Table 1.
View | Main origins | Main characteristics | Consequences |
---|---|---|---|
1 | • Mathematics • Physics • Computer sciences |
• Sensitivity to initial conditions. • A complete/full description of system outcomes is not possible (while the rules may be simple). • For most systems, their global behavior cannot be directly inferred from the rules governing components and their interactions (holism). |
• A small perturbation/event can have dramatic consequences. • Impossibility of predicting with certainty (uncertainty and errors in the predictions). • Existence of emergent properties. |
2 | • Data mining • Computer sciences |
• Acknowledges vision 1. • Modeling and simulation to integrate heterogeneous expertise and massive data sources is the main strategy to build new knowledge. • The prediction of future states is an approximation and is confined within a certain time and space horizon. |
• Decision making cannot be perfect. • We can narrow down the set of possibilities. |
3 | • Sociology • Cognitive sciences • Biology |
• The subjectivity of individuals and societies is a difficult problem in modeling. • Ecosystems (including societies) self-regulate, adapt, evolve. • Heterogeneities in perceptions, values, regulations, and social structures. |
• Importance of resilience. • Participation is required. Adaptive management is required. |