Table 7.

Simulations derived from discrete-time event history models, assigning country-specific characteristics of low-/moderate- and high-education groups to generate estimates of separation within five years of birth, by education and country

	United States	Norway	Sweden	United Kingdom	Austria	France	Italy	Spain
Low/Moderate Education (some college or less)	.35	.19	.15	.18	.14	.18	.05	.07
High Education (college or more)	.09	.09	.04	.10	.10	.07	.08	.04
Gap Between Low/Moderate and High Education	.25	.10	.12	.08	.04	.11	−.02	.03
Ratio Low/Moderate to High Education	3.75	2.18	4.26	1.77	1.41	2.54	0.70	1.61

Notes: Predicted probabilities of separation are derived from Model 2 (with all controls) in Table 4, allowing union duration to vary with month, varying education, and holding all covariates at the country-specific weighted mean values in Month 1 for the low-/moderate- and high-education groups. Monthly conditional probabilities of separation are multiplied to generate estimated proportions separating within five years.

Source: Harmonized Histories and the 2006–2010 and 2011–2013 National Survey of Family Growth (women only, under 45 years). Sample is limited to couples with a first child together within 10 years of interview.