Table 4:

Results of posterior estimates of parameters and corresponding 95% credible interval for model with 8 outcomes from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI).

Parameter	Posteri or Mean	95% Credible Interval	Parameter	Posteri or Mean	95% Credible Interval
CSF Alpha-synuclein			SCOPA
Intercept	0.8976	(0.4341,1.3793)	Intercept	−2.3726	(−2.7089,−2.0074)
Age	−0.0123	(−0.0200,−0.0050)	Age	0.0336	(0.0279,0.0387)
Female	−0.1160	(−0.2745,0.0401)	Female	0.5104	(0.3944,0.6296)
Latent time, γ1	0.0274	(0.0190,0.0363)	Latent time, γ5	0.0406	(0.0338,0.0486)
Error Variance, σ1	0.4288	(0.4023,0.4552)	Error Variance, σ5	0.4683	(0.4559,0.4819)
PIGD			Tremor
Intercept	−1.9367	(−2.6663,−1.1232)	Intercept	0.3527	(−0.3759,1.1549)
Age	0.0114	(−5e-04,0.0226)	Age	−0.0174	(−0.0295,−0.0064)
Female	0.0866	(−0.1579,0.3315)	Female	−0.1660	(−0.3967,0.0813)
Latent time, γ2	0.1415	(0.1225,0.1621)	Latent time, γ6	0.1236	(0.1084,0.1404)
Error Variance, σ2	1.1573	(1.1347,1.1788)	Error Variance, σ6	0.8108	(0.7962,0.827)
REM Sleep			UPDRS Total
Intercept	0.2397	(−0.1764,0.6504)	Intercept	−0.2535	(−0.6679,0.176)
Age	−0.0053	(−0.0118,8e-04)	Age	0.0059	(−8e-04,0.0123)
Female	−0.1052	(−0.2437,0.0494)	Female	−0.0364	(−0.1758,0.0979)
Latent time, γ3	0.0446	(0.0364,0.053)	Latent time, γ7	0.0880	(0.0769,0.0999)
Error Variance, σ3	0.5806	(0.5646,0.5968)	Error Variance, σ7	0.3494	(0.343,0.3559)
SBR Striatum			UPSIT
Intercept	−0.8843	(−1.2600,−0.5038)	Intercept	−1.2072	(−1.6254,−0.7688)
Age	0.0157	(0.0098,0.0215)	Age	0.0206	(0.0138,0.0275)
Female	−0.0677	(−0.2017,0.0604)	Female	−0.2175	(−0.348,−0.0731)
Latent time, γ4	0.0599	(0.0502,0.0697)	Latent time, γ8	0.0511	(0.0418,0.0615)
Error Variance, σ4	0.2118	(0.2002,0.2237)	Error Variance, σ8	0.3688	(0.0688,0.6602)
Heterogeneous parameters			Model criteria
τ1	5.1320	(4.4178,5.8806)	WAIC	61054.80
τ2	−0.0071	(−.018,0.0033)	LOOIC	62158.01
τ3	−0.0184	(−0.2247,0.1919)