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. 2018 Dec;30(6):571–579. doi: 10.21147/j.issn.1000-9604.2018.06.01

3.

Predicted number of new liver cancer cases and deaths in China and changes between 2014 and 2030 apportioned into changes because of risk and demographics by gender

Sex Number of new cases or deaths Changes between 2014 and 2030 (%)
2014 2020 2025 2030 Total Change Change due
to risk
Change due to demographic Change due to age structure Change due to population size
Incidence
 All 364,800 357,800 324,900 295,800 −18.90 −64.56 45.67 40.67 5.00
 Male 268,900 257,800 227,900 200,300 −25.52 −66.46 40.94 36.49 4.45
 Female 95,900 100,000 97,000 95,600 −0.32 −57.99 57.67 52.10 5.57
Mortality
 All 318,800 315,900 298,200 280,700 −11.95 −60.99 49.04 44.05 5.00
 Male 233,500 227,600 211,200 194,500 −16.70 −60.59 43.88 39.43 4.45
 Female 85,300 88,300 87,000 86,200 1.09 −60.75 61.84 56.27 5.57