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. 2018 Oct 22;34(1):90–97. doi: 10.1007/s11606-018-4680-7

Table 2.

Hazard Ratios Between Back Pain and All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality Among 8321 Older Women in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures, Visit 2 (1988–1990) to Visit 9 (2006–2008)

All-cause mortality Death rate* Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) Socio-demographic-adjusted HR (95% CI) Fully adjusted HR (95% CI)
No back pain 4280 Ref Ref Ref
Non-persistent back pain 4439 1.05 (0.96, 1.14) 1.05 (0.97, 1.14) 1.01 (0.93, 1.10)
Infrequent persistent back pain 4487 1.04 (0.97, 1.12) 1.04 (0.97, 1.12) 0.98 (0.91, 1.05)
Frequent persistent back pain 5887 1.46 (1.32, 1.61) 1.42 (1.28, 1.57) 1.24 (1.11, 1.39)
Cardiovascular mortality
  No back pain 1501 Ref Ref Ref
  Non-persistent back pain 1560 1.05 (0.92, 1.21) 1.07 (0.93, 1.23) 1.02 (0.89, 1.18)
  Infrequent persistent back pain 1602 1.06 (0.94, 1.20) 1.08 (0.96, 1.22) 1.01 (0.89, 1.14)
  Frequent persistent back pain 2299 1.62 (1.37, 1.91) 1.57 (1.33, 1.85) 1.34 (1.12, 1.61)
Cancer mortality
  No back pain 798 Ref Ref Ref
  Non-persistent back pain 839 1.05 (0.87, 1.27) 1.05 (0.87, 1.27) 1.02 (0.84, 1.24)
  Infrequent persistent back pain 865 1.08 (0.92, 1.27) 1.08 (0.92, 1.27) 1.03 (0.87, 1.23)
  Frequent persistent back pain 1128 1.44 (1.14, 1.81) 1.44 (1.14, 1.82) 1.33 (1.03, 1.71)
Pulmonary mortality
  No back pain 462 Ref Ref Ref
  Non-persistent back pain 495 1.08 (0.85, 1.39) 1.10 (0.86, 1.40) 1.02 (0.80, 1.31)
  Infrequent persistent back pain 457 0.98 (0.79, 1.22) 1.00 (0.80, 1.24) 0.87 (0.69, 1.10)
  Frequent persistent back pain 713 1.65 (1.23, 2.23) 1.71 (1.27, 2.30) 1.32 (0.95, 1.83)

Ref, reference; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval

*Deaths per 100,000 person years

Sociodemographic-adjusted model: age, education, marital status, living alone, recruitment site

Fully adjusted model, sociodemographic + health-related characteristics: excellent general health, current smoker, obese, prevalent vertebral fracture, arthritis, hip pain, fall history, hospitalizations, hypertension, previous stroke, diabetes, history of breast cancer, previous breast surgery, and anxiety medication use