Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
Estimated latent posterior distributions of disease prevalence in outbreaks simulated under four prior regimes for SIR model rate parameters and the binomial sampling probability. Depicted are the true unobserved prevalence (solid line), observed data (dots), pointwise posterior median prevalence (dashed line), and pointwise 95% credible intervals (shaded region). Latent posterior estimates are based on a thinned sample, with every 250th sample retained.
