Figure 5 & Table 1:

Simulated outbreak with SEIR dynamics that varied over four epochs (shaded regions). Weekly prevalence counts (points) were binomially sampled with sampling probability ρ “ 0.95 from the true unobserved prevalence (solid line). The table presents the effective reproductive number computed based on the number of susceptibles at the beginning of each epoch, $R_0^{\text{Eff}}=\beta (\tau )S(\tau )/\mu (\tau )$, the mean latent period, 1/γ, and the mean infectious period, 1/μ.