Table 1.

National-level modelled estimates of the probability of seeking treatment for fever in the public sector (Posterior median and the 95% Bayesian credible interval) by travel time, for the shaded region in Fig. 3a, in 29 countries

Country	Health facilities	Clusters (Georeferenced)	10 min	30 min	1 h	2 h
Angola	1511	238 (238)	0.52 (0.37–0.54)	0.46 (0.34– 0.53)	0.45 (0.32–0.53)	0.43 (0.31–0.53)
Benin	823	750 (750)	0.53 (0.29– 0.68)	0.51 (0.27– 0.67)	0.5 (0.26–0.67)	0.5 (0.25–0.67)
Burkina Faso	1782	252 (252)	0.63 (0.32– 0.79)	0.62 (0.31– 0.79)	0.62 (0.31– 0.79)	0.62 (0.3–0.79)
Burundi	743	200 (200)	0.56 (0.42– 0.58)	0.47 (0.4–0.55)	0.44 (0.38–0.55)	0.41 (0.37– 0.55)
Cameroon	3061	578 (578)	0.47 (0.28– 0.55)	0.43 (0.26–0.54)	0.41 (0.25– 0.54)	0.41 (0.24– 0.54)
Côte d’Ivoire	1816	351 (351)	0.67 (0.44– 0.74)	0.62 (0.43– 0.73)	0.6 (0.43–0.73)	0.59 (0.43–0.73)
DRC	6241	536 (536)	0.57 (0.5–0.55)	0.46 (0.47–0.52)	0.42 (0.46– 0.52)	0.4 (0.44–0.52)
Eritrea	270	86 (86)	0.55 (0.34– 0.62)	0.49 (0.34–0.6)	0.46 (0.33–0.6)	0.44 (0.33–0.6)
Ethiopia	902	596 (571)	0.33 (0.35–0.28)	0.24 (0.27– 0.26)	0.22 (0.23– 0.26)	0.21 (0.2–0.26)
Gabon	542	334 (334)	0.42 (0.28–0.5)	0.38 (0.25–0.5)	0.37 (0.23–0.5)	0.36 (0.22–0.5)
Ghana	1960	353 (349)	0.65 (0.41–0.73)	0.62 (0.41– 0.72)	0.61 (0.41– 0.72)	0.6 (0.41–0.72)
Guinea	1172	300 (300)	0.54 (0.33– 0.63)	0.51 (0.31–0.62)	0.49 (0.29– 0.62)	0.48 (0.29– 0.62)
Kenya	7149	1829 (1838)	0.64 (0.38– 0.63)	0.59 (0.37– 0.59)	0.56 (0.37–0.59)	0.52 (0.37– 0.59)
Liberia	594	472 (472)	0.64 (0.4–0.71)	0.6 (0.4 –0.68)	0.58 (0.39– 0.68)	0.57 (0.39– 0.68)
Madagascar	2657	284 (284)	0.64 (0.38–0.63)	0.59 (0.37–0.59)	0.56 (0.37– 0.59)	0.52 (0.37– 0.59)
Malawi	561	140 (140)	0.53 (0.37– 0.63)	0.5 (0.36–0.62)	0.48 (0.35– 0.62)	0.48 (0.34– 0.62)
Mali	1350	590 (413)	0.58 (0.35–0.7)	0.56 (0.33–0.7)	0.55 (0.32– 0.69)	0.55 (0.32–0.69)
Mozambique	1175	610 (609)	0.41 (0.22– 0.55)	0.4 (0.21–0.54)	0.4 (0.21–0.54)	0.4 (0.2–0.54)
Namibia	461	407 (407)	0.58 (0.38– 0.62)	0.51 (0.38–0.59)	0.48 (0.38– 0.58)	0.45 (0.37– 0.58)
Nigeria	20,903	567 (562)	0.48 (0.45– 0.44)	0.38 (0.36– 0.42)	0.36 (0.31–0.42)	0.35 (0.27– 0.42)
Rwanda	498	492 (492)	0.57 (0.47– 0.57)	0.47 (0.45–0.53)	0.42 (0.44– 0.53)	0.39 (0.43– 0.53)
Senegal	1604	706 (705)	0.51 (0.32– 0.55)	0.46 (0.3– 0.53)	0.43 (0.29– 0.53)	0.42 (0.28– 0.53)
Sierra Leone	1351	435 (435)	0.63 (0.32– 0.79)	0.62 (0.31– 0.79)	0.62 (0.31–0.79)	0.62 (0.3–0.79)
Swaziland	146	27 (27)	0.59 (0.36– 0.68)	0.54 (0.36–0.66)	0.51 (0.36– 0.66)	0.49 (0.36– 0.66)
Tanzania	11,652	330 (330)	0.71 (0.42– 0.75)	0.68 (0.42– 0.73)	0.67 (0.42– 0.72)	0.65 (0.42– 0.72)
Togo	246	210 (210)	0.55 (0.39– 0.59)	0.48 (0.36– 0.56)	0.45 (0.35– 0.56)	0.43 (0.33–0.56)
Uganda	3936	806 (806)	0.73 (0.45– 0.78)	0.7 (0.45–0.76)	0.69 (0.45– 0.75)	0.68 (0.45– 0.75)
Zambia	1345	721 (721)	0.64 (0.39– 0.72)	0.6 (0.38–0.7)	0.59 (0.38–0.7)	0.58 (0.37–0.7)
Zimbabwe	1444	406 (406)	0.5 (0.39– 0.52)	0.43 (0.35–0.5)	0.4 (0.33–0.5)	0.39 (0.31–0.5)

The probability of treatment was estimated based on any type of facility and was lowest in Ethiopia and highest in Uganda