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. 2018 Dec 20;12(12):e0007034. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007034

Table 1. Summary of methods.

WHO Cullen C-sum
Calculation xn-1
Where,
x = the highest observed number of cases for a given month, over the course of several years
μ + 1.036*σX
Where,
μ = the mean number of cases for a given month
σ = the standard deviation of cases for a given month
xn/((in-1 + in + in+1)/I)
Where,
x = the number of cases for a given month for the current year
i = the number of cases for a given month for past years
I = the number of months considered (i.e., 3 months)
Complexity of calculation Easy Medium Difficult
Resources required for calculation Could be computed by hand Log-transformation much easier with statistical software or spreadsheet Log-transformation and moving window much easier with statistical software or spreadsheet
Sensitivity Moderately sensitive Least sensitive Most sensitive
Best application
  • Resource-constrained settings

  • Small datasets

  • Rare disease

  • Larger datasets (>30 observations/time unit)

  • Non-rare endemic disease

  • Larger datasets (>30 observations/time unit)

  • Datasets with temporal stochasticity

Each of the three thresholds are evaluated on the basis of ease or complexity of calculation, resources required for calculation, and sensitivity.