Table 3.
Spatial Clusters of Basal Cell Carcinoma (BCC), January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2012, Adjusted for Age, Sex, and Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status, Kaiser Permanente Northern California
Cluster No., Location | Radius, km | Member-years | No. of BCC Cases | Observed Cases per 100 000 Person-yearsa | Relative Risk vs Outside Cluster (95% CI) | P Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expected | Observed | ||||||
1, Marin County | 17 | 105 751 | 1421 | 1814 | 1666 | 1.29 (1.11–1.50) | <.001 |
2, Northeast Sacramento County | 14 | 134 576 | 1468 | 1770 | 1264 | 1.22 (1.08–1.37) | <.001 |
3, East Contra Costa and west San Joaquin Counties | 14 | 41 876 | 352 | 491 | 1125 | 1.40 (1.15–1.71) | <.001 |
4, West central Contra Costa County | 10 | 89 535 | 1310 | 1531 | 1645 | 1.18 (1.07–1.30) | <.001 |
5, Eastern Sonoma and northern Napa Counties | 36 | 197 179 | 2077 | 2311 | 1139 | 1.12 (1.03–1.21) | .006 |
The observed incidence of basal cell carcinoma outside these 5 clusters was 964 cases per 100 000 person-years.