Table 3. Performance of boosting models.
| Boosting Model* | Concordance (N = 21,805) |
AuROC 1 year (N = 18,849) |
AuROC 3 years (N = 14,602) |
AuROC 5 years (N = 11,310) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Cross- sectional Model |
0.758 (0.003) CI: 0.757–0.759 |
0.811 (0.008) CI: 0.809–0.814 |
0.797 (0.005) CI: 0.795–0.799 |
0.787 (0.005) CI: 0.785–0.789 |
| Longitudinal Model | 0.774 (0.003) CI: 0.773–0.775 |
0.830 (0.007) CI: 0.827–0.832 |
0.814 (0.005) CI: 0.812–0.815 |
0.805 (0.004) CI: 0.804–0.807 |
| P-value | 8*e-28 | 4*e-24 | 3*e-23 | 1*e-26 |
* mean (standard deviation), 95% confidence interval