Table 2. Performance of PLUM model classification on the unseen test data.

The model used the aggregate number of high risk thresholds that were met per day for both cumulative and daily rainfall variables. Evaluation measures include F1-score (F1), accuracy (Acc), positive predictive value (PPV), Sensitivity (Se), area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), specificity (Sp), negative predictive value (NPV).

Model	Variables	Acc	F1	PPV	Se	AUC	Sp	NPV
Logistic	# cumulative rainfall high risk thresholds # daily rainfall high risk thresholds	92%	0.84	0.77	0.92	0.94	0.91	0.97