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. 2018 Dec 4;8:17614. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36011-0

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© The Author(s) 2018

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Emission probabilities for each state (z1–z4) in a 15-minute interval. Note state z1 (i.e., that with the lowest number of events and consequently lowest level of risk) is the most likely, whereas state z4 (i.e., that with the highest level of risk) is the less likely.