3.
Predicted number of new liver cancer cases and deaths in China and changes between 2014 and 2030 apportioned into changes because of risk and demographics by gender
| Sex | Number of new cases or deaths | Changes between 2014 and 2030 (%) | ||||||||
| 2014 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | Total Change | Change due
to risk |
Change due to demographic | Change due to age structure | Change due to population size | ||
| Incidence | ||||||||||
| All | 364,800 | 357,800 | 324,900 | 295,800 | −18.90 | −64.56 | 45.67 | 40.67 | 5.00 | |
| Male | 268,900 | 257,800 | 227,900 | 200,300 | −25.52 | −66.46 | 40.94 | 36.49 | 4.45 | |
| Female | 95,900 | 100,000 | 97,000 | 95,600 | −0.32 | −57.99 | 57.67 | 52.10 | 5.57 | |
| Mortality | ||||||||||
| All | 318,800 | 315,900 | 298,200 | 280,700 | −11.95 | −60.99 | 49.04 | 44.05 | 5.00 | |
| Male | 233,500 | 227,600 | 211,200 | 194,500 | −16.70 | −60.59 | 43.88 | 39.43 | 4.45 | |
| Female | 85,300 | 88,300 | 87,000 | 86,200 | 1.09 | −60.75 | 61.84 | 56.27 | 5.57 | |