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. 2018 Dec;24(12):2184–2194. doi: 10.3201/eid2412.180382

Table 7. Statistical support for the incidence-controlled phylogenies determined in study of terrestrial bird migration and West Nile virus circulation, United States*.

Variable
Dataset 1
Dataset 2
Mean
ESS
95% HPD interval
Mean
ESS
95% HPD interval
Posterior −36338.60 1385 −36394.36 to −36280.37 −36798.90 1803 −36853.19 to −36740.97
Prior −3141.96 1187 −3189.54 to −3091.38 −3153.08 1387 −3201.84 to −3104.50
Likelihood −33196.64 1367 −33229.23 to −33165.79 −33645.82 2115 −33678.80 to −33614.39
MRCA 11.66 4720 10.47 to 12.10 11.97 6985 10.75 to 13.30
UCLD.mean 4.02 × 10−4 2336 3.53 × 10−4 to 4.55 × 10−4 3.83 × 10−4 1749 3.31 × 10−4 to 4.39 × 10−4

*ESS, effective sample size; HPD, highest posterior density; MRCA, most recent common ancestor (years before 2009); UCLD.mean, evolution rate inferred with an uncorrelated clock model with lognormal distribution.