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. 2018 Sep 25;3:192–248. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2018.08.001

Table 2.

Common function and variable names. When we use a PGF for the number of susceptible individuals, active infections, and/or completed infections x and s correspond to susceptible individuals, y and i to active infections, and z and r to completed infections.

Function/variable name Interpretation
fx=ipixigx=iqixi Arbitrary PGFs.

μy=ipiyiμˆy=βy2+γ/β+γμˆy,z=βy2+γz/β+γ Without hats: The PGF for the offspring distribution in discrete time.
With hats: The PGF for the outcome of an unknown event in a continuous-time Markovian outbreak: y accounts for active infections and z accounts for completed infections.

α, αg, α(t) Probability of either eventual extinction, extinction by generation g, or by time t in an infinite population.

Φgy=iφigyiΦy,t=iφityi PGF for the number of active infections in generation g or at time t in an infinite population.

Ωz=r<ωrzr+ωzΩgz=rωrgzrΩz,t=rωrtzr The PGF for the distribution of completed infections at the end of a small outbreak, in generation g, or at time t in an infinite population. If 0>1, then one of the terms in the expansion of Ω(z) is ωz where ω is the probability of an epidemic.

Πgy,z=i,rπi,rgyizrΠy,z,t=i,rπi,rtyizr The PGF for the joint distribution of current infections and completed infections either at generation g or time t in an infinite population.

Ξ(x,y,t)=s,iξs,i(t)xsyi The PGF for the joint distribution of susceptibles and current infections at time t in a finite population of size N (used for continuous time only). In the SIR case we can infer the number recovered from this and the total population size.

χ(x)=ipixi PGF for the ‘‘ancestor distribution’’, analogous to the offspring distribution.

ψ(x)=κP(κ)xκ PGF for the distribution of susceptibility for the continuous time model where rate of receiving transmission is proportional to κ.

β, γ The individual transmission and recovery rates for the Markovian continuous time model.