Table 2.
a Mean annual cumulative incidence | ||||||
All time | 1972–1992 | 1993–2012 | ||||
Cumulative incidence | 95% CI | Cumulative incidence | 95% CI | Cumulative incidence | 95% CI | |
All patients | 16.7 | (15.5, 18.0) | 11.2 | (9.8, 12.7) | 22.5 | (20.5, 24.7) |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 22.0 | (20.6, 23.5) | 13.3 | (11.8, 14.9) | 31.2 | (28.8, 33.7) |
Male | 10.5 | (9.5, 11.5) | 8.6 | (7.4, 9.9) | 12.4 | (10.9, 14.0) |
Age, years | ||||||
< 60 | 2.8 | (2.3, 3.3) | 1.5 | (1.0, 2.1) | 4.1 | (3.3, 5.0) |
60–69 | 15.5 | (14.4, 16.8) | 10.9 | (9.6, 12.4) | 20.3 | (18.4, 22.4) |
70–79 | 34.5 | (32.8, 36.4) | 23.4 | (21.4, 25.6) | 46.2 | (43.3, 49.2) |
80+ | 26.8 | (25.3, 28.4) | 14.3 | (12.8, 16.0) | 39.9 | (37.2, 42.7) |
ESR, mm/hr | ||||||
ESR < 85 | 8.2 | (7.3, 9.1) | 4.5 | (3.7, 5.5) | 12.0 | (10.6, 13.6) |
ESR > 85 | 8.4 | (7.6, 9.3) | 6.6 | (5.5, 7.7) | 10.4 | (9.0, 11.8) |
b Relative risk (RR) according to time, sex, age and ESR | ||||||
1972–1992 | 1993–2012 | |||||
RR | 95% CI | p-value | RR | 95% CI | p-value | |
Unadjusted | ||||||
Time (years) | 1.1 | (1.1, 1.1) | < 0.001 | 1.0 | (1.0, 1.0) | 0.543 |
Sex | ||||||
Time (years) | 1.1 | (1.1, 1.1) | < 0.001 | 1.0 | (1.0, 1.0) | 0.462 |
Sex (Male vs. Female) | 0.6 | (0.5, 0.8) | < 0.001 | 0.4 | (0.3, 0.5) | < 0.001 |
Age | ||||||
Time (years) | 1.1 | (1.1, 1.1) | < 0.001 | 1.0 | (1.0, 1.0) | 0.135 |
60–69 vs. < 60 | 7.2 | (5.1, 10.6) | < 0.001 | 5.0 | (3.9, 6.4) | < 0.001 |
70–79 vs. < 60 | 15.4 | (11.0, 22.5) | < 0.001 | 11.3 | (9.1, 14.3) | < 0.001 |
80+ vs. < 60 | 9.5 | (6.7, 13.9) | < 0.001 | 9.8 | (7.8, 12.4) | < 0.001 |
ESR | ||||||
Time (years) | 1.1 | (1.1, 1.1) | < 0.001 | 1.0 | (1.0, 1.0) | 0.632 |
ESR (>median vs. <median) | 1.4 | (1.1, 1.9) | 0.006 | 0.9 | (0.7, 1.0) | 0.116 |
Overall and ESR-specific cumulative incidence reported as cases per 100,000 background population over the age of 50 years. Incidence for sex reported per 100,000 women or men respectively, and incidence for the different age categories reported per 100,000 population of the same age categories (< 60 years, 60–69 years, 70–79 years and 80+ years). Relative risk calculated according to Poisson regression models for the two timeperiods 1972–1992 and 1993–2012
ESR Erythrocyte sedimentation rate
CI Confidence interval