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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Jan 11.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Intern Med. 2018 May 8;168(12):866–873. doi: 10.7326/M17-2499

Table.

Estimated Cancer Burden and Uncertainty Estimates in U.S. Adults With HIV During 2010, 2020, and 2030*

Cancer type Estimated Burden (Uncertainty Estimate)
2010 2020 2030
Total 8150 (7280–9210) 7490 (5890–9490) 6690 (4950–9060)
AIDS-defining cancer 2730 (2440–3100) 1340 (990–1790) 720 (510–1070)
    Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 1490 (1350–1660) 750 (590–940) 450 (360–580)
    Kaposi sarcoma 1120 (990–1290) 540 (370–770) 240 (130–450)
    Cervical cancer 120 (100–140) 50 (30–70) 30 (20–30)
Non–AIDS-defining cancer 5420 (4850–6120) 6150 (4900–7700) 5980 (4430–7990)
    Lung cancer 830 (750–920) 910 (850–950) 1030 (940–1090)
    Prostate cancer 750 (680–840) 1340 (1060–1660) 1590 (1240–1820)
    Anal cancer 580 (510–670) 550 (410–720) 450 (290–700)
    Liver cancer 360 (300–430) 460 (360–590) 480 (360–630)
    Hodgkin lymphoma 300 (260–350) 200 (140–270) 120 (70–200)
    Oral cavity/pharyngeal cancer 250 (220–290) 320 (250–390) 340 (260–430)
    Breast cancer 220 (190–270) 260 (210–330) 260 (200–330)
    Colon cancer 220 (180–270) 230 (150–380) 200 (110–420)
    Other 1910 (1760–2080) 1880 (1450–2410) 1510 (960–2380)
*

Cancer burden is defined as the number of incident cancer diagnoses. Results were rounded to the nearest 10 cases of cancer.