Beneficiariesi
Poverty rate among residents ≥65 y in ZCTA, % 4.24 (3.10 to 5.37) 4.4 8.9 11.0 <.001
Poverty rate among residents ≥65 y in US Census tract, % 0.70 (0.07 to 1.33) 4.9 10.5 11.5 .005
Household income among residents ≥65 y in ZCTA <$50 000, % 2.51 (1.96 to 3.06) 8.4 61.6 64.5 <.001
Household income among residents ≥65 y in US Census tract <$50 000, % 2.39 (2.00 to 2.79) 8.6 61.6 64.4 <.001
Education among residents ≥65 y in ZCTAi
Less than a high school education, % 1.87 (1.02 to 2.72) 8.2 18.3 23.3 <.001
College or more, % −1.21 (−1.94 to −0.48) 7.9 23.6 19.9 <.001
Education among residents ≥65 y in US Census tractj
Less than a high school education, % 2.03 (1.40 to 2.66) 8.3 18.3 23.4 <.001
College or more, % −1.32 (−1.87 to −0.76) 8.0 23.5 19.7 <.001
Residents ≥65 y living alone in ZCTA, % 1.88 (1.08 to 2.68) 3.6 27.3 28.1 .001
Residents ≥65 y living alone in US Census tract, % 0.05 (−0.42 to 0.53) 4.1 27.4 27.6 .41

Abbreviations: CWW, Chronic Conditions Data Warehouse; HCC, Hierarchical Condition Categories; NA, not applicable; ZCTA, zip code tabulation area.

a

Among patients in a random 20% sample of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries with 1 or more index admissions in 2013 or 2014 who met study criteria (see eAppendix 1 in the Supplement).

b

Average within-hospital association with readmission is reported as percentage-point increase in readmission rate per unit increase in characteristic. Within-hospital associations estimated by individually adding each characteristic (or group of characteristics for race/ethnicity and area-level education) to a linear regression predicting readmission as a function of the characteristic and hospital fixed effects. Coefficient estimates are reported in percentage points of the readmission rate for a 1-unit change in the outcome (or for a 100% change for characteristics expressed as proportions).

c

The hospital-level standard deviation of patient- and area-level characteristics was estimated from a random effects model. Using the proportion of Medicare patients dually enrolled in Medicaid as an example, the proportion of dual enrollees in hospitals differed by ±13.0 percentage points in hospitals 1 standard deviation above and below the mean among all hospitals (18.8%).

d

Mean value of given characteristic among hospitals in the lowest and highest quintiles of unadjusted readmission rates. To address sampling error that would cause some hospitals to have more high-risk patients than others in the 20% sample or in a given year, a random effects model was used to estimate unadjusted hospital-level readmission rates, which were then categorized into quintiles reflecting systematic differences in readmission rates that would be expected to persist, on average, over different samples or years.

e

P value for the difference in means or proportions between hospitals in the highest vs lowest 20% of unadjusted readmission rates.

f

Means or proportions of beneficiary-level characteristics assessed from Medicare claims and enrollment data. See the Box footnotes for additional information about the characteristics.

g

HCC scores were constructed using Medicare enrollment and claims data from the prior year, with higher scores indicating higher predicted spending in the subsequent year.

h

Beneficiaries were categorized into mutually exclusive categories of insurance coverage. Receiving prescription drug coverage through the Medicare Part D program, an employer, or another source was omitted as the reference category. See the Box footnotes and eAppendix 2 in the Supplement for details of variable definitions.

i

Characteristics of beneficiaries’ ZCTAs or US Census tracts are based on residential address data reported in Medicare enrollment files. Estimates of the average within-hospital associations reflect the expected change in the readmission rate associated with a 100 percentage-point change in the proportion of residents with the area-level characteristics shown.

j

The omitted category is the proportion of residents 65 years and older with a high school education.