Table 2.
Function/variable name | Interpretation |
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Arbitrary PGFs. | |
Without hats: The PGF for the offspring distribution in discrete time. With hats: The PGF for the outcome of an unknown event in a continuous-time Markovian outbreak: y accounts for active infections and z accounts for completed infections. |
|
α, , | Probability of either eventual extinction, extinction by generation g, or by time t in an infinite population. |
PGF for the number of active infections in generation g or at time t in an infinite population. | |
The PGF for the distribution of completed infections at the end of a small outbreak, in generation g, or at time t in an infinite population. If , then one of the terms in the expansion of is where is the probability of an epidemic. | |
The PGF for the joint distribution of current infections and completed infections either at generation g or time t in an infinite population. | |
The PGF for the joint distribution of susceptibles and current infections at time t in a finite population of size N (used for continuous time only). In the SIR case we can infer the number recovered from this and the total population size. | |
PGF for the ‘‘ancestor distribution’’, analogous to the offspring distribution. | |
PGF for the distribution of susceptibility for the continuous time model where rate of receiving transmission is proportional to κ. | |
β, γ | The individual transmission and recovery rates for the Markovian continuous time model. |