Table 2.
Selected | Lottery | Selected | Lottery | Difference (L − S) | Gainsa | Total gains of selection | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average per cohort, % | Extrapolated number of students per full cohortb | Gains per student | |||||
Dropout in Year 1 | 2.5 | 7.0 | 7 | 20 | 13 | €15 480 | €201 240 |
Dropout in Year 2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | −1 | €7740 | €−7740 |
Average per cohort, % | Extrapolated number of repetitions per full cohort | Gains per repetition avoided | |||||
Repetitions of 4‐week blocks | 2.4 | 3.5 | 27 | 40 | 13 | €220 | €2860 |
Repetitions of 8‐week blocks | 3.2 | 3.9 | 73 | 89 | 16 | €445 | €7120 |
Repetitions of 10‐week blocks | 0.9 | 1.1 | 10 | 13 | 3 | €555 | €1665 |
Resits of OSCEs | 9.6 | 14.2 | 82 | 122 | 40 | €40 | €1600 |
Total | €206 745 |
Gains can be: (i) an increase in income because the amount of dropout is decreased, or (ii) savings for the medical school because blocks or assessments (OSCEs) are repeated less often.
A full cohort consists of 286 students; data from the combined cohorts of 2011–2013 (401 selected students and 185 students admitted through lottery only) were extrapolated to a full cohort of selected or lottery‐admitted students during the entire Bachelor's programme. Without repetitions, a full cohort of students (n = 286) represents 4 × 286 = 1144 4‐week blocks, 8 × 286 = 2288 8‐week blocks, 4 × 286 = 1144 10‐week blocks and 3 × 286 = 858 OSCE‐participations during the Bachelor's programme.
OSCE = objective structured clinical examination.