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. 2018 Oct 26;15(11):2369. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15112369

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© 2018 by the authors.

Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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The impact of the effective radius $r_{0}$ is shown under four models. In all models, the peak size increases rapidly as $r_{0}$ increases. The difference is most significant in SSM 3. The change of proportion of cumulative incidence while varying the different values of $r_{0}$ is shown that, in each model, the outbreak probability increases rapidly as $r_{0}$ reaches a certain range of values.

The impact of the effective radius $r_{0}$ is shown under four models. In all models, the peak size increases rapidly as $r_{0}$ increases. The difference is most significant in SSM 3. The change of proportion of cumulative incidence while varying the different values of $r_{0}$ is shown that, in each model, the outbreak probability increases rapidly as $r_{0}$ reaches a certain range of values.