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. 2018 Nov 30;15(11):e1002709. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002709

Table 2. Performance of scoring systems and ML approaches for the estimation of in-hospital mortality in patients with an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Model Predicted mortality AUC (95% CI) Brier score Log loss
Actual mortality 45.5%
APACHE III risk of death 52.8% 0.80 (0.79–0.82) 0.190 0.57
ANZROD 39.9% 0.81 (0.80–0.82) 0.182 0.55
Logistic regression 45.4% 0.82 (0.81–0.83) 0.170 0.51
Artificial neural network 46.7% 0.85 (0.84–0.86) 0.158 0.48
Random forest 45.7% 0.86 (0.84–0.87) 0.156 0.47
Support vector classifier 45.4% 0.86 (0.85–0.87) 0.153 0.47
Ensemble 45.5% 0.87 (0.86–0.88) 0.148 0.45
Gradient boosted machine 45.3% 0.87 (0.86–0.88) 0.147 0.45

Results presented are based on test set (n = 3,957).

ANZROD, Australian and New Zealand Risk of Death; AUC, area under the curve; ML, machine learning.