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. 2019 Jan 2;10:8. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-07894-4

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© The Author(s) 2019

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 2 — Power system adequacy with 2035 infrastructure. Results are given for existing and carbon risk policy scenarios. Metrics are loss of load probability (LOLP), average event duration (AED), and average maximum shortfall (AMS). Uncertainty distributions are derived for each case using a bootstrap with 1000 repetitions. Boxplots follow the Tukey convention, with five summary statistics (median, 25th and 75th percentiles, 1.5* interquartile range) and all outlier points