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. 2018 Dec;24(12):2184–2194. doi: 10.3201/eid2412.180382

Table 5. Markov jump analysis results from study of terrestrial bird migration and West Nile virus circulation, United States*.

Source
Sink
Markov jumps
ESS
95% HPD interval
CO GA 0.164 15683 0–1
CO IL 0.111 33920 0–1
CO ND 1.368 8603 0–3
CO NY 0.261 16508 0–1
CO SD 0.486 8222 0–2
CO TX 0.337 5909 0–2
CO VA 0.165 24157 0–1
GA CO 0.314 13738 0–2
GA IL 1.31 31284 1–3
GA ND 0.122 26193 0–1
GA NY 0.821 6736 0–3
GA SD 0.719 8787 0–2
GA TX 0.313 11570 0–2
GA VA 0.334 10761 0–2
IL CO 8.376 3311 1–14
IL GA 8.226 3046 3–13
IL ND 10.43 15423 6–14
IL NY 29.965 1355 20–40
IL SD 6.691 3635 1–11
IL TX 22.872 4545 14–30
IL VA 11.449 1631 6–16
ND CO 0.618 8832 0–3
ND GA 0.147 23908 0–1
ND IL 0.144 25515 0–1
ND NY 0.288 12855 0–2
ND SD 0.183 20239 0–1
ND TX 0.521 9813 0–2
ND VA 0.255 15630 0–1
NY CO 4.362 2143 0–8
NY GA 7.039 2170 2–11
NY IL 1.012 3023 0–4
NY ND 0.448 7434 0–2
NY SD 2.177 2740 0–5
NY TX 4.564 2149 0–9
NY VA 4.24 1171 0–8
SD CO 1.328 3964 0–5
SD GA 0.567 10905 0–2
SD IL 0.143 26368 0–1
SD ND 0.301 8901 0–2
SD NY 0.236 19732 0–1
SD TX 0.93 3517 0–4
SD VA 0.116 32792 0–1
TX CO 9.775 6039 3–16
TX GA 0.669 6777 0–3
TX IL 0.441 10249 0–2
TX ND 5.177 7617 2–9
TX NY 1.606 9410 0–4
TX SD 7.557 5113 2–12
TX VA 0.296 13706 0–2
VA CO 1.16 9807 0–3
VA GA 3.616 14054 2–6
VA IL 0.261 14878 0–1
VA ND 0.194 20523 0–1
VA NY 0.96 4048 0–3
VA SD 0.176 23197 0–1
VA TX 0.247 15068 0–1

*ESS, effective sample size; HPD, highest posterior density.